Hugh
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shxnhugh.bsky.social
Hugh
@shxnhugh.bsky.social
Chasing the realignment.
The Vox explainer music midway through is crazy but beyond that, really good video.
PRINCE GEORGE🌲Workers are uniting in the fight to reclaim forestry from the big multinationals, who strip the forests, cut jobs and skip town with the profits. It’s time to cut a new deal for workers, our ecosystems and forests 👉 #princegeorge #bc #bcpoli #bcgreens #tour #fighttheoligarchs
December 8, 2025 at 2:13 AM
Reposted by Hugh
I love this recurring bit where journos try to ask Starmer what motivates him and his answer is always something lofty that bears no relation to his policies
Keir Starmer Observer interview with @rachelsylvester.bsky.social articulates opportunity for young people as his defining mission for his government
December 7, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Reposted by Hugh
I think the thing that Hatoyama and now Takaichi benefited from is the reality that people are suckers for a good story and will give their support while the story is fresh. Grandson of the first LDP PM drives the LDP into opposition is a good story. First female PM is a good story.
Found this today while doing some cleaning.
December 6, 2025 at 11:26 PM
People running for BC Conservative leadership:

• Political commentator Caroline Elliott
• Jobs Critic Harman Bhangu
• Finance Critic Peter Milobar
• Businessman Yuri Fulmer
December 3, 2025 at 10:13 PM
What's likely going to happen:

By the time labour day hits, at least one if not two other parties on the left among COPE/GRN/OC will have thrown their weight behind a common mayoral candidate.

On the right, if Sim is forced out – easy to see the VanLibs hoovering up the centre + centre-right.
More 2026 news! COPE officially announces they will also plan for a mayoral candidate

They believe their political moment is now, OneCity believes they have the organizing/fundraising ability, and Greens believe they have Pete Fry, so expect this left impasse for at least a few more months
December 1, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Reposted by Hugh
More 2026 news! COPE officially announces they will also plan for a mayoral candidate

They believe their political moment is now, OneCity believes they have the organizing/fundraising ability, and Greens believe they have Pete Fry, so expect this left impasse for at least a few more months
December 1, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Reposted by Hugh
I'm beginning to think that the CCP is agitprop by the LDP in order to boost their support rates with the Japanese public
China reimposed a ban on Japanese seafood imports Wednesday, reports said, as the diplomatic row over Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's recent comments on Taiwan escalated and officials girded for a prolonged dispute.
China to reimpose ban on Japanese seafood imports amid row over Taiwan, reports say
China ratcheted up the pressure on Tokyo as a prolonged dispute with Beijing over the Japanese leader's remarks on Taiwan appeared inevitable.
ebx.sh
November 19, 2025 at 10:40 AM
Very funny how much Albanese’s Labor viscerally hated the Greens.
November 27, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Reposted by Hugh
Imo it's bad to stan politicians in any situation but boy oh boy Zohran and his wife are like some sort of bisexuality-awakening sleeper cell
November 4, 2025 at 1:39 AM
Let a million Likely R races bloom
November 23, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Reposted by Hugh
November 9, 2025 at 2:04 AM
Reposted by Hugh
yeah I'm not a Minneapolis expert but comparing 2025mplsresults.dreamhosters.com and www.justicemap.org and Google, I feel like in the first round, Fateh won Somalians in the city (Cedar-Riverside) and lost Af-Am (Near North)
I need to get out of bed and go to my computer to check, allegedly Frey won Black voters over Fateh, which if true is crazy because white incumbents usually do not do that over Black candidates. Although if true the explanation might be that Omar is Somalian and not Af-Am, which...okay
November 6, 2025 at 8:20 AM
Reposted by Hugh
Emerson I am going to kill you
Two new polls today in NYC mayor race: Zohran Mamdani now at 50% to Cuomo's 25% in Emerson poll. In Marist poll, Zohran is up by 16% over Cuomo. Of People who voted early 58%, had cast their ballots for Mamdani. This has the makings of a blow out win for the working class and big loss for oligarchs
November 5, 2025 at 2:35 AM
EmLo 2027 lock it in
As someone who isn't familiar with British politics, can someone learn me if we're likely to see floor crossings to the Greens in deeply progressive areas

Like, if the BC NDP were doing this poorly it wouldn't surprise me to see MLAs in East Van or Victoria consider it inews.co.uk/news/politic...
'We face annihilation': Starmer braced for tense showdown with Labour MPs
Labour backbenchers are growing increasingly pessimistic about their prospects at forthcoming elections
inews.co.uk
November 4, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Reposted by Hugh
I didn't want to say any of it until its getting to be public, but, yeah, you can read the tea leaves here regarding Zohran's relationship with Brad Lander

h/t @petersterne.com for alluding to this
October 22, 2025 at 7:30 PM
From what I've heard, the main 3 camps seem to be a #populist camp allied with Common Sense BC and the party board represented by Harman Bhangu OR Aaron Gunn, a BC Liberal reconquista faction with Milobar at the helm, endorsed by Dew, and a synthesis wing championed by Caroline Elliott.
I don't have a read on internal BC Conservative dynamics. But if you wonder who replaces Rustad, I think the most obious replacements fall into two camps: BC Liberal pragmatists (Milobar / Doerkson / Hepner) and very ambitious strivers (Dew / Banman)
He gone.
October 22, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Reposted by Hugh
Might be the best concise summary of Japan's current political situation I've encountered...Masaya Inoue of Keio University correctly highlights the role of factions and the future instability of any coming government:
Takaichi’s victory is a milestone on the road to a new party system in Japan
Sanae Takaichi’s presidency is a win for the LDP right, but as prime minister she would be hostage to complex policy challenges and a shifting political landscape.
eastasiaforum.org
October 19, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Reposted by Hugh
The concluding lines are apt:
October 16, 2025 at 2:21 AM
Ishin now entering discussions to vote for Takaichi as PM-designate in the vote next week. Would be enough to deprive the Opposition of a majority...but would also push Komei + CDP closer together and leave the Osaka LDP curious.
The opposition parties are intensifying their discussions about a coalition, while the LDP tries to prevent their cooperation. Takaichi, meanwhile, is fending off calls to let Ishiba stay on as PM. All of this plus new polling in a new Japan Daily Briefing.

open.substack.com/pub/observin...
Confusion reigns | Japan Daily Briefing
With a date for a new Diet session settled, the LDP and opposition parties are stepping up their efforts to take the premiership
open.substack.com
October 15, 2025 at 4:01 AM
New Japan poll:

LDP 27.4 (-0.5)
KOMEI 3.2 (+0.1)
CPJ 0.7 (-1.1)
DIY 4.5 (-1.8 )
JRP 1.7 (-1.9)
TM 0.4 (--)
DPP 4.8 (-0.9)
CDP 5.6 (+0.6)
RS 1.2 (-0.5)
SDP 0.2 (-0.5)
JCP 2.6 (-0.3)
October 14, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Have college homework to do but once that's done in the next day or so, expect a piece out soon about the Takaichi effect on the next general election 👀
October 13, 2025 at 4:11 AM
First as tragedy...
October 13, 2025 at 4:09 AM
1993 called it wants its coalition back
October 13, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Reposted by Hugh
My glass half-full view of what comes next for Japan's politics is that minority rule forces parties to come together pragmatically issue-by-issue, passing solutions that are closer to public priorities and therefore more legitimate, a little like Ishiba's experience: clumsy, but functional
October 11, 2025 at 12:23 AM
Reposted by Hugh
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October 10, 2025 at 10:54 AM