asa watten
@asawatten.bsky.social
640 followers 1.3K following 56 posts
economist. i think about energy innovation and climate policy. detroit/rustbelt stan. asawatten.net
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Reposted by asa watten
bistline.bsky.social
📢 Just launched: Our REGEN energy systems model is now open source!

REGEN is a detailed and flexible energy systems modeling platform designed to explore a wide range of long-term scenarios. Check out the code, data, and documentation at the links below.
Reposted by asa watten
ucenergyinstitute.bsky.social
New Energy Institute Blog Post: Winners and Losers from Interregional Transmission - by Lucas Davis

energyathaas.wordpress.com/2025/04/07/w...
asawatten.bsky.social
I’m for some things and against others
Build affordable homes Destroy the constitution and economy
asawatten.bsky.social
Nice! Would be cool to see the margin difference on the vertical axis in the second fig.
asawatten.bsky.social
BTC is a computation treadmill.

Jensen's paradox (⬆️efficiency=>⬆️demand) is weak for many things (cars, lights) bc demand is inelastic. Not so for crypto mining!

Makes sense. Miners mine until marginal cost=marginal benefit. ⬆️eff=>⬇️mc=>⬆️mining=>⬇️mb. An EPRI brief: www.epri.com/research/pro...
Reposted by asa watten
alexwenzel.bsky.social
A PhD implies someone is capable of advancing knowledge, of learning and sharing things about the world that humans have not previously known. A generative AI model, by definition, cannot do this.
paulisci.bsky.social
Only $22,000/month with the Impostor Syndrome plug-in
OpenAI Plots Charging $20,000 a Month For PhD-Level Agents 
--The Information, 5 Mar 2025
asawatten.bsky.social
It's important to cover all the bases
Google Gemini answers: No, if confidence intervals overlap, the difference between the two estimates is not statistically significant. However, it's possible for the difference to be statistically significant even if the confidence intervals overlap.
Reposted by asa watten
ayanaeliza.bsky.social
As expected, the Trump team is already deleting climate info from government websites. In anticipation, our team at Urban Ocean Lab created a permanent archive of 100+ key resources and published a permanent archive: www.urbanoceanlab.org/resource-hub 👩🏽‍💻
Reposted by asa watten
rachelporter.bsky.social
Check out my new working paper with amazing ND grad students Bill Kakenmaster and Ben Francis

We show, among other things, that climate attribution among R House candidates depends on district-level climate vulnerability and fossil fuel employment reliance

osf.io/preprints/os...
asawatten.bsky.social
Waste of paint! Guernica has stopped exactly ZERO wars.
Picasso's Guernica
asawatten.bsky.social
And who shifted their opinion? Was the shift highest for folks with baseline opinion in the middle or the extremes. I would have scored high in climate concern and the film did not change my mind, but it's not folks like me who matter.
asawatten.bsky.social
Changes in a 100 point scale doesn't mean anything to me. It definitely doesn't mean a 4.5 percentage point change in voting behavior (which would be gigantic). How should I think about this magnitude?
asawatten.bsky.social
I like art. It makes me think and feel things. I don't expect single works to have measurable effects on opinions. But! In the case of don't look up it did (in a non-peer-reviewed RCT). Which is cool and leaves more questions..
ketanjoshi.co
I somehow missed this study, which examines the impact of the Netflix film "Don't Look Up" on climate behaviours and mental states using a few different methods

Confirms a critique many of us had: it may have been a cathartic watch, but it definitely wasn't change-making

rare.org/research-rep...
Emma Stewart, Ph.D. 2nd Netflix Sustainability Officer, Board Member, Public Spe 5d Connect Exactly three years after its launch, Don't Look Up remains the #2 most watched film on Netflix...ever. In a rigorous ten-country study, scientists at Rare studied whether the film and some of its marketing efforts actually shifted climate beliefs. The findings were quite compelling, with study participants (who were shown both the film and a climate-themed marketing video) more likely to take action on climate change and support government action to address climate change. Read more here: https://lnkd.in/gEHRqtnV Well done Adam McKay, Kevin Messick and Staci Roberts-Steele of Hyperobject Industries, and researchers Erik Thulin, Ellis Watamanuk, Anirudh Tiwathia, Abdurakhim Rakhimov Executive summary of findings UP While viewing Don’t Look Up alone shows a mixed pattern of results, significantly
driving some mental states but not others, viewing the film plus the marketing video
produces consistently statistically significant larger impacts. The estimated impact of Don’t Look Up on natural viewers’ film-tailored climate mental
states was generally non-significant. The estimated impact if actual viewers had also
watched the marketing video also became smaller and was also generally non-significant.
asawatten.bsky.social
The difficulty with interpreting these numbers is that this 100 point scale doesn't mean anything to me. I'd rather know who shifted. Specifically if the folks with a lower baseline shifted more than the higher baseline folks.
asawatten.bsky.social
I'm pleasantly surprised that there is an effect! My guess would be that there is no effect on ppl who already think CC is a problem. I didn't change my views. If so, that 4.5 point change is being diluted by the already converted.
asawatten.bsky.social
I may be too literal
Photo of entry way to a Zen temple
asawatten.bsky.social
And Ds should have been freaked out after the close win in 2020 and the apparent loss of the coalition.
Reposted by asa watten
gralefrit.bsky.social
I didn’t realise BlueSky has no algorithm (so you see what’s actually there) - and that you can choose your own filters for feeds.

This one’s lovely: people you follow but post infrequently, so it boosts quieter, interesting types. I’ve added it to my feeds and it’s great.

bsky.app/profile/did:...
asawatten.bsky.social
Last dude tried to tell me that EVs have special insurance that my insurance wouldn't cover. "So you just want to pay for it if something happens while you're charging?"

Why is this simple thing so terrible? Help @pjvogt.bsky.social
asawatten.bsky.social
Are low-cost car rental companies just a scam to get folx to buy overpriced insurance?

The hours of waiting in line, agents who disappear for 20 min in the middle of checking u out feel designed to wear u down when they threaten financial ruin. And u don't need it if u have almost any credit card.
asawatten.bsky.social
This has got to be it with so many states having minimum injury liability around $25k. It would be interesting to compare MI ($50K) to its neighbors (all $25k).
asawatten.bsky.social
I'm confused if this is a problem with how inflation is measured. (Obvi an issue with higher costs and risks). Higher insurance costs get passed on to renters and BLS uses "owners' equivalent rent of primary residence" for home owner costs--what they would pay if renting.