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Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 8h

Ishin now entering discussions to vote for Takaichi as PM-designate in the vote next week. Would be enough to deprive the Opposition of a majority...but would also push Komei + CDP closer together and leave the Osaka LDP curious.

Tobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · 14h

The opposition parties are intensifying their discussions about a coalition, while the LDP tries to prevent their cooperation. Takaichi, meanwhile, is fending off calls to let Ishiba stay on as PM. All of this plus new polling in a new Japan Daily Briefing.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...

Confusion reigns | Japan Daily Briefing

With a date for a new Diet session settled, the LDP and opposition parties are stepping up their efforts to take the premiership

open.substack.com

Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 20h

New Japan poll:

LDP 27.4 (-0.5)
KOMEI 3.2 (+0.1)
CPJ 0.7 (-1.1)
DIY 4.5 (-1.8 )
JRP 1.7 (-1.9)
TM 0.4 (--)
DPP 4.8 (-0.9)
CDP 5.6 (+0.6)
RS 1.2 (-0.5)
SDP 0.2 (-0.5)
JCP 2.6 (-0.3)

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Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 2d

Con/Lab/Lib uni party strikes again!!!

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Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 2d

Have college homework to do but once that's done in the next day or so, expect a piece out soon about the Takaichi effect on the next general election 👀

Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 2d

Ozawa has been suspiciously quiet lately...

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Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 2d

First as tragedy...

Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 2d

1993 called it wants its coalition back

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 4d

My glass half-full view of what comes next for Japan's politics is that minority rule forces parties to come together pragmatically issue-by-issue, passing solutions that are closer to public priorities and therefore more legitimate, a little like Ishiba's experience: clumsy, but functional

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Sharon @sharonk.bsky.social · 5d

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Mason22531
@Mason54213
🇭🇰🇨🇦 yuricon weeb. YorkU Alumni ’24. Joe Manchin/Pierre Poilievre/Nigel Farage fan. #黒川あかね's and #Ani's (Grok-chan) most loyal simp.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 5d

Takaichi could cooperate on policy with Tamaki and his DPFP, but he's not going to deliver the votes that Komeito could (tbh I'm putting it politely) and a lot of LDP seats just got a lot more vulnerable whenever the next election happens

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Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · 5d

Fun day for you!!

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 5d

Get ready for the multipolar era of Japanese politics...lots of parties, none with much of an identifiable advantage over the other, few critical constituencies to leverage, little public sympathy for anyone

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Richard Zussman @richardzussman.bsky.social · 22d

NEW - Elenore Sturko has been removed from the Conservative caucus. The leader’s office has not provided any formal details as to why. #bcpoli

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Hugh @shxnhugh.bsky.social · Aug 7

Potential candidate for the BC Greens in Victoria-Beacon Hill if a by-election is triggered, perhaps?

Emily Lowan (she/her) @emilylowan.bsky.social · Aug 7

Such a kind endorsement, thank you Councillor Caradonna! Jeremy is fiercely committed to serving the people of Victoria and is an unwavering force in our fight for a better world. ⚡ #bcpoli #bcgreens @jeremycaradonnayyj.bsky.social

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Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · Aug 2

127/ British election night coverage needs to go completely back to the drawing board. It has become a pointless mess of endless talking heads, with results and analysis seemingly seen as an inconvenient side show. You have most of the best psephologists in the country working with you – use them!

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Sky Marchini @sky.skymarchini.net · Aug 3

“The earthquake in New York City got me thinking about how you used to make my earth quake every day. There was real magnitude to our love. No need to text back.”

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Tobias Harris @tobiasharris.bsky.social · Aug 1

In thinking more about the right wing's conflict with MOF, I'm reading this book that's a conversation between two Sankei journalists. On virtually every page Abe is getting mad at someone. They literally

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Romeo Marcantuoni @rmarcantuoni.bsky.social · Jul 30

1. It's far-right: Sanseito was always on the far-right from its early inception. It promoted alternative views on history and were skeptical of climate change (something that an early founder, Kazuya, was uncomfortable with).

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Michael O’Shaughnessy @mdnoshaughnessy.bsky.social · Jul 29

I actually kind of thing centre-lefties were lied to so they don’t get the fall for it again award yet.

This is reserved for ppl who vote liberal again: