Jeff Berardelli
@weatherprof.bsky.social
Same @WeatherProf as Twitter. Posting about climate and weather. Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist WFLA NBC Tampa
Are you feeling hot on this Valentine’s Day Tampa Bay? Me neither.
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
February 14, 2026 at 5:11 PM
Are you feeling hot on this Valentine’s Day Tampa Bay? Me neither.
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
But it is heating up. 7° warmer in just 50 years. Now that’s something!
❤️ Hope your Valentine’s Day is Sweet. Forever Yours, Florida ❤️
February 14, 2026 at 1:38 PM
❤️ Hope your Valentine’s Day is Sweet. Forever Yours, Florida ❤️
A surprise (major) snow storm for the Northeast?? That’s what the Hi-Res GRAF shows. First, a word of extreme caution - It is a big outlier! It’s vastly different from the other models. It could be out of its mind. I’d tell you how much snow it shows but I want to avoid a run on 🥖 and 🥛 lol. 1/
February 13, 2026 at 10:33 PM
A surprise (major) snow storm for the Northeast?? That’s what the Hi-Res GRAF shows. First, a word of extreme caution - It is a big outlier! It’s vastly different from the other models. It could be out of its mind. I’d tell you how much snow it shows but I want to avoid a run on 🥖 and 🥛 lol. 1/
2nd most severe winter in Central #Florida history! At least so far (tie). That’s the assessment of NOAA’s Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI). Records go back to 1950. Severe #cold and multiple #freeze days have resulted in an estimated Billion dollars to FL Ag due to crop damage..
February 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM
You may find this map shocking. The crazy imbalance even surprised me!
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
February 12, 2026 at 1:58 PM
You may find this map shocking. The crazy imbalance even surprised me!
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
It’s the ratio of record highs vs record lows in each city since 2020. That’s right, in Miami there have been 115 daily record highs, but only 1 record morning low! Phoenix: 138 to 0!… 1/
Mistake in my last graphic. It’s 25% of FL covered in “Extreme” drought.
February 11, 2026 at 10:59 PM
Mistake in my last graphic. It’s 25% of FL covered in “Extreme” drought.
Overwhelming #cold & #freeze has caused extensive damage to our agriculture - ~Billion in losses - on top of extreme #drought has prompted a State of Emergency for #Florida. But what does that mean? It means our farmers will have access to help quickly, to ease the burden and minimize losses.
February 11, 2026 at 5:39 PM
Desperate, crispy, crunchy, lawn? I hear you, so I did some deep digging.
Since Sept 1st it’s been THE DRIEST such period in 100+ years, as shown by the #’s. Map below shows it has pushed us into extreme #drought in record time. Going to be a precarious fire season late this Spring! #florida
Since Sept 1st it’s been THE DRIEST such period in 100+ years, as shown by the #’s. Map below shows it has pushed us into extreme #drought in record time. Going to be a precarious fire season late this Spring! #florida
February 10, 2026 at 1:17 PM
It’s all up hill from here!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
February 9, 2026 at 1:26 PM
It’s all up hill from here!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
I don’t know about you, but I’m ready for a thaw! For most around US and all of us in #Florida, warmth will build and last for the next 2 weeks. The exception: the West, chilly and snowy for the ski resorts. A win-win for all!
Lake Erie’s Ice sheet is near record ice cover due to extreme-prolonged cold, and as the wind increases behind a cold front the #ice cracks in half on satellite! #lakeerie #cleveland #buffalo #freeze
February 9, 2026 at 6:02 AM
Lake Erie’s Ice sheet is near record ice cover due to extreme-prolonged cold, and as the wind increases behind a cold front the #ice cracks in half on satellite! #lakeerie #cleveland #buffalo #freeze
Top: Extreme #drought has developed very early… it’s one of the driest periods on record this early in season. If there’s a spark, the ground is very flammable.
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
February 8, 2026 at 1:13 AM
Top: Extreme #drought has developed very early… it’s one of the driest periods on record this early in season. If there’s a spark, the ground is very flammable.
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
Bottom: We are in dry season, and a dry La Niña, so prospects for meaningful rain are limited as evidenced by the model prediction… 1/
The last week has been exceptionally amplified. The average temps for the 7 day stretch were 10-20° F above normal West, 10-15° East. That’s not an easy feat! 100s of records broken!
February 7, 2026 at 5:42 PM
The last week has been exceptionally amplified. The average temps for the 7 day stretch were 10-20° F above normal West, 10-15° East. That’s not an easy feat! 100s of records broken!
How out of the ordinary was the #Florida cold air outbreak last week? Look at the graph below… see that off the charts spike? On Miami’s record cold day, that’s 27°F below normal, far outside the 90 or 95% bars, and approx 5+ standard deviations from the mean! A very rare, even generational event.
February 7, 2026 at 2:22 PM
How out of the ordinary was the #Florida cold air outbreak last week? Look at the graph below… see that off the charts spike? On Miami’s record cold day, that’s 27°F below normal, far outside the 90 or 95% bars, and approx 5+ standard deviations from the mean! A very rare, even generational event.
Upside down weather!
Parts of Montana will hit 70° for a high Thursday. Meanwhile Florida will be stuck in the 50s.
Parts of Montana will hit 70° for a high Thursday. Meanwhile Florida will be stuck in the 50s.
February 4, 2026 at 11:43 PM
Upside down weather!
Parts of Montana will hit 70° for a high Thursday. Meanwhile Florida will be stuck in the 50s.
Parts of Montana will hit 70° for a high Thursday. Meanwhile Florida will be stuck in the 50s.
Record Highs VS Record Lows since 2020 in Florida. No contest.
February 4, 2026 at 11:10 PM
Record Highs VS Record Lows since 2020 in Florida. No contest.
This looks Brutal!
February 4, 2026 at 5:12 PM
This looks Brutal!