Ahmet Benlialper
@abenlialper.bsky.social
Economist | Asst. Prof., Corvinus University, Budapest | Monetary Policy & Intl. Finance | Formative years @ ESSEC, METU, Bilkent
ahmetbenlialper.com
ahmetbenlialper.com
Reposted by Ahmet Benlialper
Had a fantastic time at the Alternative Macroeconomics Theories: Developing Countries and Türkiye workshop at METU, Ankara! Loved the great discussions, meeting brilliant grad students, and reconnecting with friends. Hope to see more events like this on structural economic issues.
July 31, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Had a fantastic time at the Alternative Macroeconomics Theories: Developing Countries and Türkiye workshop at METU, Ankara! Loved the great discussions, meeting brilliant grad students, and reconnecting with friends. Hope to see more events like this on structural economic issues.
Reposted by Ahmet Benlialper
Alternatif Makroiktisat Teorileri: Gelişmekte olan
Ülkeler ve Türkiye 26-29 Temmuz 2025 ODTÜ: Başvurular devam ediyor.
Ülkeler ve Türkiye 26-29 Temmuz 2025 ODTÜ: Başvurular devam ediyor.
May 16, 2025 at 3:26 AM
Alternatif Makroiktisat Teorileri: Gelişmekte olan
Ülkeler ve Türkiye 26-29 Temmuz 2025 ODTÜ: Başvurular devam ediyor.
Ülkeler ve Türkiye 26-29 Temmuz 2025 ODTÜ: Başvurular devam ediyor.
Reposted by Ahmet Benlialper
Studying the long-run output losses of financial crises and global temperature shocks finds that crises are associated with detectable contractions in real GDP for five decades into the future, from Karsten Müller, Chenzi Xu, Mohamed Lehbib, and Ziliang Chen https://www.nber.org/papers/w33714
April 29, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Studying the long-run output losses of financial crises and global temperature shocks finds that crises are associated with detectable contractions in real GDP for five decades into the future, from Karsten Müller, Chenzi Xu, Mohamed Lehbib, and Ziliang Chen https://www.nber.org/papers/w33714
Bu mesele akillara Bianchi et al (2023) JME makalesini getiriyor: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Makalenin yazarlarına göre Trump'ın ilk döneminde Fed ile ilgili attığı her bir tweet faiz oranı beklentisini 0.26 baz puan düşürüyor. Mevcut koşullarda bu etkinin çok daha fazla çıkması olası.
Makalenin yazarlarına göre Trump'ın ilk döneminde Fed ile ilgili attığı her bir tweet faiz oranı beklentisini 0.26 baz puan düşürüyor. Mevcut koşullarda bu etkinin çok daha fazla çıkması olası.
April 21, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Bu mesele akillara Bianchi et al (2023) JME makalesini getiriyor: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Makalenin yazarlarına göre Trump'ın ilk döneminde Fed ile ilgili attığı her bir tweet faiz oranı beklentisini 0.26 baz puan düşürüyor. Mevcut koşullarda bu etkinin çok daha fazla çıkması olası.
Makalenin yazarlarına göre Trump'ın ilk döneminde Fed ile ilgili attığı her bir tweet faiz oranı beklentisini 0.26 baz puan düşürüyor. Mevcut koşullarda bu etkinin çok daha fazla çıkması olası.
www.brookings.edu/articles/reb...
"A Plaza/Louvre Accord or Bretton Woods-like moment appears to be approaching one way or the other, most likely during this or the next U.S. administration and quite possibly later this year."
Sounds more like "wishful thinking" since it is not 1985 and also...
"A Plaza/Louvre Accord or Bretton Woods-like moment appears to be approaching one way or the other, most likely during this or the next U.S. administration and quite possibly later this year."
Sounds more like "wishful thinking" since it is not 1985 and also...
Rebalancing the world economy: Right idea but wrong approach
Richard Samans on why tariffs won’t fix global imbalances and why Europe may be best positioned to lead a bold G3 solution with the U.S. and China.
www.brookings.edu
April 20, 2025 at 4:48 PM
www.brookings.edu/articles/reb...
"A Plaza/Louvre Accord or Bretton Woods-like moment appears to be approaching one way or the other, most likely during this or the next U.S. administration and quite possibly later this year."
Sounds more like "wishful thinking" since it is not 1985 and also...
"A Plaza/Louvre Accord or Bretton Woods-like moment appears to be approaching one way or the other, most likely during this or the next U.S. administration and quite possibly later this year."
Sounds more like "wishful thinking" since it is not 1985 and also...
on.ft.com/44nORAP
"Özel added that if a government-imposed ban made İmamoğlu’s candidacy impossible, “we will determine the most suitable candidate, and carry out a campaign based around İmamoğlu’s campaign for freedom”
İmamoğlu aday olamazsa başkasını yaparız demek iktidara ne mesaj veriyor acaba?
"Özel added that if a government-imposed ban made İmamoğlu’s candidacy impossible, “we will determine the most suitable candidate, and carry out a campaign based around İmamoğlu’s campaign for freedom”
İmamoğlu aday olamazsa başkasını yaparız demek iktidara ne mesaj veriyor acaba?
How Turkey’s opposition plans to take on Erdoğan
Republican People’s Party head Özgür Özel outlines strategy after arrest of star campaigner triggered mass protests
on.ft.com
April 15, 2025 at 3:45 PM
on.ft.com/44nORAP
"Özel added that if a government-imposed ban made İmamoğlu’s candidacy impossible, “we will determine the most suitable candidate, and carry out a campaign based around İmamoğlu’s campaign for freedom”
İmamoğlu aday olamazsa başkasını yaparız demek iktidara ne mesaj veriyor acaba?
"Özel added that if a government-imposed ban made İmamoğlu’s candidacy impossible, “we will determine the most suitable candidate, and carry out a campaign based around İmamoğlu’s campaign for freedom”
İmamoğlu aday olamazsa başkasını yaparız demek iktidara ne mesaj veriyor acaba?
www.reuters.com/world/us/bes...
"I've repeatedly said the Fed has two duties, and I believe that monetary policy is a jewel box that's got to be preserved. And then they have regulatory policies. And I think we can have more of a discussion."
So, reading between the lines, could this be a sign?
"I've repeatedly said the Fed has two duties, and I believe that monetary policy is a jewel box that's got to be preserved. And then they have regulatory policies. And I think we can have more of a discussion."
So, reading between the lines, could this be a sign?
April 14, 2025 at 11:29 PM
www.reuters.com/world/us/bes...
"I've repeatedly said the Fed has two duties, and I believe that monetary policy is a jewel box that's got to be preserved. And then they have regulatory policies. And I think we can have more of a discussion."
So, reading between the lines, could this be a sign?
"I've repeatedly said the Fed has two duties, and I believe that monetary policy is a jewel box that's got to be preserved. And then they have regulatory policies. And I think we can have more of a discussion."
So, reading between the lines, could this be a sign?
www.economist.com/united-state...
"One possibility is for Congress to remove the Fed’s regulatory powers and cabin its authority to monetary policy."
"One possibility is for Congress to remove the Fed’s regulatory powers and cabin its authority to monetary policy."
April 14, 2025 at 11:19 PM
www.economist.com/united-state...
"One possibility is for Congress to remove the Fed’s regulatory powers and cabin its authority to monetary policy."
"One possibility is for Congress to remove the Fed’s regulatory powers and cabin its authority to monetary policy."
Karşı tarafın gözü dönmüşlüğünü görünce akla ister istemez Sarıkaya üstadın bu eseri geliyor. Mesele imza kampanyası düzenlemek değil elbette, İmamoğlu'nun tutuklanmasından sonraki süreçte "örgütlü" tepkinin çok cılız kalması ve mücadele yöntemi olarak en pasif eylem şekillerinin seçilmesi.
April 14, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Karşı tarafın gözü dönmüşlüğünü görünce akla ister istemez Sarıkaya üstadın bu eseri geliyor. Mesele imza kampanyası düzenlemek değil elbette, İmamoğlu'nun tutuklanmasından sonraki süreçte "örgütlü" tepkinin çok cılız kalması ve mücadele yöntemi olarak en pasif eylem şekillerinin seçilmesi.
Bu hiç de düşük ihtimal değil bu arada. Trump'ın Fed üzerindeki kontrolünü artırmak için yakın zamanda yapabileceği hamleler de var üstelik:
youtu.be/FOGffA2M9x0?...
youtu.be/FOGffA2M9x0?...
April 12, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Bu hiç de düşük ihtimal değil bu arada. Trump'ın Fed üzerindeki kontrolünü artırmak için yakın zamanda yapabileceği hamleler de var üstelik:
youtu.be/FOGffA2M9x0?...
youtu.be/FOGffA2M9x0?...
Gündemin içinde bu kaynamış, ancak çok önemli. Orta vadede Trump Fed üzerindeki baskısını artırır ve bir şekilde bu dolar swap hatlarını ilga etmeyi başarırsa dünya finansal sistemi duman olur.
www.reuters.com/markets/some...
İlgili olarak N. Tankus'un yazısı: www.crisesnotes.com/our2025lehma...
www.reuters.com/markets/some...
İlgili olarak N. Tankus'un yazısı: www.crisesnotes.com/our2025lehma...
Exclusive: Some European officials weigh if they can rely on Fed for dollars under Trump
Some European central banking and supervisory officials are questioning whether they can still rely on the U.S. Federal Reserve to provide dollar funding in times of market stress, six people familiar with the matter said, casting some doubt over what has been a bedrock of financial stability.
www.reuters.com
April 12, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Gündemin içinde bu kaynamış, ancak çok önemli. Orta vadede Trump Fed üzerindeki baskısını artırır ve bir şekilde bu dolar swap hatlarını ilga etmeyi başarırsa dünya finansal sistemi duman olur.
www.reuters.com/markets/some...
İlgili olarak N. Tankus'un yazısı: www.crisesnotes.com/our2025lehma...
www.reuters.com/markets/some...
İlgili olarak N. Tankus'un yazısı: www.crisesnotes.com/our2025lehma...
Timely paper on inflation with a strong emphasis on the supply side, albeit missing many crucial references.
x.com/jplhuill/sta...
x.com/jplhuill/sta...
x.com
April 7, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Timely paper on inflation with a strong emphasis on the supply side, albeit missing many crucial references.
x.com/jplhuill/sta...
x.com/jplhuill/sta...
Reposted by Ahmet Benlialper
NEW ODD LOTS:
We talked to Brad Setster
No more description required.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
We talked to Brad Setster
No more description required.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
Brad Setser on the Damage From Trump's Gigantic Tariff Shock
Podcast Episode · Odd Lots · 04/05/2025 · 29m
podcasts.apple.com
April 5, 2025 at 1:17 PM
NEW ODD LOTS:
We talked to Brad Setster
No more description required.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
We talked to Brad Setster
No more description required.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/b...
April 5, 2025 at 12:39 PM
If this somehow makes sense (clearly it doesn't), shouldn't they introduce import subsidies for products from deficit nations instead of a 10 per cent flat tariff?
April 3, 2025 at 9:55 PM
If this somehow makes sense (clearly it doesn't), shouldn't they introduce import subsidies for products from deficit nations instead of a 10 per cent flat tariff?
Bu tam Türk işi bir politika tasarımı olmuş. Bütün dünyayı çalkalayan, uzun dönemli etkilerinin ağır olma potansiyeli çok yüksek olan böylesi bir hamlenin üzerinde maksimum 15 saniye falan düşünülmüş olması uluslararası ticaret üzerine çalışan ekonomistlerin canını yakıyor olmalı.
james surowiecki has discovered where the completely fabricated trump tariff rate has come from for each country
"...for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us."
"...for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us."
April 3, 2025 at 9:00 PM
Bu tam Türk işi bir politika tasarımı olmuş. Bütün dünyayı çalkalayan, uzun dönemli etkilerinin ağır olma potansiyeli çok yüksek olan böylesi bir hamlenin üzerinde maksimum 15 saniye falan düşünülmüş olması uluslararası ticaret üzerine çalışan ekonomistlerin canını yakıyor olmalı.