Amy Fried
@asfried.bsky.social
Political scientist, kayaker
Emeritus, UMaine
Political Sightlines at https://amyfried.substack.com/
Books on how U.S. conservatives weaponized distrust, New England politics, professionalizing polling, and perceptions of public opinion as a resource
Emeritus, UMaine
Political Sightlines at https://amyfried.substack.com/
Books on how U.S. conservatives weaponized distrust, New England politics, professionalizing polling, and perceptions of public opinion as a resource
It won’t move votes but could move money.
February 3, 2026 at 1:50 PM
It won’t move votes but could move money.
There is an independent candidate, Tim Rich.
February 3, 2026 at 12:44 AM
There is an independent candidate, Tim Rich.
Yup. And there was no ranked choice tally because Collins won an outright majority.
February 2, 2026 at 11:25 PM
Yup. And there was no ranked choice tally because Collins won an outright majority.
The Collins campaign team is practiced and relentless.
February 2, 2026 at 7:56 PM
The Collins campaign team is practiced and relentless.
Do you have geographic breakdowns for ME-2? In and out of state will do.
February 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Do you have geographic breakdowns for ME-2? In and out of state will do.
Yes! Also note that the Maine Senate race uses ranked choice voting so Collins can lose with a plurality.
February 2, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Yes! Also note that the Maine Senate race uses ranked choice voting so Collins can lose with a plurality.
It’s worth noting that the Maine Senate race used ranked choice voting. If Collins got a plurality and was a few points under 50%, she definitely could lose.
February 2, 2026 at 5:29 PM
It’s worth noting that the Maine Senate race used ranked choice voting. If Collins got a plurality and was a few points under 50%, she definitely could lose.
As a political scientist who’s lived in Maine since 1997, gotta say Collins keeps beating the GOP baseline. Hard to know if that will happen this year.
February 2, 2026 at 4:57 PM
As a political scientist who’s lived in Maine since 1997, gotta say Collins keeps beating the GOP baseline. Hard to know if that will happen this year.