Filipe Campante
@filipecampante.bsky.social
Bloomberg Distinguished Professor (SAIS & Carey Business School), Johns Hopkins University. Political economy, Brazil, and a little bit of futebol.
Authoritarian crackdowns always randomly ensnare people who are supposedly not targets, so that the circle of fear becomes larger.
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
November 21, 2025 at 10:50 AM
Authoritarian crackdowns always randomly ensnare people who are supposedly not targets, so that the circle of fear becomes larger.
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
This right here is a reason why I think humans will be kept around even in sectors where AI is demonstrably better from a performance standpoint.
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
November 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM
This right here is a reason why I think humans will be kept around even in sectors where AI is demonstrably better from a performance standpoint.
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
The comprehensiveness of the disaster remains most impressive...
November 10, 2025 at 4:29 PM
The comprehensiveness of the disaster remains most impressive...
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
November 10, 2025 at 4:26 PM
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
Whenever I see claims like this, I feel like the economics is completely missing. Even if you can theoretically replace all human tasks, *why* would it make economic sense to deploy the immense resources to do it, when humans are plentiful out there?
November 6, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Whenever I see claims like this, I feel like the economics is completely missing. Even if you can theoretically replace all human tasks, *why* would it make economic sense to deploy the immense resources to do it, when humans are plentiful out there?
When I say my name is not very common, I mean that we are 86 Campantes in all of Brazil.
November 4, 2025 at 7:37 PM
When I say my name is not very common, I mean that we are 86 Campantes in all of Brazil.
Quem diria, rapaz...
November 4, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Quem diria, rapaz...
Here, in a nutshell, is what makes the US legal infrastructure so vulnerable to authoritarianism: it was built for a high-trust environment in which everyone was supposed to exercise forbearance. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
November 3, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Here, in a nutshell, is what makes the US legal infrastructure so vulnerable to authoritarianism: it was built for a high-trust environment in which everyone was supposed to exercise forbearance. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
“Segundo tempo ruim” é o da imprensa paulista, que vai ter que aturar…
October 30, 2025 at 3:09 AM
“Segundo tempo ruim” é o da imprensa paulista, que vai ter que aturar…
Imprensa paulista pode tentar mandar essa o quanto quiser, mas aquele pênalti que não deram pro SPFC não será esquecido. Aquilo não é erro de arbitragem, tem outro nome…
October 20, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Imprensa paulista pode tentar mandar essa o quanto quiser, mas aquele pênalti que não deram pro SPFC não será esquecido. Aquilo não é erro de arbitragem, tem outro nome…
The real tell that this vision is incompatible with democracy is that these folks would not countenance in a million years the possibility of a Democrat wielding those powers. Authoritarianism is the only possible endgame for that.
October 17, 2025 at 7:42 PM
The real tell that this vision is incompatible with democracy is that these folks would not countenance in a million years the possibility of a Democrat wielding those powers. Authoritarianism is the only possible endgame for that.
October 17, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Playing in those lame-ass UEFA qualifiers, Erling Haaland will have 200+ international goals when he’s done.
October 11, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Playing in those lame-ass UEFA qualifiers, Erling Haaland will have 200+ international goals when he’s done.
And yet look the Turkish stock market over the last five years...
October 4, 2025 at 6:57 PM
And yet look the Turkish stock market over the last five years...
It’s important to understand the difference, bc otherwise the absence of collapse ends up interpreted as evidence that things can’t be so bad — after all, just look at the markets! FTSE 100 has looked just fine in spite of Brexit, doesn’t mean it wasn’t a total disaster. curvo.eu/backtest/en/...
October 4, 2025 at 6:22 PM
It’s important to understand the difference, bc otherwise the absence of collapse ends up interpreted as evidence that things can’t be so bad — after all, just look at the markets! FTSE 100 has looked just fine in spite of Brexit, doesn’t mean it wasn’t a total disaster. curvo.eu/backtest/en/...
To see American institutions fold like a cheap suit remains shocking.
October 4, 2025 at 1:41 AM
To see American institutions fold like a cheap suit remains shocking.
Paper here: filipecampante.org/wp-content/u...
October 3, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Paper here: filipecampante.org/wp-content/u...
I mean, he could not have made it any clearer…
September 30, 2025 at 10:25 PM
I mean, he could not have made it any clearer…
I'm of the view that, when @adamprz.bsky.social writes about democracy, we should pay a lot of attention... adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/musings-1
September 30, 2025 at 6:18 PM
I'm of the view that, when @adamprz.bsky.social writes about democracy, we should pay a lot of attention... adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/musings-1
Explicitly targeting opposition speech, the conspiratorial talk of NGOs and foreign agents, the use of tax authority... This is the Putin/Orban playbook, pretty much verbatim.
September 25, 2025 at 10:16 PM
Explicitly targeting opposition speech, the conspiratorial talk of NGOs and foreign agents, the use of tax authority... This is the Putin/Orban playbook, pretty much verbatim.
This by @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social is right on the money — call it the Ross Douthat Principle of authoritarian consolidation.
September 21, 2025 at 6:31 PM
This by @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social is right on the money — call it the Ross Douthat Principle of authoritarian consolidation.
Who needs Tocqueville to understand America in the 1830s, when one can read two paragraphs of Stendhal?
September 20, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Who needs Tocqueville to understand America in the 1830s, when one can read two paragraphs of Stendhal?
The H1-B visa thing is, like everything else in the Trump administration, set up to carve up exceptions for friends and punish enemies. It’s the authoritarian thru-line that stitches everything together.
September 20, 2025 at 12:34 PM
The H1-B visa thing is, like everything else in the Trump administration, set up to carve up exceptions for friends and punish enemies. It’s the authoritarian thru-line that stitches everything together.
New definition of “chutzpah” just dropped…
Trump Officials Question Harvard’s Stability, Saying Federal Inquiries Raise Financial Risk www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/u...
Trump Officials Question Harvard’s Stability, Saying Federal Inquiries Raise Financial Risk www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/u...
September 19, 2025 at 9:43 PM
New definition of “chutzpah” just dropped…
Trump Officials Question Harvard’s Stability, Saying Federal Inquiries Raise Financial Risk www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/u...
Trump Officials Question Harvard’s Stability, Saying Federal Inquiries Raise Financial Risk www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/u...
European WC qualifiers are a complete joke.
September 9, 2025 at 11:44 PM
European WC qualifiers are a complete joke.