Tim Allinger
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timallinger.bsky.social
Tim Allinger
@timallinger.bsky.social
Incoming Postdoctoral Researcher, University of Zurich | Political Science | Democratic attitudes & norms, political extremism, and causal inference | He/him
Reposted by Tim Allinger
New article and special issue!
Just out in Comparative Political Studies: “Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities", the intro to a special issue on countering illiberalism in liberal democracies.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Thread 🧵1/7
Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies: Information, Legacies, Temporalities - Giovanni Capoccia, 2026
The article lays the foundations of a research agenda on the conditions favoring short-term success against emerging illiberal challenges—necessary for democrat...
journals.sagepub.com
February 12, 2026 at 10:08 PM
Very glad that our first DEMNORM paper found such a great home at @thejop.bsky.social. If you’re interested in the role of social desirability in online surveys, check out the thread and paper below ⬇️
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):

We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.

Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.

w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social

URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
February 13, 2026 at 8:32 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨Happy to finally see this out in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social (with @leonardocarella.bsky.social)

⁉️ Does growing up when immigration is salient make people vote for parties they agree with on immigration *for the rest of their lives*?

doi.org/10.1017/S147...
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
From context to congruence: Immigration salience and voter socialization
doi.org
January 27, 2026 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
📄 New WP version out: revised text, tightened argument, and new analysis.

The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social)

Grateful for the helpful comments and presentation opportunities. Further feedback welcome!

🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...
January 20, 2026 at 4:01 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
New paper in @ajpseditor.bsky.social. Is descriptive representation good for substantive representation? Why do voters stay loyal to corrupt and poorly governing ethnic parties? I argue that we ought to focus less on patronage and more on dignity concerns. Defiant pride can come at a price. 1/🧵
December 8, 2025 at 10:01 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
How do contemporary challenges of backsliding and war interact? We show that interstate conflict boosts support for undemocratic candidates, especially among Republicans who *do not prefer democratic Rs over undemocratic Rs* during interstate conflict.

Out in @bjpols.bsky.social with Lasse Laustsen
NEW -

Interstate Conflict Increases the Appeal of Undemocratic Candidates - https://cup.org/3Lx7bjx

"undemocratic candidates are evaluated more positively under conflict compared to peace"

- @kristianvsf.bsky.social & Lasse Laustsen

#OpenAccess
October 28, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 New article out!

“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social

👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below 👇
October 22, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵
October 7, 2025 at 7:14 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
Concern that immigration worsens crime problems is prevalent across Western publics. How does it shape electoral politics? Prior research asserted a growing left–right divide in immigration attitudes...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 30, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social

Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are?

@simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions

Thread 🧵1/10
September 29, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
NEW -

How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD

"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"

- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
August 11, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
NEW -

Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL

"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"

- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
August 12, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.

We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.

What we find is disturbing:

osf.io/preprints/os...
May 16, 2025 at 12:59 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 My first publication, co-authored with Sylvia Kritzinger & Susanna Bastaroli, is out! In our chapter, we explore how Italians re-elaborate their country’s role in the WWII & the Holocaust.

Available online & in print (EN): www.wallstein-verlag.de/978383535866...

🧵 Some key findings: 👇
May 15, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🛎️New WP with @morganlcj.bsky.social @timallinger.bsky.social and @danbischof.bsky.social

Against the surge of conjoints and other hypothetical experiments in relation to democratic backsliding, we study the consequences of using hypotheticals versus real-world scenarios.

osf.io/preprints/os...
May 14, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social.

Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.

osf.io/preprints/os...

1/8
May 9, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓

I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social

Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
March 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Now available Open Access:

📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion?

🧵

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments
To what extent do news frames influence public opinion? While a large body of experimental research suggests sizable effects, it is unclear how these findings translate to authentically complex inf...
www.tandfonline.com
February 9, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
You wonder how the CDU/CSU playing with the "Brandmauer" to AfD last week has influenced German voters? @mafaldapratas.bsky.social @jmfernandes86.bsky.social & I have you covered. We surveyed sample of 2,000 German voters. 🧵with first results 👇. Spoiler: It did not go down as well as CDU/CSU hoped.
Deutscher Bundestag - Unionsgesetz zur Zustrom­begrenzung mit knapper Mehr­heit abgelehnt
Der Bundestag hat das sogenannte Zustrombegrenzungsgesetz der CDU/CSU-Fraktion (20/12804) mit knapper Mehrheit abgelehnt. Gegen die Initiative votierten am Freitag, 31. Januar 2025,...
www.bundestag.de
February 7, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts

www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...

Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
February 4, 2025 at 8:54 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 Out now in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social
: "Citizens' Preferences for Multidimensional Representation". Jack Blumenau, Fabio Wolkenstein & I investigate citizens' preferences regarding 6 dimensions of representation using surveys conducted in 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇩🇪. Short 🧵(1/10) doi.org/10.1017/S15375
January 10, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
New working paper!

How do protesters' demographics and policy preferences affect politicians' responsiveness to their demands? I find no effects of shared demographics btw. protesters and politicians, but asymmetric responsiveness to left-right policy preferences: gupea.ub.gu.se/handle/2077/...
Asymmetric Responsiveness: The Effects of Protesters’ Demographics and Policy Preferences on the Political Agenda
gupea.ub.gu.se
December 18, 2024 at 7:55 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 New @apsrjournal.bsky.social Paper! 🚨
In “When Migrants Mobilize against Labor Exploitation: Evidence from the Italian Farmlands,” I study how empowering undocumented migrants can reduce labor exploitation and even weaken organized crime.

Thread : 🧵
December 11, 2024 at 6:04 PM