Arin Dube
@arindube.bsky.social
15K followers 670 following 9.2K posts
Provost Prof. of Economics (UMass Amherst). Inequality, labor market policies and competition. Affiliations: NBER, IZA, MIT Shaping the Future of Work Initiative Preorder my book, The Wage Standard: https://www.thewagestandard.com
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arindube.bsky.social
If you are interested in learning more about minimum wages, Attila Lindner and I have a new, up-to-date review of the topic, coming out in the Handbook of Labor Economics.

Here's the @nberpubs working paper. Link: nber.org/papers/w32878
Reposted by Arin Dube
zparolin.bsky.social
New WP: We study how minimum wage increases affect poverty and food hardship in the U.S from 1981-2019. Different from recent work, we study the Supplemental Poverty Measure + two measures of food hardship, factor in cost-of-living differences, and more. www.iza.org/publications...
arindube.bsky.social
One of the more meta similarities between 2000 and 2025 is the extent to which the likelihood of a bubble is widely recognized and discussed, even as asset prices climb.
Reposted by Arin Dube
jonwalkerpdx.bsky.social
This is literally what the actual "siege" of the auxiliary ICE building looks like
arindube.bsky.social
Since "war ravaged" is now being used without any relationship to reality, I hope everyone is enjoying this beautiful sunny afternoon like the one here in war ravaged Western Mass.
arindube.bsky.social
The pro-worker labor policy of the Trump administration is getting very hard to detect
josheidelson.bsky.social
Scoop: Under Trump's NLRB general counsel, the agency's withdrawn a slew of allegations it had been prosecuting, including that an Apple all-staff email Tim Cook sent was illegally coercive, & that firms including Curaleaf had illegal noncompete agreements www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
US Labor Board Withdraws Claims That Apple CEO Violated Workers’ Rights
The US labor board has abandoned its allegations that Apple Inc. Chief Executive Officer Tim Cook violated federal labor law, one of many cases where the agency is adopting a more business-friendly ap...
www.bloomberg.com
Reposted by Arin Dube
profczm.bsky.social
Finally some good news out of UCLA… Our program has been elevated to an official Department of Labor Studies, the first labor studies department in UC history!

newsroom.ucla.edu/stories/ucla...
arindube.bsky.social
Btw he also engaged in ad hominem attacks on Zucman, while opposing the 2% wealth tax.
Reposted by Arin Dube
jedkolko.bsky.social
The BLS is NOT postponing the monthly inflation report, the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Rather, the delay is for the annual Consumer Expenditure Survey (CEX). CEX provides the "weights" for the CPI and other inflation measures.
arindube.bsky.social
Don't look now, but I expect calls for tax justice to grow louder here in America too.
arindube.bsky.social
Pope Leo XIV speaks out against wage inequality.
arindube.bsky.social
It was a conditional statement not a prediction 🙂
arindube.bsky.social
Its possible Trump
was misinformed.

If he publicly apologizes to Cook and explains his errors, I would consider believing his sincerity.
arindube.bsky.social
To remind everyone, If she did not claim both houses as primary residences, it means that the President's entire claim (that he can fire her) is faulty.
arindube.bsky.social
Love it or hate it, this type of pressure on corporations to shape the contours of the market is something the left has wanted to do for a long time, but any actual attempt would have led to an uproar.

Trump has been able to do it with relatively little uproar.

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/10/u...
How Lutnick Is Using Government Power to Pressure Private Companies
www.nytimes.com
arindube.bsky.social
I lived in Seattle in 1991. When my kids ask me what I memories I have about music from my youth this is it.
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“Smells Like Teen Spirit”, released as a single 34 yrs ago today

“No one had any psychic foresight .. that the song would go on to do what it did,” said Grohl. “We just fuckin’ rocked it in a little rehearsal space that was like a barn. .. We just thought it was another cool song for the record.”
Reposted by Arin Dube
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“Smells Like Teen Spirit”, released as a single 34 yrs ago today

“No one had any psychic foresight .. that the song would go on to do what it did,” said Grohl. “We just fuckin’ rocked it in a little rehearsal space that was like a barn. .. We just thought it was another cool song for the record.”
arindube.bsky.social
Alt title: Reimagine carbon based life forms demanding social security privatization
arindube.bsky.social
Here is a scary story: a two-sided Wile E. Coyote cliff. One is Trump policies: market may have under-priced costs. Another is AI: investors may have been overly optimistic.

Correcting beliefs on one may lead to corrections in the other: with a scary multiplier.
Reposted by Arin Dube
benzipperer.org
a major concern coming out of the jobs report today is prime-age Black employment, which fell in 2025

these data are noisy and while it would be great if they turned around, I'm not optimistic: there will be downward pressure from federal job losses over the next few months
Line plot showing Black employment to population ratios for those ages 25-54 each month between 2023 and 2025. The title of the plot is "Black employment rates fell in 2025"
arindube.bsky.social
Overall, if you separate the signal from the noise, the labor market is looking increasingly under duress.

Unfortunately, policies by this administration have not helped, to put it charitably.
arindube.bsky.social
Finally, if the labor market were not becoming more slack, we might see an uptick in wage growth. That's not happened: nominal wage growth has slowed a bit over 2025.