smpaley.bsky.social
@smpaley.bsky.social
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Universal swing in action: "What we saw last night was a directional shift toward Democrats in 99.8% of counties that held partisan elections." www.gelliottmorris.com/p/seven-data...
November 5, 2025 at 1:20 PM
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Motherfucking wind farms…
July 30, 2025 at 5:02 PM
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people are getting hit with surprise tariff bills on their online orders and are not having a good time. take, for example, the bridesmaid who bought and returned two dresses for $400 and then got a $600 bill from fedex to cover import charges. www.businessinsider.com/americans-hu...
Surprise! You literally owe the tariffs
Americans are being hit with huge tariff bills on their online orders.
www.businessinsider.com
June 19, 2025 at 2:31 PM
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y'know it's kind of a tell that they think celebrating the end of slavery is DEI
June 19, 2025 at 3:56 PM
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The answer is in ICE's selection of targets:

* Democratic politicians in public
* Immigrants attending court hearings, at work, or at schools

None of those people will be armed.

On the flipside, ICE is scrupulously avoiding raids on cartel affiliates, drug dealing sites, etc. They might be armed.
I’m still surprised that in a nation drowning in guns and “stand your ground” rationalizations, none of these masked kidnappers have been shot at yet.
I still can't get past the idea that people in America are now supposed to accept that this is a valid form of law enforcement and just assume it's fine when random dudes in groups with face-coverings, no ID, no warrant, & no uniform grab people off the street and force them into unmarked vehicles
June 17, 2025 at 8:16 PM
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Instant Pot is about to go through some things.
June 16, 2025 at 2:24 PM
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How distortion becomes reality:
June 16, 2025 at 3:21 PM
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Authoritarians want you to feel isolated and alone, to feel like their vision of the world is the only one.

That’s why taking part in public protests matters. You connect with other people like you and you show those numbers off to the world. It’s a great feeling. Try it!
June 14, 2025 at 3:25 PM
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It's kinda crazy to remember that the mass protests today got their start (and name) from a tweet about congestion pricing
June 14, 2025 at 11:04 PM
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Lately I've seen many references to the 3.5% rule. A few years ago I pulled together this Q&A on potential uses and misuses of this statistic. www.hks.harvard.edu/sites/defaul...
April 1, 2025 at 2:32 AM
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Live updates: The No Kings protest along seven miles of El Camino Real from Palo Alto to Sunnyvale was called 7x7 because organizers hoped for 7,000 attendees. Instead, they got around 20,000, said organizer IdaRose Sylvester. www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/arti...
No Kings protests: Dispersal order in L.A. as police push protesters from downtown
Today’s No Kings demonstrations drew massive and mostly peaceful crowds of protesters in San Francisco, Oakland and across the Bay Area. Los Angeles is more tense as police issue a dispersal...
www.sfchronicle.com
June 15, 2025 at 2:22 AM