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John Cluverius

@johncluverius.bsky.social

4.9K followers 700 following 8.4K posts

Political scientist, professor, pollster, parent, partner. Pro-choice, pro-union, and pro-orca. “If you fail at something long enough, you become a legend.” All statements are personal opinions, not reflective of university positions.

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 8h

Make being a Democrat Joyous Again

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Reposted by John Cluverius

Jonathan Ladd @jonmladd.bsky.social · Nov 11

I'm on team Theda Skocpol/Hahrie Han on this. www.thenation.com/article/poli...

The US Is a Civic Desert. To Survive, the Democratic Party Needs to Transform Itself.

The party should jettison its consultant class and move toward a local-membership model that would help to rejuvenate civic life across the country.

www.thenation.com

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 9h

that joke about just turning the big dial labeled "TARIFFS" and seeing how the stock market reacts has come to life so hard.

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 9h

There are many "difficult" women in Congress, but are her people loyal? Mikulski's people were loyal. I've told this story before, but in college one of my friends was working for her. When I repeated some unkind rumors about his boss, he gave me the business like I had said it about his mother.

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 10h

Feels good, man

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 10h

So inflatable frog or Phoebe Bridgers inflatable frog?

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 11h

Repeal the 20th and most of the 19th Century

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 18h

[atonal screaming]

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 18h

Quietly freaking out to wonder if respondents know the difference between legal and illegal immigration

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 18h

You learn something new every day!

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 18h

We build in a bunch of checks for our YG surveys that our research director uses to exclude respondents on the back end. We also chat multiple times a week regardless of if we have active projects just to keep the relationship healthy. Vendor management is an underutilized tool in survey research.

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Reposted by John Cluverius

Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 1d

We talk a lot about AIPAC and “the Israel lobby” but when it came to Israel, Biden had a genuine ideological commitment to the “hug Bibi” strategy even as others in his party didn’t like it.

Andrew Exum @exum.bsky.social · 1d

This week has confirmed my suspicion that Biden’s Middle East policies will look worse, and will be even more embarrassing for Democrats, with the passage of time.

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

I’m actually reaching out to our TPUSA chapter to be their faculty sponsor I don’t give a FUCK.

Drew McKevitt @drewmckevitt.bsky.social · 1d

Years ago I was teaching my gun history class and at the end of the quarter one of the students said that he was in the campus TPUSA chapter and they put him up to taking the class to spy on me but he felt bad about that because he loved the class and learned a lot and had a great time

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

Look what if the matty Healy thing was just to SEO “Taylor Swift the 1975” away from that video of her and Karlie?

I’m just asking questions!

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

It’s the same theater as the VSFS! There are 38 rings! The NEW YORK LIBERTY

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

Being a grad school tumblr user i have been kind of *more* pilled on this issue than i previously thought

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

Presumably this will also have #MEGOV action

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

Look, I’m allowed to believe in *one* non-antisemitic conspiracy theory

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

Don’t worry the Dean paid for an #MESEN poll before July

Reposted by John Cluverius

The Downballot @the-downballot.com · Aug 28

That #MESen poll from Graham Platner circulating y'day does *not* reflect the current state of the race. It was an "informed ballot," where respondents are given info about candidates *before* they're asked how they'd vote.

The memo (below) did *not* include data on an "initial," uninformed, ballot

ME-Sen Change Research informed ballot poll for Graham Platner (Aug. 2025)

www.documentcloud.org

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John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

I am genuinely curious what the polling memo says under than OUR VOTERS ARE FURIOUS and a lot of atonal grunting

Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur.bsky.social · 1d

NEW: Emboldened Democrats dig in on health care demands in shutdown fight

Senate Dem comms directors got a briefing and poll memo y'day. The pollster's advice? That Republicans are losing this battle, health care demands are popular, and stay the course.

www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...

Emboldened Democrats dig in on health care demands in shutdown fight

Energized by public opinion, Democrats are refusing to budge on their demands to extend expiring Obamacare tax credits, frustrating Republican leaders as the shutdown continues.

www.nbcnews.com

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

Ah yes, Seine-Saint-Denis.

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

I'm not a super-weirdo about it, like I don't present presidential options as "electors for Trump and Vance" or whatever, and I use party labels in the question stem but I *think* we've only used them in states where ballots have party labels.

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

this is partially because i'm Michigan model-pilled as much as anyone who didn't go to Michigan, and because I think polls should replicate the voter experience.

John Cluverius @johncluverius.bsky.social · 1d

i'm not polling nyc right now, but on some level I think you do poll the 5-way because that's what the ballot looks like, right?

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