Amy Fried
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asfried.bsky.social
Amy Fried
@asfried.bsky.social
Political scientist, kayaker
Emeritus, UMaine

Political Sightlines at https://amyfried.substack.com/

Books on how U.S. conservatives weaponized distrust, New England politics, professionalizing polling, and perceptions of public opinion as a resource
Pinned
Blueskyers, I’m a retired political scientist, still actively writing and doing more real politics, whose core research has been on the history and political uses of public opinion. But I've done research other topics, too! My 1st pub was on abortion politics, the latest on ranked choice voting. 1/5
February 3, 2026 at 2:15 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
This is absolutely insane: DHS claims the right to subpoena your emails and to send investigators to your house. In this case, because a retiree sent the mildest possible criticism to a prosecutor. No judges involved.
www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...
Homeland Security is targeting Americans with this secretive legal weapon
Under Trump, the Department of Homeland Security has weaponized administrative subpoenas to attack free speech, according to privacy and civil rights groups.
www.washingtonpost.com
February 3, 2026 at 12:41 PM
It won’t move votes but could move money.
February 3, 2026 at 1:50 PM
This is a great example of national Dems having no clue about Maine. Swalwell is a good guy and he and/or his staff likely personally know Wood, Katie Porter’s former CoS and connected fundraiser. But Wood is the weakest option to take on LePage in ME-2, as local folks would know. #mepolitics
Grateful to have Eric Swalwell's endorsement in this campaign. He understands our campaign has what it takes to fight for Maine’s 2nd district — and win this tough race.
#mepolitics
February 3, 2026 at 12:49 PM
Mine: Antisemitism and poverty.
Genuinely curious: If your family is American, what brought them here?
Mine: religious nuttery & primogeniture
February 3, 2026 at 12:32 PM
This is so repulsive in so many ways.
I read this, and I almost regret it. What do you even do with the knowledge that Epstein wanted and was trying to engineer societal breakdown via far right populism bc he thought it would benefit his sex trafficking business?
I read thousands of pages of Epstein files this weekend trying to understand what he wanted out of his meeting with 4chan's Christopher Poole. Here's everything we know about Epstein's plans to dismantle the internet and, eventually, democracy.
www.garbageday.email/p/here-s-how...
February 3, 2026 at 12:27 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
This is legitimately the stupidest thing I’ve ever seen in the New York Post, which is saying something. This makes their incessant astrological coverage seem studied and informative.
nypost.com/2026/02/03/u...
February 3, 2026 at 12:05 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
Yes, the demand here in Minneapolis is not for total war against police, or for revolution. It is that ICE, which is ruining this city, leave immediately, so we can go back to our lives.

That’s the reason for the scale of the opposition and its unanimity. The problem is simple; so is the solution.
I think this post really exemplifies the liberal mindset.

The liberals see the evil actions of the state and want it to stop affecting them and their community.

They want to return to the days of regular police with judicial warrants disappearing these people, not the disappearing apparatus gone.
This is an extremely clarifying comment: these people think that this is somehow their war and they’re mad that regular folks are fighting it. That’s not what’s happening. Minnesotans are rallying to ensure their neighbors can’t be stolen in secret. It’s not even ideological.
February 3, 2026 at 12:09 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
I was a White House ethics lawyer.

I used to advise people not to even accept a free cup of coffee from someone who had interests before them. And staff followed those rules.

I can’t even find the words to describe the scale of Trump’s corruption here.
Foreign countries are bribing our president to sell out the American people.
 
Trump family businesses made $187 MILLION from this deal, and just months later he gave the UAE some of our most top-secret AI tech.
 
They are selling our national security to the highest bidder.
February 2, 2026 at 7:28 AM
Reposted by Amy Fried
Pretty strange to say it, but Rand Paul (of all people) is displaying more basic honesty than Susan Collins.

Collins seems happy to believe any Noem tells her to believe.
#mepolitics
Last night, GOP Senator Rand Paul went on national TV to flatly reject DHS's lies about the Pretti execution:

"My advice to [DHS], if they're watching:

If you come into [our hearing] and try to justify that [Pretti] was assaulting a police officer, that cannot be acceptable."
February 3, 2026 at 2:59 AM
Normally you see evidence before making charging decisions!
SCOOP: More federal prosecutors in Minnesota have resigned or are preparing to, in part because the administration has asked them to file charges against protesters without appropriate evidence, according to multiple people with knowledge of the situation. www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
February 3, 2026 at 2:35 AM
There is an independent candidate, Tim Rich.
February 3, 2026 at 12:44 AM
Yup. And there was no ranked choice tally because Collins won an outright majority.
February 2, 2026 at 11:25 PM
The Collins campaign team is practiced and relentless.
February 2, 2026 at 7:56 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
This afternoon, federal agents returned to Powderhorn Park. There were 4 ICE vehicles staging at Powderhorn Park Recreation Center lot. This is a clear violation of city and park board policy. 1/
February 2, 2026 at 7:01 PM
Do you have geographic breakdowns for ME-2? In and out of state will do.
February 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
The entire minnesota delegation needs to be at Whipple by lunch.
BREAKING: Judge Jia Cobb issues a TRO blocking DHS Sec Noem's Jan 8 memo purporting to require 7-day notices by members of Congress to perform oversight visits to immigration detention facilities.

The effect is that congressional oversight visits are allowed on request, as is required by Sec. 527.
February 2, 2026 at 5:06 PM
Yes! Also note that the Maine Senate race uses ranked choice voting so Collins can lose with a plurality.
February 2, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
You can tell it's AI because they're not masked
AI is literally a consent manufacturing machine.
February 2, 2026 at 4:54 PM
It’s worth noting that the Maine Senate race used ranked choice voting. If Collins got a plurality and was a few points under 50%, she definitely could lose.
February 2, 2026 at 5:29 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
Here's How I would think about this: If it's D+8 environment in Nov, Collins has to beat the partisan baseline in the state by 16 points. Doable, but unlikely. Again, that's IF we get a big blue environment
As a political scientist who’s lived in Maine since 1997, gotta say Collins keeps beating the GOP baseline. Hard to know if that will happen this year.
February 2, 2026 at 4:59 PM
As a political scientist who’s lived in Maine since 1997, gotta say Collins keeps beating the GOP baseline. Hard to know if that will happen this year.
February 2, 2026 at 4:57 PM
Reposted by Amy Fried
2017: "How Donald Trump Shifted Kids-Cancer Charity Money Into His Business"

2019: "Donald J. Trump Pays Court-Ordered $2 Million For Illegally Using Trump Foundation Funds "

www.forbes.com/sites/danale...

ag.ny.gov/press-releas...
Trump on his multiple suits against the federal government: "I'm supposed to work out a settlement with myself ... We could make it a substantial amount, nobody would care, because it's gonna go to numerous, very good charities."
February 1, 2026 at 3:34 AM
Reposted by Amy Fried
POTUS job approval down to

27% for young voters age 18-34
civiqs.com/results/appr...
February 2, 2026 at 11:26 AM