Claudia Sahm
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claudia-sahm.bsky.social
Claudia Sahm
@claudia-sahm.bsky.social

macro, fiscal, Fed. creator of the Sahm rule recession indicator. Stay-At-Home Macro (SAHM) Substack.

Claudia Rae Sahm is an American economist, currently serving as Chief Economist for New Century Advisors. She is also the founder of Sahm Consulting. Claudia was formerly director of macroeconomic policy at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, and a Section Chief at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, where she worked in various capacities from 2007 to 2019. Sahm specializes in macroeconomics and household finance. She is best known for the development of the Sahm rule, a Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) indicator for identifying recessions in real-time. .. more

Economics 57%
Business 32%

Reposted by Claudia Sahm

Reposted by Claudia Sahm

Recessions hit economically vulnerable groups first.

๐Ÿšจ My First Working Paper ๐Ÿšจ using broader labor-utilization measures, like a U6-based @claudia-sahm.bsky.social style rule, flags recessions months before dating.

Please read + share:
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Reposted by Claudia Sahm

Merry Christmas ๐ŸŽ„

Reposted by Aaron Sojourner

All kidding aside, this is a very troubling post that should feature prominently in the Senate confirmation hearings. Reminder if the Senate doesnโ€™t confirm anyone, Powell stays as Fed Chair.

#PuffiSays farm cousin Sprinkles is not impressed with the new monetary policy rule that dropped today.

Reposted by Claudia Sahm

The โ€˜move fast and break thingsโ€™ approach of the White House has been discredited in so many domains this year and at a high human cost.

Reposted by Brendan Nyhan

At no point watching the 60 Minutes segment did I think, โ€œgee, what would Stephen Miller have to say?โ€

Reposted by Claudia Sahm

Reposted by Claudia Sahm

Please take care of yourself, first and foremost. You deserve it. Your insights are always worth the wait!