Jonathan Erdman
@wxjerdman.bsky.social
Senior meteorologist @weatherchannel. M.S. Colorado State Univ.; B.S. UW-Madison; Insightful. Interesting. Impactful. Weather. Opinions are mine only, not of my employer.
Feast your eyes on the buffet of football games this weekend where weather could play a major role...including a few "snow globe" Big Ten games.
NCAA, NFL Thanksgiving Weekend Weather Forecasts | Weather.com
It's a busy week in football and weather. From wind chills in the teens, accumulating snow and heavy rain, watching these games may be more interesting than usual.
weather.com
November 26, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Feast your eyes on the buffet of football games this weekend where weather could play a major role...including a few "snow globe" Big Ten games.
Mt. Washington even outkicked its usual extreme weather Tuesday.
Impressive lenticular photos at sunrise from the summit, then a surreal view from the valley.
Valley pic credit: Colby Morris/MWO
Impressive lenticular photos at sunrise from the summit, then a surreal view from the valley.
Valley pic credit: Colby Morris/MWO
November 26, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Mt. Washington even outkicked its usual extreme weather Tuesday.
Impressive lenticular photos at sunrise from the summit, then a surreal view from the valley.
Valley pic credit: Colby Morris/MWO
Impressive lenticular photos at sunrise from the summit, then a surreal view from the valley.
Valley pic credit: Colby Morris/MWO
If Saturday is your day to travel back from Thanksgiving in the Midwest...you better pay attention to the forecast of a significant snowstorm which, for some, will be the season's first (mistimed) snow.
Thanksgiving Travel Weather Forecast: Snowy North, Rainy South, East | Weather.com
Snow, rain, thunderstorms, fog and wind are all in play this Thanksgiving holiday weekend. If you're flying or driving, here's what you may have to deal with.
weather.com
November 26, 2025 at 12:40 PM
If Saturday is your day to travel back from Thanksgiving in the Midwest...you better pay attention to the forecast of a significant snowstorm which, for some, will be the season's first (mistimed) snow.
Welcome to December in the upper Midwest this Monday morning.
Not record-threatening cold for this time of year, but yeesh...🥶
Not record-threatening cold for this time of year, but yeesh...🥶
November 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Welcome to December in the upper Midwest this Monday morning.
Not record-threatening cold for this time of year, but yeesh...🥶
Not record-threatening cold for this time of year, but yeesh...🥶
Asking for a friend...
Can the NFL move the Bills-Steelers game to Orchard Park...and to Thanksgiving?
Can the NFL move the Bills-Steelers game to Orchard Park...and to Thanksgiving?
November 25, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Asking for a friend...
Can the NFL move the Bills-Steelers game to Orchard Park...and to Thanksgiving?
Can the NFL move the Bills-Steelers game to Orchard Park...and to Thanksgiving?
Reposted by Jonathan Erdman
Three new AI weather models have hit the NOMADS Server 👀: Welcome AIGFS, AIGEFS, and HGEFS
November 25, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Three new AI weather models have hit the NOMADS Server 👀: Welcome AIGFS, AIGEFS, and HGEFS
With a winter storm warning in effect, the Twin Cities will see its first accumulating snow of the season (MSP Airport) late tonight into early Wednesday.
Should be ok getting out of town today as long as you're not driving to ND or N. MN.
Tomorrow AM: slick driving, flight delays possible.
Should be ok getting out of town today as long as you're not driving to ND or N. MN.
Tomorrow AM: slick driving, flight delays possible.
November 25, 2025 at 10:36 AM
With a winter storm warning in effect, the Twin Cities will see its first accumulating snow of the season (MSP Airport) late tonight into early Wednesday.
Should be ok getting out of town today as long as you're not driving to ND or N. MN.
Tomorrow AM: slick driving, flight delays possible.
Should be ok getting out of town today as long as you're not driving to ND or N. MN.
Tomorrow AM: slick driving, flight delays possible.
75 years ago this week, one of the benchmark storms of the 20th century in the US, the Great Appalachian Storm. (...and my all-time favorite weather map)
On Today's Date: The Great Appalachian Storm Of 1950 | Weather.com
It was one of the nation's most extreme, anomalous and costly storms. Here's what made this storm 75 years ago both damaging and unique.
weather.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:09 PM
75 years ago this week, one of the benchmark storms of the 20th century in the US, the Great Appalachian Storm. (...and my all-time favorite weather map)
Thank goodness for ensemble forecasting.
Here are the 2 "operational" ECMWF, GFS 0z Monday model run 7-day forecasts for this Sunday. Could they possibly be more different? 😆
Here are the 2 "operational" ECMWF, GFS 0z Monday model run 7-day forecasts for this Sunday. Could they possibly be more different? 😆
November 24, 2025 at 12:05 PM
Thank goodness for ensemble forecasting.
Here are the 2 "operational" ECMWF, GFS 0z Monday model run 7-day forecasts for this Sunday. Could they possibly be more different? 😆
Here are the 2 "operational" ECMWF, GFS 0z Monday model run 7-day forecasts for this Sunday. Could they possibly be more different? 😆
Tropical cyclone Fina is nearing its final landfall in the far north of W. Australia as Cat. 3 equiv.
Per NOAA's database, looks to be strongest to hit that part of NE WA in over 20 years, since Ingrid in March 2005.
Per NOAA's database, looks to be strongest to hit that part of NE WA in over 20 years, since Ingrid in March 2005.
November 24, 2025 at 10:15 AM
Tropical cyclone Fina is nearing its final landfall in the far north of W. Australia as Cat. 3 equiv.
Per NOAA's database, looks to be strongest to hit that part of NE WA in over 20 years, since Ingrid in March 2005.
Per NOAA's database, looks to be strongest to hit that part of NE WA in over 20 years, since Ingrid in March 2005.
Second cold push after Thanksgiving could set the table for interesting winter weather the weekend of Nov. 29-30 into the first few days of Dec.
In theory, at least. We'll see if that actually holds in future model runs.
In theory, at least. We'll see if that actually holds in future model runs.
November 21, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Second cold push after Thanksgiving could set the table for interesting winter weather the weekend of Nov. 29-30 into the first few days of Dec.
In theory, at least. We'll see if that actually holds in future model runs.
In theory, at least. We'll see if that actually holds in future model runs.
Imagine a US hurricane landfall a week before Thanksgiving.
That happened 40 years ago today.
That happened 40 years ago today.
On Today's Date: America's Record Late Hurricane Hits Florida | Weather.com
Imagine a U.S. hurricane landfall one week before Thanksgiving. That happened 40 years ago today.
weather.com
November 21, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Imagine a US hurricane landfall a week before Thanksgiving.
That happened 40 years ago today.
That happened 40 years ago today.
If not 134˚, what is the real world heat record?
Here's what the experts think.
Here's what the experts think.
Why Death Valley's World Record 134 Degree High Should Be Overturned | Weather.com
It's one of the most well-known weather records. But it has also long been questioned by meteorologists. Here's the latest study, and what may be the world record, if this one is repealed.
weather.com
November 20, 2025 at 12:34 PM
If not 134˚, what is the real world heat record?
Here's what the experts think.
Here's what the experts think.
At the time, we nicknamed it "Wrong Way", but 26 years ago today, Hurricane Lenny was no laughing matter in the Leeward Islands.
On Today's Date:Hurricane Lenny Hammered Leeward Islands | Weather.com
Many years have seen their final storm of hurricane season by mid-November. But a 1999 hurricane not only took a weird path, but was also one of the most powerful in any November.
weather.com
November 18, 2025 at 10:55 AM
At the time, we nicknamed it "Wrong Way", but 26 years ago today, Hurricane Lenny was no laughing matter in the Leeward Islands.
On this date 12 years ago, a Midwest tornado outbreak of over 70 tornadoes, including two EF4s, and the evacuation of the stands at Soldier Field.
On Today's Date: Midwest Tornado Outbreak | Weather.com
While cold and snow increasingly become the news, some prolific severe weather outbreaks, including tornadoes, can barge in during November. Here's what happened 12 years ago.
weather.com
November 17, 2025 at 1:28 PM
On this date 12 years ago, a Midwest tornado outbreak of over 70 tornadoes, including two EF4s, and the evacuation of the stands at Soldier Field.
4-day rain total at Santa Barbara, CA their heaviest in over 20 years (since Jan. 2005), and pushes them to a record Nov. tally dating to 1941.
Another inch or so today.
Some mountain locations in SBA County picked up over 10 inches of rain the past 72 hours.
Another inch or so today.
Some mountain locations in SBA County picked up over 10 inches of rain the past 72 hours.
November 17, 2025 at 11:08 AM
4-day rain total at Santa Barbara, CA their heaviest in over 20 years (since Jan. 2005), and pushes them to a record Nov. tally dating to 1941.
Another inch or so today.
Some mountain locations in SBA County picked up over 10 inches of rain the past 72 hours.
Another inch or so today.
Some mountain locations in SBA County picked up over 10 inches of rain the past 72 hours.
One football game this weekend soars above the others for potential weather impact.
Here's a hint...👇
Here's a hint...👇
NCAA, NFL Football Weather Forecast: California Rain, Windy Northeast | Weather.com
We don't have a major storm, per se. But there are several NCAA and NFL games that could have interesting weather. Here is a breakdown of the four we're watching closest.
weather.com
November 14, 2025 at 3:14 PM
One football game this weekend soars above the others for potential weather impact.
Here's a hint...👇
Here's a hint...👇
Just a beautiful satellite "apostrophe" near the West Coast this morning.
🛰️: CIRA_CSU
🛰️: CIRA_CSU
November 13, 2025 at 12:15 PM
Just a beautiful satellite "apostrophe" near the West Coast this morning.
🛰️: CIRA_CSU
🛰️: CIRA_CSU
Final estimate...93 daily cold records were set, primarily in the Southeast, from Nov. 9-12.
weather.com/forecast/reg...
weather.com/forecast/reg...
Southeast Arctic Cold Blast Was One Of Coldest So Early, Including Florida | Weather.com
This cold blast wasn't just a northern thing. The most eye-popping daily cold records were in the Southeast, including Florida. Here's what happened.
weather.com
November 13, 2025 at 11:25 AM
Final estimate...93 daily cold records were set, primarily in the Southeast, from Nov. 9-12.
weather.com/forecast/reg...
weather.com/forecast/reg...
While forecast models haven't resolved the key details (typical this far out), the pattern looks "more active" during the last half of next week, both in the West and Central US.
Stay tuned. ⚡️🌬️
Stay tuned. ⚡️🌬️
November 13, 2025 at 10:32 AM
While forecast models haven't resolved the key details (typical this far out), the pattern looks "more active" during the last half of next week, both in the West and Central US.
Stay tuned. ⚡️🌬️
Stay tuned. ⚡️🌬️
There's something a bit weird about America's drought right now.
America's Drought: One Weird Thing Right Now | Weather.com
We've been staring at these maps for over 25 years. Here is what struck us as particularly odd about the nation's drought this fall.
weather.com
November 12, 2025 at 4:48 PM
There's something a bit weird about America's drought right now.
By our count, at least 80 daily cold records have been either tied or set during this arctic outbreak, mainly in the South.
A list of the most notables we've seen. 👇
A list of the most notables we've seen. 👇
Southeast Arctic Cold Blast Was One Of Coldest So Early, Including Florida | Weather.com
This cold blast wasn't just a northern thing. The most eye-popping daily cold records were in the Southeast, including Florida. Here's what happened.
weather.com
November 12, 2025 at 12:31 PM
By our count, at least 80 daily cold records have been either tied or set during this arctic outbreak, mainly in the South.
A list of the most notables we've seen. 👇
A list of the most notables we've seen. 👇
57˚ may not sound all that cold to many of you.
But that was this morning's low in Key West, Florida, tying their "record coldest so early in fall" with four other dates in 1966, 1955, 1913.
But that was this morning's low in Key West, Florida, tying their "record coldest so early in fall" with four other dates in 1966, 1955, 1913.
November 11, 2025 at 3:28 PM
57˚ may not sound all that cold to many of you.
But that was this morning's low in Key West, Florida, tying their "record coldest so early in fall" with four other dates in 1966, 1955, 1913.
But that was this morning's low in Key West, Florida, tying their "record coldest so early in fall" with four other dates in 1966, 1955, 1913.
11/11/1911...arguably the nation's most extreme cold front.
But there's one juxtaposition in southern Wisconsin that makes this one of the most bizarre weather events in U.S. history.
But there's one juxtaposition in southern Wisconsin that makes this one of the most bizarre weather events in U.S. history.
On This Date: Most Extreme Cold Front In US History | Weather.com
You may think the cold front we just experienced was extreme. But that's nothing compared to what happened on 11-11-1911. Here are the incredible details.
weather.com
November 11, 2025 at 12:40 PM
11/11/1911...arguably the nation's most extreme cold front.
But there's one juxtaposition in southern Wisconsin that makes this one of the most bizarre weather events in U.S. history.
But there's one juxtaposition in southern Wisconsin that makes this one of the most bizarre weather events in U.S. history.
Soccer players in a whiteout.
Ottawa Soccer Final Blanketed By Intense Snowstorm | Weather.com
You've heard of a bicycle kick, but now, we've had the "icicle kick."
weather.com
November 10, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Soccer players in a whiteout.