Filipe Campante
@filipecampante.bsky.social
Bloomberg Distinguished Professor (SAIS & Carey Business School), Johns Hopkins University. Political economy, Brazil, and a little bit of futebol.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
It’s crazy to think about the crimes we’re going to learn about after this regime ends.
We’re already hearing about Watergate level crimes every week. Imagine what will come out after it’s over.
We’re going to need a full accounting of all that’s been done in violation of the constitution.
We’re already hearing about Watergate level crimes every week. Imagine what will come out after it’s over.
We’re going to need a full accounting of all that’s been done in violation of the constitution.
November 22, 2025 at 10:05 PM
It’s crazy to think about the crimes we’re going to learn about after this regime ends.
We’re already hearing about Watergate level crimes every week. Imagine what will come out after it’s over.
We’re going to need a full accounting of all that’s been done in violation of the constitution.
We’re already hearing about Watergate level crimes every week. Imagine what will come out after it’s over.
We’re going to need a full accounting of all that’s been done in violation of the constitution.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
In normal democracy terms, we've in bad shape and things are getting worse.
In consolidated authoritarianism terms, we're doing pretty well, as the regime is haphazard, meeting resistance, and growing increasingly unpopular.
Depends on one's perspective. I started using the latter standard in Jan.
In consolidated authoritarianism terms, we're doing pretty well, as the regime is haphazard, meeting resistance, and growing increasingly unpopular.
Depends on one's perspective. I started using the latter standard in Jan.
It is good to see the pushback on Trump lead to real losses for him. But it's hard to be optimistic when he still wields the enormous power of the presidency. ICE is still rampaging, HHS is harming people, the U.S. may be about to sell out Ukraine, the boat strikes...he's still doing so much damage.
November 22, 2025 at 5:48 PM
In normal democracy terms, we've in bad shape and things are getting worse.
In consolidated authoritarianism terms, we're doing pretty well, as the regime is haphazard, meeting resistance, and growing increasingly unpopular.
Depends on one's perspective. I started using the latter standard in Jan.
In consolidated authoritarianism terms, we're doing pretty well, as the regime is haphazard, meeting resistance, and growing increasingly unpopular.
Depends on one's perspective. I started using the latter standard in Jan.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Supreme Court justices worried Bolsonaro would flee to the US embassy. Yet again, the US is a risk to global democracy and a place that the world's dictators see as a potential refuge from accountability.
veja.abril.com.br/brasil/morae...
veja.abril.com.br/brasil/morae...
Ao ordenar prisão, Moraes viu risco de fuga de Bolsonaro para embaixada dos EUA
'Rememoro que o réu, conforme apurado nestes autos, planejou a fuga para a embaixada da Argentina', disse Moraes
veja.abril.com.br
November 22, 2025 at 3:32 PM
Supreme Court justices worried Bolsonaro would flee to the US embassy. Yet again, the US is a risk to global democracy and a place that the world's dictators see as a potential refuge from accountability.
veja.abril.com.br/brasil/morae...
veja.abril.com.br/brasil/morae...
Reposted by Filipe Campante
e mais uma vez se confirma: toda vez que começou essa palhaçada de "Ah, coitado, tá sofrendo, tá deprimido, tá soluçando" era prenúncio de que estavam planejando merda
November 22, 2025 at 3:25 PM
e mais uma vez se confirma: toda vez que começou essa palhaçada de "Ah, coitado, tá sofrendo, tá deprimido, tá soluçando" era prenúncio de que estavam planejando merda
Authoritarian crackdowns always randomly ensnare people who are supposedly not targets, so that the circle of fear becomes larger.
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
November 21, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Authoritarian crackdowns always randomly ensnare people who are supposedly not targets, so that the circle of fear becomes larger.
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
There could hardly be a clearer description of authoritarian populism than this DHS tweet.
this defies parody. also helps explain why Sec Bessent bizarrely blamed immigrants when confronted with a question about high beef prices
November 20, 2025 at 6:56 PM
There could hardly be a clearer description of authoritarian populism than this DHS tweet.
If we survive the ongoing authoritarian attempt — and I’m more optimistic that we might — we will have to hand it to the federal courts. (SCOTUS *emphatically* excluded.)
Every other supposed bulwark of democracy wobbled — Congress, Democrats, media, business, universities, etc. They haven’t.
Every other supposed bulwark of democracy wobbled — Congress, Democrats, media, business, universities, etc. They haven’t.
ALERT: Judge blocks Texas from using new congressional map for 2026 elections
www.cbsnews.com/news/texas-c...
www.cbsnews.com/news/texas-c...
Judge blocks Texas from using new congressional map for 2026 elections
U.S. District Judge Jeffrey Brown ordered Texas to use House district lines adopted in 2021 for next year's congressional elections.
www.cbsnews.com
November 20, 2025 at 2:36 AM
If we survive the ongoing authoritarian attempt — and I’m more optimistic that we might — we will have to hand it to the federal courts. (SCOTUS *emphatically* excluded.)
Every other supposed bulwark of democracy wobbled — Congress, Democrats, media, business, universities, etc. They haven’t.
Every other supposed bulwark of democracy wobbled — Congress, Democrats, media, business, universities, etc. They haven’t.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Last night’s lavish White House dinner showed us the global oligarchy coming together in plain sight.
By cozying up to MBS, Trump has signaled to the world that the United States is now on the side of authoritarianism, not democracy.
By cozying up to MBS, Trump has signaled to the world that the United States is now on the side of authoritarianism, not democracy.
November 20, 2025 at 1:29 AM
Last night’s lavish White House dinner showed us the global oligarchy coming together in plain sight.
By cozying up to MBS, Trump has signaled to the world that the United States is now on the side of authoritarianism, not democracy.
By cozying up to MBS, Trump has signaled to the world that the United States is now on the side of authoritarianism, not democracy.
It’s based on anecdotal observation of teenage boys, but I get the distinct impression that Cristiano Ronaldo fandom is highly predictive of support for Trump. Somehow it fits together…
"The president also hosted a dinner for the crown prince last night. Guests included Elon Musk, who is back in Trump’s good graces, as well as soccer star Cristiano Ronaldo, Apple chief executive Tim Cook, Nvidia chief Jensen Huang, and billionaire investor Bill Ackerman."
embarrassing.
embarrassing.
November 20, 2025 at 12:22 AM
It’s based on anecdotal observation of teenage boys, but I get the distinct impression that Cristiano Ronaldo fandom is highly predictive of support for Trump. Somehow it fits together…
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Hard to beat this discussant slide by force-of-nature @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social after I spoke at the IMF last Friday
November 19, 2025 at 2:03 AM
Hard to beat this discussant slide by force-of-nature @mushfiq-econ.bsky.social after I spoke at the IMF last Friday
The title is pure clickbait, but the analysis is sharp and persuasive. @nealemahoney.bsky.social
Economists Hate This Idea. It Could Be a Way Out of the Affordability Crisis. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Economists Hate This Idea. It Could Be a Way Out of the Affordability Crisis. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Opinion | Economists Hate This Idea. It Could Be a Way Out of the Affordability Crisis.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 1:42 PM
The title is pure clickbait, but the analysis is sharp and persuasive. @nealemahoney.bsky.social
Economists Hate This Idea. It Could Be a Way Out of the Affordability Crisis. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Economists Hate This Idea. It Could Be a Way Out of the Affordability Crisis. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Reposted by Filipe Campante
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.
www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
For Women in Economics, the Hostility Is Out in the Open (Published 2021)
www.nytimes.com
November 15, 2025 at 4:32 PM
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.
www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
This right here is a reason why I think humans will be kept around even in sectors where AI is demonstrably better from a performance standpoint.
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
November 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM
This right here is a reason why I think humans will be kept around even in sectors where AI is demonstrably better from a performance standpoint.
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
I agree.
A few things are true at once:
1. Trump is deeply unpopular and increasingly seen as a lame duck. The economy is also looking shaky.
And the Epstein Files.
1. Trump is deeply unpopular and increasingly seen as a lame duck. The economy is also looking shaky.
And the Epstein Files.
November 14, 2025 at 9:25 PM
I agree.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
Academics who have advised a graduate student from China over the past years would be banned from federal funding. This would give the federal government one more lever to attack scientists. And how long before they expand the list of "hostile foreign" countries?
November 14, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Academics who have advised a graduate student from China over the past years would be banned from federal funding. This would give the federal government one more lever to attack scientists. And how long before they expand the list of "hostile foreign" countries?
Reposted by Filipe Campante
What’s the difference between compromise and capitulation? Compromise trades concessions. Capitulation pays ransom to stop deliberate suffering, and teaches your opponent that coercion works. There are effective responses to coercive bargaining. What we saw was not one of them.
The Compassion Trap: How the Shutdown Weaponized Democratic Values Against Democracy Itself
When Opposition Parties Stop Fighting Because the Cruelty Becomes Unbearable. And Why They Shouldn't.
open.substack.com
November 11, 2025 at 6:26 PM
What’s the difference between compromise and capitulation? Compromise trades concessions. Capitulation pays ransom to stop deliberate suffering, and teaches your opponent that coercion works. There are effective responses to coercive bargaining. What we saw was not one of them.
America has invented something truly unique in the context of the modern state: civil service as a precarious job.
The Shutdown Is Over. But for Federal Workers, the Anxiety Persists. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
The Shutdown Is Over. But for Federal Workers, the Anxiety Persists. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
The Shutdown Is Over. But for Federal Workers, the Anxiety Persists.
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 12:45 PM
America has invented something truly unique in the context of the modern state: civil service as a precarious job.
The Shutdown Is Over. But for Federal Workers, the Anxiety Persists. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
The Shutdown Is Over. But for Federal Workers, the Anxiety Persists. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
Reposted by Filipe Campante
I think an underrated function of conspiracy theories is that they prevent us from noticing the actual collusion of forces that harms and collectively assails us; noticing this would be more painful than believing in even the most evil and outlandish conspiracy, because it is actually true
It is hard to get over that the Q-Anon folks spent years feverishly looking in pizza parlors for the cabal of rich, elite pedophiles and it turns out THERE WAS ONE, right in front of their noses, which they failed to identify and instead voted for three times in a row.
November 13, 2025 at 2:33 AM
I think an underrated function of conspiracy theories is that they prevent us from noticing the actual collusion of forces that harms and collectively assails us; noticing this would be more painful than believing in even the most evil and outlandish conspiracy, because it is actually true
Reposted by Filipe Campante
I do think the biggest way in which Donald Trump has broken journalism is his lack of shame. It used to be that exposing a public figure's secret appalling sins would cause them shame, humiliation and a loss of job. This made journalism consequential. But Trump just shrugs and nothing happens
Media standards:
1) No Democratic scandal on par with Trump-Epstein, so it’d be biased and unfair to five it much attention.
2) Trump wouldn’t be shamed into resigning and his cult of personality wouldn’t abandon him, so Trump-Epstein wasn’t worth pursuing.
Way too many think that’s journalism.
1) No Democratic scandal on par with Trump-Epstein, so it’d be biased and unfair to five it much attention.
2) Trump wouldn’t be shamed into resigning and his cult of personality wouldn’t abandon him, so Trump-Epstein wasn’t worth pursuing.
Way too many think that’s journalism.
November 13, 2025 at 1:56 AM
I do think the biggest way in which Donald Trump has broken journalism is his lack of shame. It used to be that exposing a public figure's secret appalling sins would cause them shame, humiliation and a loss of job. This made journalism consequential. But Trump just shrugs and nothing happens
The most depressing/revolting thing is that this can't possibly accomplish any meaningful policy goal, it's simply making people's lives worse for no discernible purpose.
Your pasta could get a lot pricier under new tariffs targeting Italian imports — if you can find them at all. nbcnews.to/49a953y
November 11, 2025 at 9:58 PM
The most depressing/revolting thing is that this can't possibly accomplish any meaningful policy goal, it's simply making people's lives worse for no discernible purpose.
Reposted by Filipe Campante
This project was fueled by RAGE
RAGE whenever I read or heard about (another) abuse of power by faculty
RAGE whenever I was asked to discuss a paper about gender wage differentials that attributed gaps to "preferences" with no consideration of how "preferences" are formed
RAGE whenever I read or heard about (another) abuse of power by faculty
RAGE whenever I was asked to discuss a paper about gender wage differentials that attributed gaps to "preferences" with no consideration of how "preferences" are formed
📣 New NBER Working Paper out today 📣
"The Consequences of Faculty Sexual Misconduct"
Sarah Cohodes & Katherine Leu
"The Consequences of Faculty Sexual Misconduct"
Sarah Cohodes & Katherine Leu
November 11, 2025 at 2:38 PM
This project was fueled by RAGE
RAGE whenever I read or heard about (another) abuse of power by faculty
RAGE whenever I was asked to discuss a paper about gender wage differentials that attributed gaps to "preferences" with no consideration of how "preferences" are formed
RAGE whenever I read or heard about (another) abuse of power by faculty
RAGE whenever I was asked to discuss a paper about gender wage differentials that attributed gaps to "preferences" with no consideration of how "preferences" are formed
A dude who's this tall, and still able to shake his defender out of his boots like that, it's the pinnacle of unfairness. Barring injury, we're talking very high GOAT possibilities here...
November 11, 2025 at 2:40 PM
A dude who's this tall, and still able to shake his defender out of his boots like that, it's the pinnacle of unfairness. Barring injury, we're talking very high GOAT possibilities here...
I won't comment on the shutdown shenanigans, except to restate that the probability that the Democratic candidate for president in 2028 will not be a current/recent office holder is high. The party's ripe for a hostile takeover by an outsider, akin to what Trump pulled off in the GOP in 2016.
November 10, 2025 at 5:02 PM
I won't comment on the shutdown shenanigans, except to restate that the probability that the Democratic candidate for president in 2028 will not be a current/recent office holder is high. The party's ripe for a hostile takeover by an outsider, akin to what Trump pulled off in the GOP in 2016.
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
November 10, 2025 at 4:26 PM
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
Palmeiras contra o top 6 da Serie A: 6 pontos (1V, 3E, 6D)
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
November 10, 2025 at 1:46 AM
Palmeiras contra o top 6 da Serie A: 6 pontos (1V, 3E, 6D)
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(
Flamengo contra o top 6: 17 pontos (5V, 2E, 2D)
Contra o resto: Palmeiras 62 pontos (20V, 2E, 0D), Flamengo 51 pontos (15V, 6E, 2D)
Palmeiras bate nos fracos e apanha dos fortes, Flamengo faz distribuição de renda… :(