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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 1h

They took this away from you.

("This" ="not really understanding what happened to the dinosaurs")

SPOOKY Mistress Usili (Sage) 🏳️‍⚧️ @usili.bsky.social · 1h

As a fun reminder, the paper to come out with the first hard evidence that an asteroid killed the dinosaurs didn't come until 1980 *and* the Chicxulub crater wasn't officially identified as the source until 1990 (despite its discovery in 1978).

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Reposted by Matt Darling

David Dayen @ddayen.bsky.social · 4h

So this is funny.
The administration just issued a rule slashing foreign agricultural worker wages. And to justify it, in a public filing, Trump's Labor Department alleges that Trump's immigration enforcement has devastated the Ag workforce and caused a "risk of supply shock-induced food shortages."

Trump Labor Department Says His Immigration Raids Are Causing a Food Crisis

In a filing in the Federal Register, the Labor Department argues there are “immediate dangers to the American food supply” due to a lack of migrant agricultural workers.

prospect.org

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 4h

Yep!

Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 6h

Thanks! I also saw that Knizia has one.

boardgamegeek.com/boardgame/42...

Iliad

Vie for the favor of the gods in the Trojan War struggle between Hector and Achilles.

boardgamegeek.com

Reposted by Matt Darling

Joe Fish @sadbusdriver.bsky.social · 14h

my contribution to @besttrousers.bsky.social discourse:

1) census contract rents in Brooklyn make sense given observed incomes
2) zillow asking rents give implausible implied levels of rent burdens
3) zillow does way worse at explaining rent:income in high immigrant counties; census does not

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Reposted by Matt Darling

Ben Glasner @benglasner.bsky.social · 17h

We’ve got an extremely fun post coming out early tomorrow morning on Agglomerations.

Subscribe: agglomerations.substack.com

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 18h

Thanks for helping me think through my board game, everyone!

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Reposted by Matt Darling

Curb Your Malthusiasm 2.0 @manucleardevice.bsky.social · 1d

"This Whole Thing Smacks Of Gondor," i holler as i overturn my uncle's funeral pyre and turn the 4th Age of Man into the 4th Age of Shit

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 18h

Dog ownership is endogenous.

Faine Greenwood @faineg.bsky.social · 19h

Data indicates that dogs are considerably MORE likely to eat their owners after they die than cats are.

I like to periodically remind people of this

Faine Greenwood @faineg.bsky.social · 19h

we spent thousands of years breeding dogs to like humans and collaborate with us - we have more of a “begrudging standoff between equals” thing going on with pigs

However to be fair dogs eat humans way more than most people know or want to know

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 20h

40% share of growth. It's the difference from the previous quarter.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 21h

Also, it's not clear to me that the money wouldn't just be invested elsewhere in the no-AI counterfactual.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 21h

I think shape is just about the bins - here's mine with 20 and dropping the $0s. Looks the same?

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 21h

> would be very curious to see the original code

Haha, you were more rigorous than me. I just did ~roughly the same analysis with excel filters.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 21h

I didn't drop the $0 rent places (my assumption was this is deals for friends/family. Obviously non-standard, but not clear if you should drop it).

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 21h

> People live in housing, they don’t live in GPUs!

Not yet.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 22h

Not quite.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 22h

The thing that is important to remember about the housing bubble is that "housing" is like 1/5th of GDP.

I Nied to drink your blood! 🧛 @nied.bsky.social · 22h

I think an advantage of being an elder millenial/X-ennial is that I remember the Great Recession but I also remember earlier problems like the .com bubble. The AI "boom" looks a lot more like the .com bubble than the housing bubble & will likely play out more like the former than the latter.

I Nied to drink your blood! 🧛 @nied.bsky.social · 1d

I think the fact that AI has good real world uses probably wont save a lot of companies if the bubble pops though. Pets.com genuinely was a good idea (which is why we have Chewy now) but that didn't save it from getting killed when the .com bubble burst.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 22h

Totally buy that there's some price stickiness and equivalent quality units might have a few hundred dollars separating them. Just don't think it can get that far away from new rental market price.

Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 22h

(ie, renovated units will always be new listings)

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 22h

Yeah, but I'd guess that is *mostly* about differences in unit quality more than sticky prices.

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 23h

145 units are market rate/Brooklyn/3BR

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 23h

One thing I think is funny about the discourse is that no one bats an eye at the $6000 number.

Like you can get a hotel room for $200/night!

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Matt Darling @besttrousers.bsky.social · 23h

Yeah - tenant data. There's a half dozen "0 rent" in the database (maybe renting from a friend/family member?).

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Reposted by Matt Darling

Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 23h

Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 8d

The buff vs. crying dog meme

Buff dog is labeled "A good methodology statement for a survey conducted online" and contains a partial excerpt from Pew's ATP methodology statement.

Sad dog is labeled "A bad methodology statement for a survey conducted online" and reads simply "The survey was conducted online." (You would think this is an exaggeration of how oversimplified bad methodology statements are, but it is not.)

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Reposted by Matt Darling

Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy.bsky.social · 23h

I am once again asking people who encounter a poll to ask whether they have the necessary information to fully understand at a minimum a) who was surveyed and b) what they were asked

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