The Upshot
@upshot.nytimes.com
18K followers 780 following 1.3K posts
Data, charts, analysis and games from The New York Times: nytimes.com/upshot
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meghanhoyer.bsky.social
Parlays have become incredibly popular, with many betting apps encouraging these high-stakes multi-leg bets. But as legs are added, the chance of winning drops faster than the growth of the potential payout - which means sportsbooks have the advantage. Explore the math and and try your own bets:
Americans can’t stop betting parlays. Sportbooks are cashing in.
As betting booms, parlays are accounting for an increasing share of the money wagered on sports, according to a Washington Post analysis of state data.
www.washingtonpost.com
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donmoyn.bsky.social
Two points:
1) for all the talk of restoring merit, in many cases we are seeing highly qualified people replaced by less qualified White people.
2) Trump and allies have made it harder and harder to explain to students why this is happening.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/u...
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carlzimmer.com
Today my @nytimes.com colleagues and I are launching a new series called Lost Science. We interview US scientists who can no longer discover something new about our world, thanks to this year‘s cuts. Here is my first interview with a scientist who studied bees and fires. Gift link: nyti.ms/3IWXbiE
nyti.ms
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gelliottmorris.com
we have been working on this new polling aggregation website for a few months now, and are excited to share it with the world! plenty more features and polls to come.
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johngramlich.bsky.social
42% of Republicans say Trump has improperly used his office to punish people who say things he doesn't like

40% say he's improperly encouraged federal investigations of his political opponents

31% say he's improperly used his office to enrich himself

www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Dot plot showing partisan differences in Americans' views of how Donald Trump has governed since returning to the White House in January. The chart is based on a September 2025 Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults.
upshot.nytimes.com
Separately, in the administration’s first 200 days, only two of 98 Senate-confirmed appointees to the most senior jobs in government were Black. From NYT Politics:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/u...
Trump Fires Black Officials From an Overwhelmingly White Administration
www.nytimes.com
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jonathanfriedman.com
EV’s drive fast, drive smooth, and drive efficiently. And chargers are now everywhere. Awesome @upshot.nytimes.com look at the proliferation of chargers across the country, including a tool to check if your journey is possible www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
See How E.V. Road Trips Went From Impossible to Easy
There are a lot more fast chargers than there used to be. Look up what that could mean for a route near you.
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
If you look at select pollsters, who meet criteria for reliability, the approval numbers for Trump are dismal.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
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johngramlich.bsky.social
It's hard to overstate the reach of YouTube in the US. 85% of adults use it, as do 90% of teens. A new @pewresearch.org survey shows that 85% of kids 12 and under use it, too (according to their parents) – including a majority of kids under the age of 2. www.pewresearch.org/internet/202...
Bar chart showing that 85% of U.S. children ages 12 or younger watch videos on YouTube, according to their parents. The chart is based on a May 2025 Pew Research Center survey of U.S. adults with at least one child age 12 or younger.
upshot.nytimes.com
Charging an electric car battery is usually cheaper than going to the gas pump. But it depends on where you live.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/u...
How Much It Costs to Drive an E.V. and a Gas Car in Every State
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
Do You Have Obamacare or Medicaid Coverage? Tell Us About It.

As major changes to the programs loom, Times reporters want to hear from people who rely on the Affordable Care Act or Medicaid for health insurance. Gift link:

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/05/u...
upshot.nytimes.com
‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ has built a delirious new culture of consumption — and trapped users in a vortex of debt.

From the NYT Magazine:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/07/m...
They Got to Live a Life of Luxury. Then Came the Fine Print.
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
Years ago, progressives defeated a plan to build headquarters for Amazon in Queens. Now a new kind of development is gaining their support. From NYT Metro:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/06/n...
In Ashes of Amazon Fight, Tensions Emerge in Huge Bet on N.Y.C. Housing
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
Democrats are demanding that Republicans renew the tax breaks for coverage, which are set to expire at the end of the year, as part of any funding extension to reopen the government.

Via @sangerkatz.bsky.social

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/07/u...
What’s Behind the Dispute Over Extending Health Care Subsidies
www.nytimes.com
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conradhackett.bsky.social
If ACA healthcare subsidies are not extended, a 60-year-old earning $65k in Key West, Fla. could see premiums go from $460 a month with the subsidies to $2,400 a month without.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Maps show how expected increases in monthly premiums vary by age and geography.
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pambelluck.bsky.social
He was expected to get Alzheimer’s 25 years ago. Why hasn’t he? Researchers are trying to answer that question, which could help lead to treatments to benefit many others facing Alzheimer's. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/07/h...
He Was Expected to Get Alzheimer’s 25 Years Ago. Why Hasn’t He?
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
Shutdown Politics Has G.O.P. Singing Government’s Praises

As Republicans try to pin blame for shutdown damage on Democrats, they are hailing a federal bureaucracy they normally bash as wasteful and overreaching. Via Carl Hulse of NYT Politics:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/06/u...
Shutdown Politics Has G.O.P. Singing Government’s Praises
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
Air travel to rural areas will be hurt the most in the short run unless the shutdown ends.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/06/u...
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dcinbox.bsky.social
And now with more context (and data):

Which members of Congress
write to constituents
about "evil"?

And what are they talking
about?

dcinboxinsights.substack.com/p/which-memb...
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nytopinion.nytimes.com
Normally, “Democrats’ fierce internal disagreements, clumsiness with messaging and lack of any megaphone that matches President Trump’s would convince me that they can’t win the government shutdown. But under circumstances as abnormal as these? They have a shot,” writes Frank Bruni.
Opinion | Trump’s Shutdown Glee Could Come Back to Bite Him
Republicans’ exploitation of government’s closure is the tell that they prefer it this way.
nyti.ms
upshot.nytimes.com
Trump Aimed Shutdown Cuts at Democrats, but G.O.P. Districts Are Hit, Too

Via NYT Politics:

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/06/u...
upshot.nytimes.com
From NYT Business:

Trump’s tariffs on timber, wood, furniture and kitchen cabinets could raise the cost of building and buying a home.

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/02/b...
New Tariffs Could Worsen America’s Housing Crisis
www.nytimes.com
upshot.nytimes.com
Rising use “is not a signal of satisfaction,” an author of a new report says. Rather, heavy users of the apps are under “financial strain.”

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/y...
Some Workers Are Turning to Pay-Advance Apps for Basic Expenses
www.nytimes.com