Filipe Campante
filipecampante.bsky.social
Filipe Campante
@filipecampante.bsky.social
Bloomberg Distinguished Professor (SAIS & Carey Business School), Johns Hopkins University. Political economy, Brazil, and a little bit of futebol.
Authoritarian crackdowns always randomly ensnare people who are supposedly not targets, so that the circle of fear becomes larger.

‘The System Is Meant to Break You’: What ICE Is Doing to People Here Legally www.nytimes.com/2025/11/21/o...
November 21, 2025 at 10:50 AM
This right here is a reason why I think humans will be kept around even in sectors where AI is demonstrably better from a performance standpoint.

Waymo Was on a Roll in San Francisco. Then One of Its Driverless Cars Killed a Cat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/15/u...
November 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM
The comprehensiveness of the disaster remains most impressive...
November 10, 2025 at 4:29 PM
The evidence keeps accumulating that Brexit was an astonishing self-inflicted economic policy disaster. The fact that it is a slow-moving one bodes ill for those who think that populist economic mismanagement will translate into voters punishing populists. www.nber.org/system/files...
November 10, 2025 at 4:26 PM
Whenever I see claims like this, I feel like the economics is completely missing. Even if you can theoretically replace all human tasks, *why* would it make economic sense to deploy the immense resources to do it, when humans are plentiful out there?
November 6, 2025 at 10:15 PM
When I say my name is not very common, I mean that we are 86 Campantes in all of Brazil.
November 4, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Quem diria, rapaz...
November 4, 2025 at 4:23 PM
Here, in a nutshell, is what makes the US legal infrastructure so vulnerable to authoritarianism: it was built for a high-trust environment in which everyone was supposed to exercise forbearance. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/03/u...
November 3, 2025 at 11:39 AM
“Segundo tempo ruim” é o da imprensa paulista, que vai ter que aturar…
October 30, 2025 at 3:09 AM
Imprensa paulista pode tentar mandar essa o quanto quiser, mas aquele pênalti que não deram pro SPFC não será esquecido. Aquilo não é erro de arbitragem, tem outro nome…
October 20, 2025 at 2:02 AM
The real tell that this vision is incompatible with democracy is that these folks would not countenance in a million years the possibility of a Democrat wielding those powers. Authoritarianism is the only possible endgame for that.
October 17, 2025 at 7:42 PM
October 17, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Playing in those lame-ass UEFA qualifiers, Erling Haaland will have 200+ international goals when he’s done.
October 11, 2025 at 6:40 PM
And yet look the Turkish stock market over the last five years...
October 4, 2025 at 6:57 PM
It’s important to understand the difference, bc otherwise the absence of collapse ends up interpreted as evidence that things can’t be so bad — after all, just look at the markets! FTSE 100 has looked just fine in spite of Brexit, doesn’t mean it wasn’t a total disaster. curvo.eu/backtest/en/...
October 4, 2025 at 6:22 PM
To see American institutions fold like a cheap suit remains shocking.
October 4, 2025 at 1:41 AM
October 3, 2025 at 1:51 AM
I mean, he could not have made it any clearer…
September 30, 2025 at 10:25 PM
I'm of the view that, when @adamprz.bsky.social writes about democracy, we should pay a lot of attention... adamprzeworski.substack.com/p/musings-1
September 30, 2025 at 6:18 PM
Explicitly targeting opposition speech, the conspiratorial talk of NGOs and foreign agents, the use of tax authority... This is the Putin/Orban playbook, pretty much verbatim.
September 25, 2025 at 10:16 PM
This by @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social is right on the money — call it the Ross Douthat Principle of authoritarian consolidation.
September 21, 2025 at 6:31 PM
Who needs Tocqueville to understand America in the 1830s, when one can read two paragraphs of Stendhal?
September 20, 2025 at 10:02 PM
The H1-B visa thing is, like everything else in the Trump administration, set up to carve up exceptions for friends and punish enemies. It’s the authoritarian thru-line that stitches everything together.
September 20, 2025 at 12:34 PM
New definition of “chutzpah” just dropped…

Trump Officials Question Harvard’s Stability, Saying Federal Inquiries Raise Financial Risk www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/u...
September 19, 2025 at 9:43 PM
European WC qualifiers are a complete joke.
September 9, 2025 at 11:44 PM