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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 1d

Missed last week’s round table discussion of the Czech elections @uclssees.bsky.social ? Listen on YouTube youtu.be/25qTe3NM4-M?...

Democracy at a crossroads? The Czech parliamentary elections and their implications

YouTube video by UCLSSEES

youtu.be

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 1d

Filip Turek’s surprise, surprise) racist and misogynistic social media posts are leading prominent ANO figures publicly to reject Motorist leader as a possible Foreign Minister. A cynic might say they probably knew of these messages for a long time and anticipated playing this card.

Deník N @denikn.cz · 2d

Pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích. „Pokud se potvrdí pravost výroků, situace je vážná a z mého pohledu na post ministra zahraniční nehratelná,“ uvedl.

Plaga: Pokud Motoristé nezvládnou situaci vysvětlit, Turek nemůže být ministrem zahraničí

Bývalý a zároveň pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od nenávistných výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích...

denikn.cz

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Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 2d

“Win every election” is not a viable strategy for preventing authoritarianism

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Deník N @denikn.cz · 2d

Pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích. „Pokud se potvrdí pravost výroků, situace je vážná a z mého pohledu na post ministra zahraniční nehratelná,“ uvedl.

Plaga: Pokud Motoristé nezvládnou situaci vysvětlit, Turek nemůže být ministrem zahraničí

Bývalý a zároveň pravděpodobný budoucí ministr školství Robert Plaga (ANO) se distancoval od nenávistných výroků Filipa Turka (Motoristé), které byly ještě včera a dnes vidět na jeho sociálních sítích...

denikn.cz

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 4d

The centre-right and liberal centre in Czechia only ever win when lots small parties on left and populist side fall below 5% threshold (1992, 2010, 2022), - the default is for them be out of power argues @jindrichsidlo.zpravobot.news.ap.brid.gy Yes, spot on. www.seznamzpravy.cz/clanek/domac...

Komentář: Proč „pravice“ prohrála volby? Protože je nevyhrála nikdy - Seznam Zprávy

Jen třikrát v polistopadové historii získala česká „pravice“ většinu ve Sněmovně. Vždycky to ale bylo jen díky propadlým hlasům. Po víc než 30 letech experimentu je asi potřeba najít jinou cestu.

www.seznamzpravy.cz

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 5d

After a conversation with Monday’s MA class, now wondering what a meeting between Donald Trump and Nicolae Ceaucescu would’ve been like.

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Jo Wolff @jowolff.bsky.social · 6d

The advice I give young people on choice of degree programme. Choose something you love. You’ve got the rest of your life to be frustrated and miserable.

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · 6d

Orbán's regime is a psychiatric case: László Krasznahorkai, #NobelPrize for Literature winner.
yalereview.org/article/l%C3... #Hungary

László Krasznahorkai on hope, apocalypse, and his new short story

Hari Kunzru interviews the Hungarian novelist László Krasznahorkai.

yalereview.org

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · 7d

President #Macron appears to be more isolated than ever.
www.rfi.fr/en/france/20... #France #politics

As Macronists turn their backs on the president, left and right struggle to unite

Political journalists from RFI's French service examine where influential figures from across the political spectrum stand, ahead of the 8 October deadline given to outgoing prime minister Sébastien…

www.rfi.fr

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · 8d

A Wargame to Take #Taiwan, from China’s Perspective
warontherocks.com/2025/10/a-wa... #China

A Wargame to Take Taiwan, from China’s Perspective

In August 2025, 25 international experts gathered at Syracuse University to do something unusual: plan China's invasion of Taiwan. For two days,

warontherocks.com

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 8d

Fine blog on Czech election. Big win for Babiš as in 2017 pyrrhic.

But am left wondering after cost-of-living dominated campaign, if liberal–illiberal cultural divide so key. And if shapeshifting pragmatist AB really readable in classic left/right,lib/con terms?

blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...

The 2025 Czech election – Andrej Babiš’s Pyrrhic victory

Andrej Babiš’s ANO won the 2025 Czech election on 3–4 October. Yet as Jan Rovny explains, Babiš will find it challenging to form a stable government.

blogs.lse.ac.uk

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Cas Ⓜ️udde @casmudde.bsky.social · 8d

My main problem with this is not so much the dominance of quantitative methods in “top-20” journals but rather the dominance of the exclusive use of quantitative methods — in many cases causality could and should have been established by a (nested) qualitative study. *

Alexia Katsanidou @alexiakatsanidou.bsky.social · 8d

Great paper on the state of political science osf.io/preprints/os... by @guygrossman.bsky.social et. al. We have become more diverse, more quantitative, and more collaborative.

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Jo Wolff @jowolff.bsky.social · 8d

Really I should have been born in the seventeenth century, when random speling was normal.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 9d

Usually disadvantages smaller parties, but this time they have seats in in line with votes. Babis’s ANO somewhat overrepresented and Together under-represented. I would guess Babis benefited from large vote and some regional concentration.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 9d

There are regional disparities in where parties have their votes as well as disparities introduced by the uneven size of regional electoral district which are based on administrative units.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 10d

Vynikající analýza politologa Jakuba Lyska – zatím nejlepší z rychlých povolebních podcastů. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/5...

Češi rozhodli a Babiš si zpívá

Podcast Episode · 5:59 · 05/10/2025 · 27m

podcasts.apple.com

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Helene von Bismarck @helenebismarck.bsky.social · 10d

Well it has happened.
The leadership of the Conservative&Unionist Party is advocating leaving the ECHR. Not reforming it, or working with other members to alter any rules.
Leave it. Like Putin’s Russia.
I can’t help wondering what those Tories who are rightly proud of 🇬🇧’s support for 🇺🇦 are thinking.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Meanwhile the knives are likely to be out for Social Democrat leader Jan Maláčová whose decision to ally her declining party with the Communists in Enough! - after much wavering - has proved divisive and electorally a total failure.

Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Czech Communist leader Kateřina Konečná has conceded that the Communist-led Enough! bloc won’t make it into parliament and speedily denounced Babiš as offering “a right-wing government with a human face”

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Czech Communist leader Kateřina Konečná has conceded that the Communist-led Enough! bloc won’t make it into parliament and speedily denounced Babiš as offering “a right-wing government with a human face”

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

TLDR: Expect a Babiš-Motorist government with small majority or a strong minority administration reluctantly enabled by opposition parties as the less evil.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Communist-led Enough grouping steadily on 4.5%. They don’t look likely to make into Parliament as bigger cities will not pick up that many votes in big urban area. I expected them to squeeze over 5% threshold. Few people including Babiš will mourn their absence.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Pirates polling solidly - currently around 8%. Should creep up to around 10% when big cities counted.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Together bloc of PM Fiala on around 20% which is likely to creep up as results of urban centres come. Respectable showing, slightly better than expectations.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Far right Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) seem to have underperformed relative to expectations, well below 10%, likely losing votes to ANO and perhaps Motorists.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

Motorists a big surprise easily clearing 5% threshold and now on 8-9%. Likely partner in a Babiš government. Analysts noticed a late uptick in support as they campaigned heavily at the end, but many - including me - wrote them off.

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 11d

With just under half of electoral precincts in Czechia counted, it looks like Andrej Babis’s ANO movement that won big. Now on 38% of votes counted. Likely to drop has results from big cities come in, but 35%?

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Andrej Matisak @matisaksk.bsky.social · 12d

#Czechia votes and if you are following it, listen also to my 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @drseanhanley.bsky.social : Who is Andrej Babiš? He wants to run the state like a business, but he won't visit Putin after the elections.
▶️ open.spotify.com/episode/6wqp... #politics

Who is Andrej Babiš? He wants to run the state like a business, but he won't visit Putin after the elections

open.spotify.com

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Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1.bsky.social · 15d

Trump opens with a threat to the generals:

"I've never walked into a room so silent … Have a good time. And if you want to applaud, you applaud ... If you don't like what I'm saying, you can leave the room. Of course, there goes your rank, there goes your future. but you just feel nice and loose."

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Seán Hanley @drseanhanley.bsky.social · 15d

Odborník se může samozřejmě mýlit… Můj pohled na nadcházející české volby v rozhovoru s Andrejem Matisakem pro deník Pravda. spravy.pravda.sk/svet/clanok/...

Smerom k Ficovi a Orbánovi? Babiš chce riadiť štát ako firmu, ale v Kremli s Putinom ho neuvidíte, tvrdí odborník

Už 3. a 4. októbra sa v Česku konajú parlamentné voľby. Prieskumy ukazujú, že ich vyhrá hnutie ANO Andreja Babiša s výsledkom asi aj viac ako 30 percent.

spravy.pravda.sk

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Journal of Democracy @jodemocracy.bsky.social · 16d

Democracy is on dangerous ground when its fundamental rules become the main point of political contention. This is where we are today. The truth is that the institutions, not just the players, need to change.

muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/a...

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