Rory
@roryreckons.bsky.social
3.7K followers 500 following 6.1K posts
ADHD | Autistic Self-Advocate | ICF ADHD/Autism Coach. Nonbinary. They/he. 🏳️‍🌈Bi/pan. Married. Header is art by @kayas-kosmos.bsky.social
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roryreckons.bsky.social
I see why people were doing reintroductions now.

I am an ADHD/Autism self-advocate and researcher. I skeet these things sporadically ADHD/Autism/AuDHD science, local Aotearoa (NZ) politics, my own personal experiences with AuDHD.
I also skeet a lot of shitposts, and reskeet cool art I love.
roryreckons.bsky.social
You can do this by taxing landlords, which doesn't make things worse for the vast majority of New Zealanders and instead balances the scales of inequality rather than increasing inequality further.
roryreckons.bsky.social
A woman who dedicates her life to improving the lives of children clearly has an agenda of virtue signalling otherwise none of us would know this massively popular children's celebrity... is a take I guess.

Wild to me that people acting consistently across contexts is seen as anomalous.
Reposted by Rory
pftompkins.bsky.social
“I have a vague idea of who Ms Rachel is and based on that here are some unimpeachable truths about her”
larrrrrry.bsky.social
her advocacy for Palestinians doesn't bother me nearly as much as she is so desperately doing all this as an actual act of transparent virtue signaling, to fill the absence she has in depth of character
roryreckons.bsky.social
There is a lot not to like about all of this but Leland Vitter pretty explicitly states in a lot of places that his book is written about his experience and not meant to be prescriptive for others. His Dad quit his job to focus full time on him, and it is a mixed combo of good and bad approaches.
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edzitron.com
Tomorrow: The AI Bubble is built on impossible promises. GPUs die in 5 years, nobody has built a 1GW data center, and they have the power to do so. Stargate Abilene won't have enough power before 2028.

Here's a link for $10 off premium.

edzitronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo...
Everybody is very casual with how they talk about Sam Altman’s theoretical promises of trillions of dollars of data center infrastructure, and I'm not sure anybody realizes how difficult even the very basics of this plan will be.
Nevertheless, everybody is happily publishing stories about how “Stargate Abilene Texas - OpenAI’s massive data center with Oracle - is open,” by which they mean two buildings, and I’m not even confident both of them are providing compute to OpenAI yet. There are six more of them that need to get built for this thing to start rocking at 1.2GW - even though it’s only 1.1GW according to my sources in Abilene.
But, hey, sorry - one minute - while we’re on that subject, did anybody visiting Abilene in the last week or so ever ask whether they’ll have enough power there? 
Don’t worry, you don’t need to look - I’m sure you were just about to, and had simply been busy! - but I did the hard work for you and read up on it, and it turns out that Stargate Abilene only has 200 megawatts of power - a 200 megawatt substation that, according to my sources, has only been built within the last couple of months, with 350 Megawatt of gas turbine generators that connect to a natural gas power plant that might get built by the end of the year in the event that one of the multiple construction firms involved . Said turbine is extremely expensive, featuring volatile pricing (for context, volatility fell in Q2 2025…to 69% annualized, meaning that if you had these prices across the entirety of a year you’d see swings of 69% up or down) and even more volatile environmental consequences, and is, while permitted for it (this will download the PDF of the permit), impractical and expensive to use long-term. 
Analyst James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research recently said on Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast that these are “not the really good natural gas turbines” because the really good ones would take seven years to deliver due to a natural gas turbine shortage.
But th… Stargate Abilene does not have sufficient power to run at even half of its supposed IT load of 1.2GW, and at its present capacity - assuming that the gas turbines function at full power - can only hope to run 370MW to 460MW of IT load.
I’ve seen article after article about the gas turbines and their use of fracked gas - a disgusting and wasteful act typical of OpenAI - but nobody appears to have asked “how much power does a 1.2GW data center require?” and then chased it with “how much power does Stargate Abilene have?”
The answer is not enough, and the significance of said “not enough” is remarkable.
Today, I’m going to tell you, at length, how impossible the future of generative AI is. 
Gigawatt data centers are a ridiculous pipe dream, one that runs face-first into the walls of reality.  
The world’s governments and media have been far too cavalier with the term “gigawatt,” casually breezing by the fact that Altman’s plans require 17 or more nuclear reactors’ worth of power, as if building power is quick and easy and cheap and just happens.
I believe that many of you think that this is an issue of permitting - of simply throwing enough money at the problem - when we are in the midst of a shortage in the electrical grade steel and transformers required to expand America (and the world’s) power grid.
I realize it’s easy to get blinded by the constant drumbeat of “gargoyle-like tycoon cabal builds 1 gigawatt data center” and feel that they will simply overwhelm the problem with money, but no, I’m afraid that isn’t the case at all, and all of this is so silly, so ridiculous, so cartoonishly bad that it threatens even the seemingly-infinite wealth of Elon Musk, with xAI burning over a billion dollars a month and planning to spend tens of billions of dollars building the Colossus 2 data center, dragging two billion dollars from SpaceX in his desperate quest to burn as much money as possible for no reason. 
This is the age of hubris - a time in which we are going to watc…
Reposted by Rory
edzitron.com
Every single AI data center is a toxic investment, with most of its value tied up in GPUs that will be multiple generations behind by the time these things turn on - and then die in 3-5 years.

All to build for AI demand that doesn't exist.
edzitronswheresyouredatghostio.outpost.pub/public/promo...
Actually, wait - how long do GPUs last, exactly? Four years for training? Three years? The A100 GPU started shipping in May 2020, and the H100 (and the Hopper GPU generation) entered full production in September 2022, meaning that we’re hurtling at speed toward the time in which we’re going to start seeing a remarkable amount of chips start wearing down, which should be a concern for companies like Microsoft, who bought 150,000 Hopper GPUs in 2023 and 485,000 of them in 2024.
Alright, let me just be blunt: the entire economy of debt around GPUs is insane.
Assuming these things don’t die within five years (their warranties generally end in three), their value absolutely will, as NVIDIA has committed to releasing a new AI chip every single year, likely with significant increases to power and power efficiency. At the end of the five year period, the Special Purpose Vehicle will be the proud owner of five-year-old chips that nobody is going to want to rent at the price that Elon Musk has been paying for the last five years. Don’t believe me? Take a look at the rental prices for H100 GPUs that went from $8-an-hour in 2023 to $2-an-hour in 2024, or the Silicon Data Indexes (aggregated realtime indexes of hourly prices) that show H100 rentals at around $2.14-an-hour and A100 rentals at a dollar-an-hour, with Vast.AI offering them at as little as $0.67 an hour.
This is, by the way, a problem that faces literally every data center being built in the world, and I feel insane talking about it. It feels like nobody is talking about how impossible and ridiculous all of this is - it’s one thing that OpenAI has promised one trillion dollars to people - it’s another that large swaths of that will be spent on hardware that will, by the end of these agreements, be half-obsolete and generating less revenue than ever.
Think about it - let’s assume we live in a fantasy land where OpenAI is somehow able to pay Oracle $300 billion over 5 years. Said money is paying for access to Blackwell…
roryreckons.bsky.social
Creativity isn't the domain of people with ultraconservative views. The rehashed titles you see that come out every year to nickel and dime players are the closest thing you can get to 'conservative' game development.

People who fear new things aren't good creators.
roryreckons.bsky.social
Funniest thing about a lot of "gamer" complaints is them accusing indie devs of having a DEI consultant.

Yes, teams known for having a multitude of developers and budgets for consulting.

Couldn't be that they actually are a minority in the gaming community who actually has issues with "woke".
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Reposted by Rory
hannahgais.bsky.social
Those are three people in inflatable frog suits.
@MrAndyNgo
Now that the local and national press have started to cover the Portland ICE area round-the-clock in reaction to the President, Antifa have devised a plan where they are encouraging one another to come in animal costumes.

The costumes serve the function of masking the violent extremism to make the direct action appear like a family-friendly gathering on camera, and to whitewash the past ultraviolence. 

In 2019, Antifa devised a similar plot by giving out free "milkshakes" at a protest. But they couldn't contain their bloodthirst and nearly killed me when they saw me. In 2020, they mobilized a fake "Wall of Moms" where female Antifa supporters and members wore yellow shirts to act as human body shields while violent rioters behind them hurled projectile weapons.

photo of three people in inflatable frog costumes
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donni.bsky.social
It’s actually pretty bad for your mental health to know stuff
roryreckons.bsky.social
Ridicule of fascist reigmes is one of the most effective forms of counter protest. Ask Otpor and Slobodan Milošević.
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comingupcharlie.bsky.social
Some people get so caught up in online culture war stuff that they seem to forget they are not American. Here is an Aucklander imagining being jailed for speech crimes by an imaginary regime in a country he does not live in.
roryreckons.bsky.social
A cure implies implicitly that we are a disease, or something that needs to be eradicated.

Public perception has been shifting slowly, but the bigots who hate us will be emboldened again to push for us to go back to being small and invisible.
roryreckons.bsky.social
They remove parts of brains, subject people to electroshock therapy, treat autistic people in ways that the international dog trainer's association is unethical and lobby against.
roryreckons.bsky.social
One of the most reliable ways to trigger me and cause emotional dysregulation is just reading the latest research on autism periodically. Heart rate spikes, shoulders tense. Because reading about people like you (often children) treated like lab animals and subjected to torture is frequent.
roryreckons.bsky.social
Getting pretty sick of people asking what caused me. My parents had sex, I was born, no different to the vast majority of people on earth.
They chase a cure because being more accepting requires a level of decency that doesn't exist for so many people it seems. Especially non-autistic researchers.
roryreckons.bsky.social
As someone who loved the direction autism research was starting to head with more autistic researchersand autistic people included. Having a second fucking version of the Wakefield bullshit diverting millions of research dollars to chasing an absolute myth makes me livid to be honest.
roryreckons.bsky.social
Learning about rare conditions in psych that gave me nightmares:
Capgras syndrome - neurodegeneration that causes you to believe someone important in your life is an imposter.
Fregoli delusion - where you believe different people are all the same person in disguise/or who shapeshifts.
roryreckons.bsky.social
I have a lot of discussions with colleagues about being skeptical of any neurotransmitter theory. It is an incredibly simplified view. IMHO scans aren't high enough density due to limitations in current scanning tech.
roryreckons.bsky.social
Wondering if there will ever be another legendary satirist comedy stunt group like Chasers - will never forget them getting into APEC through security.
www.youtube.com