Jeff Berardelli
@weatherprof.bsky.social
Same @WeatherProf as Twitter. Posting about climate and weather. Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist WFLA NBC Tampa
Good news: No more cold for atleast the next 2 weeks. And any late season cold is typically not as cold. H/T @JustinWeather for the idea
February 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM
Good news: No more cold for atleast the next 2 weeks. And any late season cold is typically not as cold. H/T @JustinWeather for the idea
2nd most severe winter in Central #Florida history! At least so far (tie). That’s the assessment of NOAA’s Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI). Records go back to 1950. Severe #cold and multiple #freeze days have resulted in an estimated Billion dollars to FL Ag due to crop damage..
February 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM
Each time a high or low is reached in a given city since 2020, it’s recorded as 1. If that same day’s high is reached again in that city in 2021 and say 2024, then that counts as 3 total.
February 12, 2026 at 2:01 PM
Each time a high or low is reached in a given city since 2020, it’s recorded as 1. If that same day’s high is reached again in that city in 2021 and say 2024, then that counts as 3 total.
This is some of the clearest evidence of how far we’ve pushed the planet off balance. The data for this map comes from NOAA ThreadEx by way of Climate Central. 4/
February 12, 2026 at 2:01 PM
This is some of the clearest evidence of how far we’ve pushed the planet off balance. The data for this map comes from NOAA ThreadEx by way of Climate Central. 4/
But look closely, the greatest imbalance is south & west, near the Gulf and also in the desert. The desert is drying, it’s easier to heat. The oceans are warming as they stockpile extra heat trapped by our now greenhouse gas laden atmosphere. 3/
February 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM
But look closely, the greatest imbalance is south & west, near the Gulf and also in the desert. The desert is drying, it’s easier to heat. The oceans are warming as they stockpile extra heat trapped by our now greenhouse gas laden atmosphere. 3/
In a normal climate the ratio would be equal, 1 to 1. The imbalance shows how humankind is now a powerful force of nature! Sure, on the local level, some of this is urban heat island effect, an obvious form of human-caused climate change. 2/
February 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM
In a normal climate the ratio would be equal, 1 to 1. The imbalance shows how humankind is now a powerful force of nature! Sure, on the local level, some of this is urban heat island effect, an obvious form of human-caused climate change. 2/
You may find this map shocking. The crazy imbalance even surprised me!
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
February 12, 2026 at 1:58 PM
You may find this map shocking. The crazy imbalance even surprised me!
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
Mistake in my last graphic. It’s 25% of FL covered in “Extreme” drought.
February 11, 2026 at 10:59 PM
Mistake in my last graphic. It’s 25% of FL covered in “Extreme” drought.
Overwhelming #cold & #freeze has caused extensive damage to our agriculture - ~Billion in losses - on top of extreme #drought has prompted a State of Emergency for #Florida. But what does that mean? It means our farmers will have access to help quickly, to ease the burden and minimize losses.
February 11, 2026 at 5:39 PM
Red means warmer than average. Now that the colder than average weather (blue) has taken up residence in the Arctic, the warm returns to fill the void over the US. #weather
February 10, 2026 at 4:50 PM
Red means warmer than average. Now that the colder than average weather (blue) has taken up residence in the Arctic, the warm returns to fill the void over the US. #weather
Turns out, yes.
February 10, 2026 at 1:31 PM
Turns out, yes.
Same pattern, but I don’t have the rain data handy. I’ll look into it.
February 10, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Same pattern, but I don’t have the rain data handy. I’ll look into it.
Desperate, crispy, crunchy, lawn? I hear you, so I did some deep digging.
Since Sept 1st it’s been THE DRIEST such period in 100+ years, as shown by the #’s. Map below shows it has pushed us into extreme #drought in record time. Going to be a precarious fire season late this Spring! #florida
Since Sept 1st it’s been THE DRIEST such period in 100+ years, as shown by the #’s. Map below shows it has pushed us into extreme #drought in record time. Going to be a precarious fire season late this Spring! #florida
February 10, 2026 at 1:17 PM
It’s all up hill from here!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
February 9, 2026 at 1:26 PM
It’s all up hill from here!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
Lake Erie’s Ice sheet is near record ice cover due to extreme-prolonged cold, and as the wind increases behind a cold front the #ice cracks in half on satellite! #lakeerie #cleveland #buffalo #freeze
February 9, 2026 at 6:02 AM
Lake Erie’s Ice sheet is near record ice cover due to extreme-prolonged cold, and as the wind increases behind a cold front the #ice cracks in half on satellite! #lakeerie #cleveland #buffalo #freeze
…pictured here. Much drier than normal in #florida through April.
Thus, it will likely be a precarious fire season. Burn 🔥 bans are in effect.
Thus, it will likely be a precarious fire season. Burn 🔥 bans are in effect.
February 8, 2026 at 1:14 AM
…pictured here. Much drier than normal in #florida through April.
Thus, it will likely be a precarious fire season. Burn 🔥 bans are in effect.
Thus, it will likely be a precarious fire season. Burn 🔥 bans are in effect.
Top: Extreme #drought has developed very early… it’s one of the driest periods on record this early in season. If there’s a spark, the ground is very flammable.
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
February 8, 2026 at 1:13 AM
Top: Extreme #drought has developed very early… it’s one of the driest periods on record this early in season. If there’s a spark, the ground is very flammable.
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
The last week has been exceptionally amplified. The average temps for the 7 day stretch were 10-20° F above normal West, 10-15° East. That’s not an easy feat! 100s of records broken!
February 7, 2026 at 5:42 PM
The last week has been exceptionally amplified. The average temps for the 7 day stretch were 10-20° F above normal West, 10-15° East. That’s not an easy feat! 100s of records broken!