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Paul Nadeau

@pauljnadeau.bsky.social

2.2K followers 430 following 5.9K posts

Trade, politics, and geoeconomics. Editor of Tokyo Review, adjunct professor with Temple University Japan, visiting research fellow with the Institute of Geoeconomics/Asia Pacific Initiative, should be GM of the Montreal Canadiens. Usual disclaimers.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · Apr 4

If you know any international students in the United States, a colleague of mine made a flier to help students with finding an immigration lawyer. Please share and circulate among your networks:

I'm an international student! How do I find an immigration lawyer?

Where to look:
-Free: Check immigrationlawhelp.org and search by state.
-Paid: ALIA (the American Immigration Lawyers Association) and NIPNLG (the National Immigration Project) maintain directories of immigration attorneys.

What to prepare:
Bring any immigration documents you have (visas, letters from USCIS, etc.) to your first meeting with an attorney.

Avoid scams:
-Ask for proof that the provider is a licensed attorney or otherwise recognized or accredited by the Department of Justice
-Get a contract for legal services
-Never pay to access USCIS forms - they're free

Scan the code or visit https://linktr.ee/lawyerinfo for more resources + info

*this flyer is not legal advice*

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Reposted by Paul Nadeau

Will Saletan @saletan.bsky.social · 5h

Here's a neat trick they teach in authoritarianism school: If you purge the people who measure the effects of your policies (BLS, MMWR), you can just claim everything's great, and nobody can prove how much damage you're doing.

Sheryl Gay Stolberg @sherylnyt.bsky.social · 5h

BREAKING: Friday night massacre underway at CDC. Doznes of "disease detectives," high-level scientists, entire Washington staff and editors of the MMWR (Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report) have all been RIFed and received the following notice:

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 6h

Gonna need to sit with the fact that I spent four years to achieve nothing.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 6h

The worst part is that it's not just that the author didn't cite me, they didn't even need to cite me. I'm entirely out of the picture on the field that, as PhD students, we're told that we're supposed to make our own.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 6h

Anyway, I got a book yesterday that makes the same theoretical argument as my dissertation I wrapped up in 2001, so the author beat me to the argument.

Might've passed the review, but I failed the assignment. Completely failed. That shit's over for me now, I'm finished.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

Only took 400 hundred years, but maybe these guys got the last laugh

Edo-era map of the Dutch settlement of Dejima in Nagasaki harbor

Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

But I think @suika.bsky.social's suggestion about the comparison to Dutch politics is right...we're about to find out what it's like to have a G7 nation but with the stability of Dutch politics

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

I'm not sure what I'd think if I was Sanseito right now...sure, they'd probably do well if a snap election was called shortly, but at the same time you've got an LDP who might be more ideologically coherent as a conservative party if Aso and Takaichi dig in, and that would syphon off a lot of votes

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

Which is to say, the situation could be managed well with the right personalities that recognize that no one really has the upper hand here.

But then also there's Aso Taro

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

My glass-half empty view is that personalities overestimate their own leverage to overreach on coalition building and legislative priorities, devolving into party infighting, undermining the potential to take action on public priorities, and cycling through least-common-denominator governments

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

My glass half-full view of what comes next for Japan's politics is that minority rule forces parties to come together pragmatically issue-by-issue, passing solutions that are closer to public priorities and therefore more legitimate, a little like Ishiba's experience: clumsy, but functional

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

Look the reason we have to keep TikTok out of the United States is because, as a PRC-sanctioned app, it will violate basic norms of freedom of speech and censor content that party leaders may find objectionable wait hold on I've just been handed a note

Prem Thakker ツ @premthakker.bsky.social · 8h

Huh: TikTok took down my 8-second video featuring this image of Debbie Brockman — the news producer just detained by Trump’s CBP agents — saying it violates the “joy of TikTok”

Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

Deleting

Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 7h

gah shoot you're right

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Reposted by Paul Nadeau

Barred and Boujee aka Madiba Dennie @audrelawdamercy.bsky.social · 9h

aaand we are officially in the hide-your-neighbors stage

Sophie Sherry @sophiesherry.bsky.social · 12h

During a military-style raid on a building in Chicago’s South Shore, one resident heard a knock on his door.   It wasn’t the feds — it was a mom and her 7-year-old daughter, pleading for help.

He let them hide in his unit for the next 3 days.

chicago.suntimes.com/immigration/...

Neighbor shielded 7-year-old during South Shore federal raid: ‘I didn’t want them to take her’

During the Sept. 30 raid one tenant protected a terrified girl and her mom. Remnants at the complex, including a detailed map of all the units, offer clues to what authorities may have known before th...

chicago.suntimes.com

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Reposted by Paul Nadeau

Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 1d

Picture how big the Hoover Dam is. An absolute unit. The Hoover Dam has a power capacity of 2 gigawatts (GW).

The solar farm that the Admin just cancelled could have produces 6.2 GW of power. That's more than 3 Hoover Dams.

jael holzman @jael.bsky.social · 1d

SCOOP: The Bureau of Land Management says the largest solar project in Nevada — the Esmeralda 7 mega-farm — has been canceled

The news was quietly dropped via a sudden website update with no public word from any of the companies involved or a statement from the agency

@heatmap.news

Esmeralda 7 Solar Project Has Been Canceled, BLM Says

It would have delivered a gargantuan 6.2 gigawatts of power.

heatmap.news

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 22h

Completely agree, a lot of party leaders have badly misread the moment

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 22h

Illustrating my point - the loss of Komeito is a massive blow to the LDP's seat count in an upcoming election. Conservatives here might think they can make up those seats by becoming a more ideologically-coherent party, but Tamaki, Ishin, and the rest aren't terribly good at vote-getting

Nikkei article suggests that the LDP could lose 20% of the single-member district seats it won in 2024 (132) if Komeito leaves the coalition government. Of these, the CDP could overtake the LDP in 20 districts. Holding PR seats consistent, seat totals could lean 166-168 to CDP.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 22h

Someone talked me into that possibility only last night!

Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 22h

Bad Place is still bad

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 22h

His take is holding up pretty well so far!

Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 4d

The emeritus dean of Japan politics studies in the U.S. has thoughts about Takaichi:

Gerald Curtis: Takaichi victory hastens LDP's collapse; 'not if, when'

Veteran Japan watcher worried about what comes after the 'most boring election'

asia.nikkei.com

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 22h

Feel like I need to pull my old Gerry Curtis books down off the shelf as a refresher

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 23h

I don't know enough about Dutch politics to say, but a multipolar party system could certainly work...I even thought Ishiba's minority government was functional if awkward. The biggest risk IMO is the political instability that comes with it

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 1d

Get ready for the multipolar era of Japanese politics...lots of parties, none with much of an identifiable advantage over the other, few critical constituencies to leverage, little public sympathy for anyone

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Reposted by Paul Nadeau

hakusangazette.bsky.social @hakusangazette.bsky.social · 1d

At least Liz Truss managed to become PM.

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Paul Nadeau @pauljnadeau.bsky.social · 1d

Right? I know Aso wants to rehabilitate his people but this is looking like it was a complete self-own

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