Conservation prioritisation emphasises currently threatened species, but there are strong arguments for complementary, more proactive approaches based on forecasting future extinction risk for unthreatened species. Forecasting methods vary in the timescale of extinction risk estimation and include established methods such as Population Viability Analysis (PVA) and Early Warning Systems, and emerging ‘Over-the-Horizon’ (OTH) methods. We develop a framework that integrates extinction risk assessment across timescales and outlines tradeoffs between shorter- and longer-term extinction prevention goals. This framework facilitates use of extinction risk forecasting in decision-theoretic conservation prioritisation that explicitly considers alternative time horizons for extinction prevention. Considering extinction risk on extended timescales offers a future-proof approach to conservation planning that may prevent more extinctions than focusing exclusively on currently threatened species.

Malaria is a deadly parasitic disease that is transmitted by mosquitoes. This study investigates occurrence patterns of malaria mosquito species to predict how climate change will affect their range ...

Science relies on integrity and trustworthiness. But scientists under career pressure are lured to purchase fake publications from ‘paper mills’ that use AI-generated data, text and image fabrication....

The ASN Diversity Committee (DC) seeks to add 2 new members starting in January 2026. The DC works to promote diversity, equity, and inclusiveness to enhance the study of evolution, ecology, and behav...

Biodiversity Citizen Science & Monitoring

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As a student from the Americas, you may be eligible for funding to support your doctoral study at Bath

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