R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
@rdbressler.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Economics @BentleyU | Formerly Climate Staff Economist @WhiteHouseCEA, PhD @Columbia @SipaSusDev
Pinned
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
www.science.org
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!
Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
This is a fascinating paper. It's the first (afaik) to actually document food&drink&retail scheduling unpredictability using actual firm data.
It illustrates v clearly why unpredictable scheduling makes these jobs so difficult:
It illustrates v clearly why unpredictable scheduling makes these jobs so difficult:
Check out Hannah awesome JMP on job schedule unpredictability and how minimum wage policy affects such unpredictability: hannahfarkas.github.io/files/The_Ec...
November 25, 2025 at 5:03 PM
This is a fascinating paper. It's the first (afaik) to actually document food&drink&retail scheduling unpredictability using actual firm data.
It illustrates v clearly why unpredictable scheduling makes these jobs so difficult:
It illustrates v clearly why unpredictable scheduling makes these jobs so difficult:
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Hi! I’m Mary and I’m on the #EconJobMarket this year.
Extreme heat doesn’t just affect students, it affects the people teaching them.
JMP 🧵:
Extreme heat doesn’t just affect students, it affects the people teaching them.
JMP 🧵:
November 14, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Hi! I’m Mary and I’m on the #EconJobMarket this year.
Extreme heat doesn’t just affect students, it affects the people teaching them.
JMP 🧵:
Extreme heat doesn’t just affect students, it affects the people teaching them.
JMP 🧵:
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Analysis based on work by @rdbressler.bsky.social on the mortality consequences of climate change, including our co-authored paper on country-level climate damages
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
November 20, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Analysis based on work by @rdbressler.bsky.social on the mortality consequences of climate change, including our co-authored paper on country-level climate damages
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Here's a few things I learned digging into electricity affordability and decarbonization in Connecticut 🧵
November 20, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Here's a few things I learned digging into electricity affordability and decarbonization in Connecticut 🧵
Really well-done article by @fastlerner.bsky.social that estimated temperature-related mortality impacts from recent climate rollbacks, drawing in part on my 2021 Nature Comms paper and my job market paper (bsky.app/profile/rdbr...). Check it out!
NEW: How will Trump's climate rollbacks play out in the future?
Our analysis using modeled emissions and a peer reviewed metric shows the people most likely to die from the resulting additional GHGs will be in poor countries least prepared to cope with the heat
www.propublica.org/article/trum...
Our analysis using modeled emissions and a peer reviewed metric shows the people most likely to die from the resulting additional GHGs will be in poor countries least prepared to cope with the heat
www.propublica.org/article/trum...
Trump’s Anti-Green Agenda Could Lead to 1.3 Million More Climate Deaths. The Poorest Countries Will Be Impacted Most.
Most of the people expected to suffer these temperature-related deaths live in poor countries in Africa and South Asia that are least prepared to cope with the increasing heat from climate change.
www.propublica.org
November 19, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Really well-done article by @fastlerner.bsky.social that estimated temperature-related mortality impacts from recent climate rollbacks, drawing in part on my 2021 Nature Comms paper and my job market paper (bsky.app/profile/rdbr...). Check it out!
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Should the carbon price be the same across countries and sectors?
Four kinds of imperfections call for differentiated carbon prices:
1. Different growth rates
2. Market power in trade
3. The presence of country- or sector-specific distorsive taxes
4. A constraint preventing cross-country transfers
Four kinds of imperfections call for differentiated carbon prices:
1. Different growth rates
2. Market power in trade
3. The presence of country- or sector-specific distorsive taxes
4. A constraint preventing cross-country transfers
September 8, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Should the carbon price be the same across countries and sectors?
Four kinds of imperfections call for differentiated carbon prices:
1. Different growth rates
2. Market power in trade
3. The presence of country- or sector-specific distorsive taxes
4. A constraint preventing cross-country transfers
Four kinds of imperfections call for differentiated carbon prices:
1. Different growth rates
2. Market power in trade
3. The presence of country- or sector-specific distorsive taxes
4. A constraint preventing cross-country transfers
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
A lot of Americans like to blame the Reagan Administration for the rise of market power and oligopoly in the US. But markups have been rising globally (except in South America) since 1980. Seems likely that other causes were at play:
drive.google.com/file/d/1W7A9...
drive.google.com/file/d/1W7A9...
DLE_global.pdf
drive.google.com
August 11, 2025 at 7:14 PM
A lot of Americans like to blame the Reagan Administration for the rise of market power and oligopoly in the US. But markups have been rising globally (except in South America) since 1980. Seems likely that other causes were at play:
drive.google.com/file/d/1W7A9...
drive.google.com/file/d/1W7A9...
🚨New Paper🚨
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics"
My new paper with regulatory legal scholar extraordinaire Andy Stawasz is out in Ecological Economics!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics"
My new paper with regulatory legal scholar extraordinaire Andy Stawasz is out in Ecological Economics!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics
Policies subject to BCA sometimes prevent premature deaths. If survivors would later have children, those policies not only prevent deaths; they cause…
www.sciencedirect.com
June 25, 2025 at 3:32 PM
🚨New Paper🚨
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics"
My new paper with regulatory legal scholar extraordinaire Andy Stawasz is out in Ecological Economics!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Valuing statistical absences? Why benefit-cost analysis cannot avoid population ethics"
My new paper with regulatory legal scholar extraordinaire Andy Stawasz is out in Ecological Economics!
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
We had an all-star group of job market candidates this year and an all-star job market coordinator @rmetcalfe.bsky.social . Great set of placements in a really tough year. Proud to be a part of this group!
Thrilled to share the fantastic placements of our eight Sustainable Development PhD job market candidates this year!
Anna Papp – Postdoc: MIT Econ | AP: UCSB Bren
Danny Bressler – AP: Bentley Econ
Gabriel Gonzalez Suntil – Economist: Amazon
Isabella Smythe – ML Engineer: Rhizome
Anna Papp – Postdoc: MIT Econ | AP: UCSB Bren
Danny Bressler – AP: Bentley Econ
Gabriel Gonzalez Suntil – Economist: Amazon
Isabella Smythe – ML Engineer: Rhizome
May 1, 2025 at 10:03 PM
We had an all-star group of job market candidates this year and an all-star job market coordinator @rmetcalfe.bsky.social . Great set of placements in a really tough year. Proud to be a part of this group!
"The uncertainty that is baked into this crisis is all the more reason to take urgent and decisive action to address it."
Remember how Y2K was going to lead to blackouts, bank runs and worse?
Well, it didn't. We had a deadline. We invested somewhere from $300 to $500 billion(!), and things turned out fine.
Climate change has no Y2K deadline. That's what makes it even harder to deal with
www.salon.com/2025/05/01/c...
Well, it didn't. We had a deadline. We invested somewhere from $300 to $500 billion(!), and things turned out fine.
Climate change has no Y2K deadline. That's what makes it even harder to deal with
www.salon.com/2025/05/01/c...
Chaos is the essence of climate change
The next climate disaster is sure to come. When and where is the question
www.salon.com
May 1, 2025 at 8:57 PM
"The uncertainty that is baked into this crisis is all the more reason to take urgent and decisive action to address it."
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
NEW: Fossil fuel firms like Chevron and Exxon owe the world trillions of dollars. Today in @nature.com, @jsmankin.bsky.social and I show economic losses from rising heat waves directly traceable to these firms, providing scientific support for climate accountability.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Carbon majors and the scientific case for climate liability - Nature
A transparent and reproducible scientific framework is introduced to formalize how trillions in economic losses are attributable to the extreme heat caused by emissions from fossil fuel companies, whi...
www.nature.com
April 23, 2025 at 3:12 PM
NEW: Fossil fuel firms like Chevron and Exxon owe the world trillions of dollars. Today in @nature.com, @jsmankin.bsky.social and I show economic losses from rising heat waves directly traceable to these firms, providing scientific support for climate accountability.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Job Market Done ✅ I'm thrilled to announce that I will be an Assistant Professor in Economics at Bentley University this fall.
I'm excited to join a great group of colleagues and to move back to Boston!
I'm excited to join a great group of colleagues and to move back to Boston!
April 21, 2025 at 8:32 PM
Job Market Done ✅ I'm thrilled to announce that I will be an Assistant Professor in Economics at Bentley University this fall.
I'm excited to join a great group of colleagues and to move back to Boston!
I'm excited to join a great group of colleagues and to move back to Boston!
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
New preprint finding that eliminating US global health funding over the next fifteen years would cause:
- 15.2m deaths from AIDS
- 2.2m deaths from TB
- 7.9 additional child deaths
- 15.2m deaths from AIDS
- 2.2m deaths from TB
- 7.9 additional child deaths
April 17, 2025 at 8:32 PM
New preprint finding that eliminating US global health funding over the next fifteen years would cause:
- 15.2m deaths from AIDS
- 2.2m deaths from TB
- 7.9 additional child deaths
- 15.2m deaths from AIDS
- 2.2m deaths from TB
- 7.9 additional child deaths
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Mississippi State Univ. is hiring a tenure-track Econ Assistant Prof w/ August start!
Open field; pref. for applied micro & teaching PhD Micro I & II (Micro II this fall).
Apply: MSU site & www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?JOE_ID=2025-01_111475768
Please repost—it's an off-cycle search. Thanks!
Open field; pref. for applied micro & teaching PhD Micro I & II (Micro II this fall).
Apply: MSU site & www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?JOE_ID=2025-01_111475768
Please repost—it's an off-cycle search. Thanks!
March 21, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Mississippi State Univ. is hiring a tenure-track Econ Assistant Prof w/ August start!
Open field; pref. for applied micro & teaching PhD Micro I & II (Micro II this fall).
Apply: MSU site & www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?JOE_ID=2025-01_111475768
Please repost—it's an off-cycle search. Thanks!
Open field; pref. for applied micro & teaching PhD Micro I & II (Micro II this fall).
Apply: MSU site & www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.php?JOE_ID=2025-01_111475768
Please repost—it's an off-cycle search. Thanks!
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
There are days in life that shake you.
I’m shattered 💔 to share that I just found out that the US Government terminated my 2024 NIH Director’s Early Independence Award (~$2 million), threatening my long-promised assistant professor job at Columbia University
& academic career... 1/🧵
I’m shattered 💔 to share that I just found out that the US Government terminated my 2024 NIH Director’s Early Independence Award (~$2 million), threatening my long-promised assistant professor job at Columbia University
& academic career... 1/🧵
March 18, 2025 at 11:27 PM
There are days in life that shake you.
I’m shattered 💔 to share that I just found out that the US Government terminated my 2024 NIH Director’s Early Independence Award (~$2 million), threatening my long-promised assistant professor job at Columbia University
& academic career... 1/🧵
I’m shattered 💔 to share that I just found out that the US Government terminated my 2024 NIH Director’s Early Independence Award (~$2 million), threatening my long-promised assistant professor job at Columbia University
& academic career... 1/🧵
Essential reading for folks interested in the economics of climate change. Check it out!
Those with institutional access to Oxford Academic/Oxford Scholarship Online can now access an HTML version of my book here: academic.oup.com/book/59438
Looks like the dead-tree version will be available on/by March 4.
Looks like the dead-tree version will be available on/by March 4.
The Social Cost of Carbon: Ethics and the Limits of Climate Change Economics
Abstract. Climate change economists have called it “the most important number you have never heard of” and the “holy grail of climate economic analysis.” I
academic.oup.com
January 15, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Essential reading for folks interested in the economics of climate change. Check it out!
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Planning your climate or environment syllabus? I like to show short videos so students & I can visualize some of the things we're talking about. Here are some of the ones I like:
January 2, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Planning your climate or environment syllabus? I like to show short videos so students & I can visualize some of the things we're talking about. Here are some of the ones I like:
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.
All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.
We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵
All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.
We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵
December 10, 2024 at 1:05 PM
The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.
All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.
We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵
All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.
We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
What’s important about this piece is economic theory, when translated into practice, needs to overcorrect for the actual impacts to people’s lives that efficiency driven by theory create. It’s not “winners COULD compensate losers” it’s “winners DO compensate losers”.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/o...
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/o...
Opinion | What Economists Could Learn From George Costanza
Their economic models produced a disaster, but they doubled down.
www.nytimes.com
December 23, 2024 at 2:47 PM
What’s important about this piece is economic theory, when translated into practice, needs to overcorrect for the actual impacts to people’s lives that efficiency driven by theory create. It’s not “winners COULD compensate losers” it’s “winners DO compensate losers”.
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/o...
www.nytimes.com/2024/12/23/o...
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Excited to announce a new @pnas.org publication on the Social Cost of Carbon. We integrate evidence from the literature and expert survey to provide an SCC distribution inclusive of both parametric and structural uncertainties. Our mean 2020 value is $283 per ton CO2
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Synthesis of evidence yields high social cost of carbon due to structural model variation and uncertainties | PNAS
Estimating the cost to society from a ton of CO2—termed the social cost of carbon
(SCC)—requires connecting a model of the climate system with a re...
www.pnas.org
December 17, 2024 at 9:42 PM
Excited to announce a new @pnas.org publication on the Social Cost of Carbon. We integrate evidence from the literature and expert survey to provide an SCC distribution inclusive of both parametric and structural uncertainties. Our mean 2020 value is $283 per ton CO2
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Extreme heat is preferentially killing young adults and small children, finds a new study co-led by @rdbressler.bsky.social and @ajsw.info with Columbia Climate School's Radley Horton, @adamsobel.bsky.social, @ccivanovich.bsky.social (now NASAGISS), Jeffrey Shrader, and colleagues. Via CBS News.
Young people more susceptible to heat-related death, study finds
A new Columbia University Climate School study discovered that young people may be most at risk of heat-related deaths. CBS News environmental correspondent David Schechter reports.
www.cbsnews.com
December 12, 2024 at 7:02 PM
Extreme heat is preferentially killing young adults and small children, finds a new study co-led by @rdbressler.bsky.social and @ajsw.info with Columbia Climate School's Radley Horton, @adamsobel.bsky.social, @ccivanovich.bsky.social (now NASAGISS), Jeffrey Shrader, and colleagues. Via CBS News.
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
Save the date: 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC) will be at the University of Victoria BC, Canada, Aug. 27-28, 2025.
Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky
Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky
December 11, 2024 at 5:09 PM
Save the date: 9th Conference on Econometric Models of Climate Change (EMCC) will be at the University of Victoria BC, Canada, Aug. 27-28, 2025.
Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky
Come if you want to learn about climate and econometrics (or just want to visit Vancouver Island...) Formal call for papers to follow in 2025. #EconSky
Reposted by R. Daniel (Danny) Bressler
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!
Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Heat disproportionately kills young people: Evidence from wet-bulb temperature in Mexico
Analysis of temperature exposure and microdata finds the majority of heat-related deaths are among people under 35 years old.
www.science.org
December 6, 2024 at 10:09 PM
🚨"Heat disproportionally kills young people: Evidence from Wet-Bulb Temperature Exposure" My new paper co-lead with @ajsw.info is out today!
Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Using 20 years of nationwide mortality microdata + wet-bulb temperature, we uncovered fascinating new findings. Thread 👇
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
See below for a really nice writeup from @columbiaclimate.bsky.social on my recent @science.org article co-lead with @ajsw.info
Here is my thread summarizing the study: bsky.app/profile/rdbr...
Here is my thread summarizing the study: bsky.app/profile/rdbr...
Extreme heat is preferentially killing young adults and small children, finds new study on mortality in Mexico by Columbia PhD candidate @rdbressler.bsky.social and Columbia Climate School, Stanford, Montana State, UCLA, Boston University, CICESE colleagues: news.climate.columbia.edu/2024/12/06/h...
December 10, 2024 at 5:49 PM
See below for a really nice writeup from @columbiaclimate.bsky.social on my recent @science.org article co-lead with @ajsw.info
Here is my thread summarizing the study: bsky.app/profile/rdbr...
Here is my thread summarizing the study: bsky.app/profile/rdbr...