Expected Own Goals
@xowngoals.com
EVERYONE ANALYZES WOMEN'S SPORTS
A podcast about the NWSL, USWNT, and women's soccer around the world.
Listen: https://spotf.fi/lbFTB10
Watch: youtube.com/@xOwnGoals
Subscribe: patreon.com/c/xOwnGoals
Support: https://ko-fi.com/xowngoals
A podcast about the NWSL, USWNT, and women's soccer around the world.
Listen: https://spotf.fi/lbFTB10
Watch: youtube.com/@xOwnGoals
Subscribe: patreon.com/c/xOwnGoals
Support: https://ko-fi.com/xowngoals
Our #NWSL Championship recap drills down on the Hal Hershfelt injury, the Lilly Reale not-sending-off, and the stalemate that resulted in Rose Lavelle being the sole game-changer in #GothamFC 's 1-0 victory over the Washington Spirit.
Spotify – Web Player
open.spotify.com
November 26, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Seems good!
The NWSL final between the Spirit and Gotham on CBS averaged 1.184 million viewers, making it the first game over the million mark and the most watched game in league history.
Up 22 percent from last year’s final, which averaged 967,900. That’s a solid jump.
Up 22 percent from last year’s final, which averaged 967,900. That’s a solid jump.
November 25, 2025 at 10:36 PM
Seems good!
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Spirit actually did a pretty good job denying Gotham's difference makers the chance to make the difference... until they didn't. Lavelle with 1 box touch until the touch that made the difference, at the top of the box.
November 23, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Spirit actually did a pretty good job denying Gotham's difference makers the chance to make the difference... until they didn't. Lavelle with 1 box touch until the touch that made the difference, at the top of the box.
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Gotham consistently progressed the ball from half spaces, and wide channels into the box and for cutbacks all season. Born out on the goal to win the title.
November 23, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Gotham consistently progressed the ball from half spaces, and wide channels into the box and for cutbacks all season. Born out on the goal to win the title.
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
An unfortunate playoff journey for the Spirit, with Kouassi, Bethune, and Morgan being 3 of the top 4 playoff participants by goals added above average for their positions. When looking at raw goal probability, Kouassi, Bethune, and Monday come in as the top 3.
November 23, 2025 at 11:35 PM
An unfortunate playoff journey for the Spirit, with Kouassi, Bethune, and Morgan being 3 of the top 4 playoff participants by goals added above average for their positions. When looking at raw goal probability, Kouassi, Bethune, and Monday come in as the top 3.
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Perhaps most interesting, the least goal probability provided for their team came from... Trinity Rodman, who actually reduced Spirit's chances of scoring goals with her actions. Was very very clearly not at even half fitness, let alone full fitness.
November 23, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Perhaps most interesting, the least goal probability provided for their team came from... Trinity Rodman, who actually reduced Spirit's chances of scoring goals with her actions. Was very very clearly not at even half fitness, let alone full fitness.
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Some NWSL final stats
Sonnett led the match in raw g+, from some high value set piece receptions, but Gotham really dominated in raw goal probability in the middle roster spots
Sonnett led the match in raw g+, from some high value set piece receptions, but Gotham really dominated in raw goal probability in the middle roster spots
November 23, 2025 at 11:35 PM
Some NWSL final stats
Sonnett led the match in raw g+, from some high value set piece receptions, but Gotham really dominated in raw goal probability in the middle roster spots
Sonnett led the match in raw g+, from some high value set piece receptions, but Gotham really dominated in raw goal probability in the middle roster spots
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
But whether it was the NWSL or the club itself that hired this plane, they should know that they can stipulate in the contract that they will not accept flights with these specific carriers that are involved in daily transport of chained humans.
November 23, 2025 at 10:40 PM
But whether it was the NWSL or the club itself that hired this plane, they should know that they can stipulate in the contract that they will not accept flights with these specific carriers that are involved in daily transport of chained humans.
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Needless to say, the athletes have no say in this process. We congratulate Gotham FC on their championship season, and wish them safe travels back home.
November 23, 2025 at 10:34 PM
Needless to say, the athletes have no say in this process. We congratulate Gotham FC on their championship season, and wish them safe travels back home.
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
We have confirmed with two industry sources that Avelo was chartered to make this flight, and assigned N805VL which was sitting idle at the ICE hub in Mesa AZ today.
All the ICE Air carriers also do flights through third-party brokers for sports teams. www.columbiaspectator.com/sports/2025/...
All the ICE Air carriers also do flights through third-party brokers for sports teams. www.columbiaspectator.com/sports/2025/...
Charter airline used by women’s basketball linked to ICE deportation flights
When women’s basketball traveled to Chapel Hill, North Carolina on March 18 for its second-ever March Madness appearance, the team and staff boarded a chartered flight operated by Global Crossing Airl...
www.columbiaspectator.com
November 23, 2025 at 10:34 PM
We have confirmed with two industry sources that Avelo was chartered to make this flight, and assigned N805VL which was sitting idle at the ICE hub in Mesa AZ today.
All the ICE Air carriers also do flights through third-party brokers for sports teams. www.columbiaspectator.com/sports/2025/...
All the ICE Air carriers also do flights through third-party brokers for sports teams. www.columbiaspectator.com/sports/2025/...
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
🏆⚽️✈️ After winning the NWSL championship Saturday night, Gotham FC have just departed San Jose on board the very same all-white Avelo jet (N805VL) that lost cabin pressure with shackled ICE abductees aboard two weeks ago and had to make an emergency landing in Las Vegas 😬
November 23, 2025 at 10:34 PM
🏆⚽️✈️ After winning the NWSL championship Saturday night, Gotham FC have just departed San Jose on board the very same all-white Avelo jet (N805VL) that lost cabin pressure with shackled ICE abductees aboard two weeks ago and had to make an emergency landing in Las Vegas 😬
23-year-olds have big feelings, we've always known this
November 23, 2025 at 8:27 PM
23-year-olds have big feelings, we've always known this
If you're not reading Abigail's work on the NWSL yet, you can fix that problem immediately.
Gotham smashed the Washington Spirit's hopes and won their second NWSL championship in three years, as questions about the league's future loom large. My dispatch from San Jose, where I saw the human drama of the final up close:
Gotham Grabs The Crown Of An NWSL At A Tipping Point | Defector
SAN JOSE, Calif. — Jaedyn Shaw set the tone. Rose Lavelle tapped the ball at kickoff, and Shaw booted it toward the Washington Spirit’s net, which keeper Aubrey Kingsbury was helplessly far from. The...
defector.com
November 23, 2025 at 8:02 PM
If you're not reading Abigail's work on the NWSL yet, you can fix that problem immediately.
Incredible hang, incredible hosts, incredible weekend!
Thanks to everyone who came out to our events this weekend! It was our pleasure to host. We want to give a shout out to our bar partner Jack’s. Not only did they host our Night Before Party, but also provided us with a beer truck for tailgate & hosted a post match meet up. Jack’s is family owned 1/3
November 23, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Incredible hang, incredible hosts, incredible weekend!
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
If you’re on a 6am flight out of San Jose airport, say hey
November 23, 2025 at 10:11 AM
If you’re on a 6am flight out of San Jose airport, say hey
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
g+ GameFlow: NWSL Playoffs Washington Spirit v NJ/NY Gotham FC on November 22, 2025. #WASvNJ/NY ⚽️🤖
November 23, 2025 at 5:44 AM
g+ GameFlow: NWSL Playoffs Washington Spirit v NJ/NY Gotham FC on November 22, 2025. #WASvNJ/NY ⚽️🤖
Reposted by Expected Own Goals
Gotham winning a title on the back of a playoff -1.42 expected goal differential feels like a direct shot at all of us nerds.
November 23, 2025 at 3:36 AM
Gotham winning a title on the back of a playoff -1.42 expected goal differential feels like a direct shot at all of us nerds.
Why ever play a playoff game at home? Gotham x2 champions in 3 years.
November 23, 2025 at 4:04 AM
Why ever play a playoff game at home? Gotham x2 champions in 3 years.
Another improbable moment of magic gives Gotham their second #NWSL Championship, this time over the Washington Spirit.
Score: 0 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 0.4
xG/Shot: 0.07 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 1 - 0
Box Shots: 4 - 4
Field Tilt: 50 - 50
#NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
Score: 0 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 0.4
xG/Shot: 0.07 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 1 - 0
Box Shots: 4 - 4
Field Tilt: 50 - 50
#NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
November 23, 2025 at 3:18 AM
Another improbable moment of magic gives Gotham their second #NWSL Championship, this time over the Washington Spirit.
Score: 0 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 0.4
xG/Shot: 0.07 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 1 - 0
Box Shots: 4 - 4
Field Tilt: 50 - 50
#NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
Score: 0 - 1
xG: 0.4 - 0.4
xG/Shot: 0.07 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 1 - 0
Box Shots: 4 - 4
Field Tilt: 50 - 50
#NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
Jaundiced Jae… it’s a battle out there.
November 23, 2025 at 2:21 AM
Jaundiced Jae… it’s a battle out there.
It's definitely a final, folks! Halftime stats for a back-foot Washington Spirit and a neutered-possession Gotham FC.
Score: 0 - 0
xG: 0.1 - 0.2
xG/Shot: 0.02 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 0 - 0
Box Shots: 1 - 2
Field Tilt: 38 - 62
#NWSL | #NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
Score: 0 - 0
xG: 0.1 - 0.2
xG/Shot: 0.02 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 0 - 0
Box Shots: 1 - 2
Field Tilt: 38 - 62
#NWSL | #NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
November 23, 2025 at 2:09 AM
It's definitely a final, folks! Halftime stats for a back-foot Washington Spirit and a neutered-possession Gotham FC.
Score: 0 - 0
xG: 0.1 - 0.2
xG/Shot: 0.02 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 0 - 0
Box Shots: 1 - 2
Field Tilt: 38 - 62
#NWSL | #NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
Score: 0 - 0
xG: 0.1 - 0.2
xG/Shot: 0.02 - 0.03
Quality Chances (xG >0.15): 0 - 0
Box Shots: 1 - 2
Field Tilt: 38 - 62
#NWSL | #NWSLChampionship | #WASvNJY | #GothamFC
Hey Jessica Berman, NOT GOOD.
all supporter groups planned to hold signs about protecting trans and intersex people at minute 20 and the in stadium clock stopped at 17:30 until about 23rd minute 🤨
November 23, 2025 at 1:48 AM
Hey Jessica Berman, NOT GOOD.
FINAL #NWSLChampionship PREDICTIONS
@ericmakesmistakes.bsky.social: 0-0 and penalties
@evandavissports.bsky.social: 1-0 Washington in extra time
Have fun, everyone!
#NWSL | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
@ericmakesmistakes.bsky.social: 0-0 and penalties
@evandavissports.bsky.social: 1-0 Washington in extra time
Have fun, everyone!
#NWSL | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
November 23, 2025 at 1:14 AM
FINAL #NWSLChampionship PREDICTIONS
@ericmakesmistakes.bsky.social: 0-0 and penalties
@evandavissports.bsky.social: 1-0 Washington in extra time
Have fun, everyone!
#NWSL | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
@ericmakesmistakes.bsky.social: 0-0 and penalties
@evandavissports.bsky.social: 1-0 Washington in extra time
Have fun, everyone!
#NWSL | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
Final #NWSL projections of the 2025 season! Thanks to @americansocceranalysis.com, @qebrian.bsky.social and @trevorl.bsky.social for building these models and sharing their data with us all year.
#NWSLChampionship | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
#NWSLChampionship | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
November 23, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Final #NWSL projections of the 2025 season! Thanks to @americansocceranalysis.com, @qebrian.bsky.social and @trevorl.bsky.social for building these models and sharing their data with us all year.
#NWSLChampionship | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY
#NWSLChampionship | #GothamFC | #WASvNJY