Jeff Berardelli
@weatherprof.bsky.social
Same @WeatherProf as Twitter. Posting about climate and weather. Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist WFLA NBC Tampa
5 model morning model run (12Z) comparison. Fairly bullish for a Nor’easter… except the Euro which has not come around. What could go wrong? Block is too strong and system is forced south and out to sea. Would not be a complete miss… but it would avoid major/ blockbuster status if so. Stay tuned!!
February 17, 2026 at 6:06 PM
5 model morning model run (12Z) comparison. Fairly bullish for a Nor’easter… except the Euro which has not come around. What could go wrong? Block is too strong and system is forced south and out to sea. Would not be a complete miss… but it would avoid major/ blockbuster status if so. Stay tuned!!
🥶 ❄️ Buckle Up! Wild weather ride coming up! After a record warm week in the Central & South US, the weekend will end with a “potential” blockbuster Nor’easter, perhaps big #snow, drilling #cold air into the Deep South and #Florida early next week. 30s in Florida with wind chills in the 20s! 🥶 ❄️
February 17, 2026 at 5:41 PM
❄️ The weekend Nor’easter set up, IMO, is pretty darn good! Sure it has lots of model support. But it also has meteorological support. Strong western ridge and block north in Canada, which allows the system to slow, tilt and intensify. 1/
February 17, 2026 at 5:29 PM
❄️ The weekend Nor’easter set up, IMO, is pretty darn good! Sure it has lots of model support. But it also has meteorological support. Strong western ridge and block north in Canada, which allows the system to slow, tilt and intensify. 1/
🥶Wow that escalated quickly! One week from today we’ll be waking up to wind chills like this! Again 😳
Guess old man winter likes it here in #Florida too! The question is: does anyone still want him here? I’m sure there’s a few 😂 - Not me!
Guess old man winter likes it here in #Florida too! The question is: does anyone still want him here? I’m sure there’s a few 😂 - Not me!
February 17, 2026 at 12:54 PM
🥶Wow that escalated quickly! One week from today we’ll be waking up to wind chills like this! Again 😳
Guess old man winter likes it here in #Florida too! The question is: does anyone still want him here? I’m sure there’s a few 😂 - Not me!
Guess old man winter likes it here in #Florida too! The question is: does anyone still want him here? I’m sure there’s a few 😂 - Not me!
Temperatures up to 40° above normal Tuesday across the Nation’s middle.
For example: Omaha NWS calling for 76°!! Normal high is 39°.
Heat spreads east this week. Hundreds of records in jeopardy!
For example: Omaha NWS calling for 76°!! Normal high is 39°.
Heat spreads east this week. Hundreds of records in jeopardy!
February 17, 2026 at 3:47 AM
Temperatures up to 40° above normal Tuesday across the Nation’s middle.
For example: Omaha NWS calling for 76°!! Normal high is 39°.
Heat spreads east this week. Hundreds of records in jeopardy!
For example: Omaha NWS calling for 76°!! Normal high is 39°.
Heat spreads east this week. Hundreds of records in jeopardy!
⚠️ Pacific Pounding the next two weeks as a series of storms bombard the region. Up to 15 feet of mountain #snow and a foot of coastal #rain with severe flooding possible. The water is welcome due severe snowpack deficits, but this could become dangerous at times. ⚠️
Stay aware of local warnings!!
Stay aware of local warnings!!
February 17, 2026 at 12:54 AM
Calling team 🥵 - First 90° of year?!
Before the cold returns, some summery heat is on the way this weekend. Inland parts of South and Central #Florida will flirt with 90° this weekend!! Don’t get used to it. Chill returns Monday. 🥶
Before the cold returns, some summery heat is on the way this weekend. Inland parts of South and Central #Florida will flirt with 90° this weekend!! Don’t get used to it. Chill returns Monday. 🥶
February 16, 2026 at 10:27 PM
Calling team 🥵 - First 90° of year?!
Before the cold returns, some summery heat is on the way this weekend. Inland parts of South and Central #Florida will flirt with 90° this weekend!! Don’t get used to it. Chill returns Monday. 🥶
Before the cold returns, some summery heat is on the way this weekend. Inland parts of South and Central #Florida will flirt with 90° this weekend!! Don’t get used to it. Chill returns Monday. 🥶
Weather Whiplash returns to the South and East. By mid to late week record heat will spread eastward, making for a toasty late week / weekend. Then a strong cold surge early next week reminds us it’s still winter 😜 from 30° above normal to 15° below for some.
Enjoy the ride!
Enjoy the ride!
February 16, 2026 at 2:05 PM
Weather Whiplash returns to the South and East. By mid to late week record heat will spread eastward, making for a toasty late week / weekend. Then a strong cold surge early next week reminds us it’s still winter 😜 from 30° above normal to 15° below for some.
Enjoy the ride!
Enjoy the ride!
We say #snowmageddon as a joke, but if ever there was a time to use it, it’s now!! Watch as the West Coast gets bombarded by at least 5 storms in 15 days, with up to 15 feet of snow in the high Sierra, and that may be an underestimate if the models verify. NWS says up to 8 feet by Wednesday!
February 16, 2026 at 1:30 AM
We say #snowmageddon as a joke, but if ever there was a time to use it, it’s now!! Watch as the West Coast gets bombarded by at least 5 storms in 15 days, with up to 15 feet of snow in the high Sierra, and that may be an underestimate if the models verify. NWS says up to 8 feet by Wednesday!
This is the worst #drought in 25 years in much of #Florida. We are a foot behind since Sept 1. It’s the driest such period on record! The good news: we may add an inch Sunday night. We’ll take it… But clearly it’s nowhere near what’s needed. Gonna be a tough spring as we head towards fire season.
February 14, 2026 at 11:41 PM
Are you feeling hot on this Valentine’s Day Tampa Bay? Me neither.
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
February 14, 2026 at 5:11 PM
Are you feeling hot on this Valentine’s Day Tampa Bay? Me neither.
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
❤️ Hope your Valentine’s Day is Sweet. Forever Yours, Florida ❤️
February 14, 2026 at 1:38 PM
❤️ Hope your Valentine’s Day is Sweet. Forever Yours, Florida ❤️
A surprise (major) snow storm for the Northeast?? That’s what the Hi-Res GRAF shows. First, a word of extreme caution - It is a big outlier! It’s vastly different from the other models. It could be out of its mind. I’d tell you how much snow it shows but I want to avoid a run on 🥖 and 🥛 lol. 1/
February 13, 2026 at 10:33 PM
A surprise (major) snow storm for the Northeast?? That’s what the Hi-Res GRAF shows. First, a word of extreme caution - It is a big outlier! It’s vastly different from the other models. It could be out of its mind. I’d tell you how much snow it shows but I want to avoid a run on 🥖 and 🥛 lol. 1/
2nd most severe winter in Central #Florida history! At least so far (tie). That’s the assessment of NOAA’s Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI). Records go back to 1950. Severe #cold and multiple #freeze days have resulted in an estimated Billion dollars to FL Ag due to crop damage..
February 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM
You may find this map shocking. The crazy imbalance even surprised me!
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
February 12, 2026 at 1:58 PM
You may find this map shocking. The crazy imbalance even surprised me!
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
Mistake in my last graphic. It’s 25% of FL covered in “Extreme” drought.
February 11, 2026 at 10:59 PM
Mistake in my last graphic. It’s 25% of FL covered in “Extreme” drought.
Overwhelming #cold & #freeze has caused extensive damage to our agriculture - ~Billion in losses - on top of extreme #drought has prompted a State of Emergency for #Florida. But what does that mean? It means our farmers will have access to help quickly, to ease the burden and minimize losses.
February 11, 2026 at 5:39 PM
Desperate, crispy, crunchy, lawn? I hear you, so I did some deep digging.
Since Sept 1st it’s been THE DRIEST such period in 100+ years, as shown by the #’s. Map below shows it has pushed us into extreme #drought in record time. Going to be a precarious fire season late this Spring! #florida
Since Sept 1st it’s been THE DRIEST such period in 100+ years, as shown by the #’s. Map below shows it has pushed us into extreme #drought in record time. Going to be a precarious fire season late this Spring! #florida
February 10, 2026 at 1:17 PM