Wilson Ricks
@wilsonar.bsky.social
3.5K followers 930 following 71 posts
PhD candidate working in Macro-Energy Systems modeling at Princeton University. Energy tech/policy evaluation, with a primary focus on next-gen geothermal.
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wilsonar.bsky.social
A bit late on the announcement, but I'm happy to say that I successfully defended my doctoral dissertation, "Hot Rocks and H2: Modeling the Role of Emerging Technologies in the Electricity Sector," last month!
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
jael.bsky.social
it’s pretty wild that the nation’s first climate law is headed towards a chainsaw and the only people talking about it here are wonks
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
jessedjenkins.com
Looks like transferability of tax credits is maintained.

Foreign Entity of Concern language is substantively different from House bill, but still applied throughout. Critical question: is this workable for industry to comply with? Safe harbor language clarified (good). Stay tuned...
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
jayturner.bsky.social
What does the future of enhanced geothermal power generation look like?

Fervo offered an update to partners and investors at its #capeconnect event today, showcasing progress on its 100MW Cape Station project in UT.

I tagged along and I learned a lot. Some highlights based on my notes follow… 🔌💡
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
wilsonar.bsky.social
In particular, elimination of clean electricity tax credits would remove a key driver of early EGS adoption and reduce the long-run benefits of successful scaleup. It is critical that these supports remain in place if emerging technologies like EGS are to achieve their full potential.
wilsonar.bsky.social
Long-term outcomes are sensitive to near-term deployment. Our findings suggest that efforts to facilitate early deployment and better understand uncertainties in enhanced geothermal’s cost and learning potential should be key near-term policy and development priorities.
wilsonar.bsky.social
Such a large role depends on substantial reductions in the cost of EGS wellfields, which we argue must be driven largely by advances in reservoir design.
wilsonar.bsky.social
...EGS could plausibly grow to contribute up to a fifth of total US electricity generation by 2050 and drastically reduce the cost electricity generation and decarbonization even east of the Mississippi – a much larger role for the technology than has been previously assumed.
wilsonar.bsky.social
We find that if a) EGS performance continues to improve incrementally in the near-term, b) supportive federal policies remain in place, and c) EGS costs fall with scale at a rate similar to unconventional oil and gas...
wilsonar.bsky.social
This means that we can explore the conditions under which EGS (or its competitors) could achieve ‘commercial liftoff’ through a virtuous cycle of increasing deployment and falling costs, and the long-run implications for the US electricity sector if it is able to do so.
wilsonar.bsky.social
This analysis uses an ‘experience curves’ framework to model the evolution of costs for EGS and other emerging technologies over time, assuming that – like wind, solar, batteries, and unconventional oil and gas before them – the cost of these technologies will fall with increasing deployment.
wilsonar.bsky.social
It first leverages data from recent pilot projects to develop the first empirically-grounded near-term cost projections for EGS power in the US, then uses these as inputs to an electricity system capacity expansion model to explore potential adoption pathways for EGS over the coming decades.
wilsonar.bsky.social
This paper builds on prior work to address two key questions: where and under what conditions could EGS deliver cost-competitive power in the near term, and to what extent could it contribute to electricity generation nationwide if it can be successfully brought to scale?
wilsonar.bsky.social
I am happy to announce that the final piece of my doctoral work on next-generation geothermal technologies has been accepted for publication as a research article in 𝘑𝘰𝘶𝘭𝘦, with an open-access manuscript available at doi.org/10.5281/zeno...
wilsonar.bsky.social
PJM gets a lot more (still deserved) attention on the subject, but Bonneville Power Authority has been absolutely abysmal at connecting clean power in Oregon and Washington. Just ONE project has gotten approved in the last decade, and advertised wait time is 15 years!
propublica.org
When they set out to make their power supply 100% green, Northwest leaders ignored the fact that the region lacks the wiring to deliver new sources of renewable energy to people’s homes.

Little has been done to change that, ProPublica and @opb.org found.
How the Pacific Northwest’s Dream of Green Energy Fell Apart
The Northwest states passed aggressive goals to decarbonize the power supply but left it to the Bonneville Power Administration to build the transmission lines needed for wind and solar. The agency…
www.propublica.org
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
advaitarun.bsky.social
Everyone says enhanced geothermal is the next fracking. That's only a little "bit" true.

The shale fracking boom was a product of its unique market structure. Enhanced geothermal is very different.

Latest from me and @buddyyakov.bsky.social at CPE—here's what a geothermal boom *really* requires:
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
timlatimer.bsky.social
Some big Fervo Energy news today. We’re excited to welcome Shell as a new customer at Project Cape. And announce that we are upsizing the project by 100 MW to 500 MW, using the same number of planned wells, due to productivity breakthroughs we have achieved.
www.houstonchronicle.com/business/ene...
Houston geothermal company Fervo to sell power from Utah project to Shell Energy
Fervo Energy, a Houston-based geothermal company, will upsize its Cape Station project in Utah to 500 megawatts.
www.houstonchronicle.com
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
jessedjenkins.com
WoodMac releases it's latest US wind market report. www.woodmac.com/press-releas...

Here's the good, bad and ugly...
(mini 🧵)
🔌💡
www.woodmac.com
wilsonar.bsky.social
And like half of the private foreign aid is just Bill Gates. For all the criticism of Effective Altruism, private philanthropy really does suck at allocating resources where they're needed most (total US charitable giving is $550bn/yr)
ourworldindata.org
Most of the world’s foreign aid comes from governments, not philanthropic foundations
A bar graph titled "More than 95% of foreign aid comes from governments, rather than private donors" illustrates the distribution of foreign aid in 2023. The left portion shows a large maroon bar labeled "Foreign aid from governments," reaching $232 billion. The right section features a smaller tan bar labeled "Foreign aid from private donors," indicating $11 billion. A note beside the tan bar states that 4.5% of foreign aid came from private philanthropic donors. The footnote specifies that "Private donors" refers to philanthropic foundations reporting to OECD and excludes many individual charity donations or private investments. The data source is attributed to OECD (2024) and indicates that the information is shared under a Creative Commons BY license.
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
rhg.com
Next-generation geothermal energy has a number of advantages in meeting growing US electricity demand from data centers. Our recent analysis shows it could economically meet up to 64% of this expected electricity demand growth by the early 2030s. Learn more: rhg.com/research/geo...
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
michelle-solomon.bsky.social
Thanks a million to @ricoconnell.bsky.social @wilsonar.bsky.social and Julia Matevosyan for joining @sarabaldwin.bsky.social and me for a discussion on grid reliability in the clean energy transition today!! Check out the conversation here
Webinar: Grid Reliability in the Clean Energy Transition
YouTube video by Energy Innovation: Policy and Technology
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Wilson Ricks
rossmacfarlane.bsky.social
Great victory for communities, clean air, and climate action in WA State: Superior Court judge rules that I 2066 is unconstitutional. Decision leaves in place energy efficiency and gas appliance standards that made WA a national leader. www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news...
WA’s natural gas initiative unconstitutional, King County judge rules
Washington voters in November narrowly approved I-2066 to protect access to natural gas. Here's what to know about a judge's ruling on its constitutionality.
www.seattletimes.com