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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · 2d

Maybe this one www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...

Inaccurate Politicians: Elected Representatives’ Estimations of Public Opinion in Four Countries | The Journal of Politics: Vol 85, No 1

Knowledge of what voters prefer is central to several theories of democratic representation and accountability. Despite this, we know little in a comparative sense of how well politicians know citizen...

www.journals.uchicago.edu

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Andreas Kötzing @akoetzing.bsky.social · 8d

Wer ihn im Kino verpasst hat, kann jetzt "Die Unbeugsamen" @3sat.bluesky.com.de nachholen. Ein Lehrstück über den jahrzehntelangen Kampf um Emanzipation in der Politik, mit grandiosem Archivmaterial.

Die Unbeugsamen

Der Dokumentarfilmer Torsten Körner zeigt durch Interviews und eindrucksvolles Archivmaterial namhafter Politikerinnen die Geschichte des bundesdeutschen Parlamentarismus konsequent aus ihrer Perspekt...

www.3sat.de

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · 6d

archive.today/WrZk4 (archived version) and paywalled: www.zeit.de/2025/42/mein...

Meinung über Wähler: Verachten Politiker uns? Womöglich gar: zu Recht?

Egoistisch, schlecht informiert, unsozial: So sehen Politiker laut einer Studie ihre Wähler.

www.zeit.de

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · 6d

The @zeit.de has 3 pages on one of our PolPop articles, led by @jacklucas.bsky.social, where politicians reflect on our finding that they perceive voters differently than voters perceive themselves. Would love to see this more often, where the subjects get a chance to reflect on the findings.

Meinung über Wähler: Verachten Politiker uns? Womöglich gar: zu Recht?

Egoistisch, schlecht informiert, unsozial: So sehen Politiker laut einer Studie ihre Wähler.

www.zeit.de

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Universität Konstanz @uni-konstanz.de · 7d

#UniKonstanz winter semester 2025/26 starts today! Welcome (back) in Konstanz! We wish you all the best for the upcoming winter term and are excited that campus life will soon be buzzing again. Useful infos for our newbies: uni.kn/study-starter

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Christopher Mims @mims.bsky.social · 12d

*The AI boom = one of the costliest building sprees in world history

* Past 3 years' commitments are greater than the cost of building the U.S. interstate highway system

* Consumers must spend $800 billion on AI within a few years, to justify investment from 2023-24

www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-b...

This week, consultants at Bain & Co. estimated the wave of AI infrastructure spending will require $2 trillion in annual AI revenue by 2030. By comparison, that is more than the combined 2024 revenue of Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and Nvidia, and more than five times the size of the entire global subscription software market.

Morgan Stanley estimates that last year there was around $45 billion of revenue for AI products. The sector makes money from a combination of subscription fees for chatbots such as ChatGPT and money paid to use these companies’ data centers.

How the tech sector will cover the gap is “the trillion dollar question,” said Mark Moerdler, an analyst at Bernstein.

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · 11d

Uf Wiederluege #2

Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Sep 1

Doei! #1

Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Aug 23

Wird eine Trainerentlassungsrekordsaision #bl

Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · 14d

legal age for driving stuff with solid wheels.

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 14d

Depolarization is not "a scalable solution for reducing societal-level conflict.... achieving lasting depolarization will likely require....moving beyond individual-level treatments to address the elite behaviors and structural incentives that fuel partisan conflict" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

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Tinette Schnatterer @tinesch.bsky.social · 16d

How do governments mobilise public opinion in times of uncertainty? Do they gauche public opinion systematically across policy domains or unevenly depending on the issue ?🧵

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Government polling in times of crises: when capacity meets incentives

How do governments mobilise public opinion in times of crises? While recent research examines the factors that determine the intensity of government polling at different points in the electoral cyc...

www.tandfonline.com

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Jonas L Juul @jonassjuul.bsky.social · 16d

6/7
Our results are especially interesting in the context of collective attention: Whereas books, news stories, movies, etc. get popular, then lose popularity at a higher and higher pace (see www.nature.com/articles/s41...), the most-popular hit songs now stay popular for longer.

Accelerating dynamics of collective attention - Nature Communications

The impacts of technological development on social sphere lack strong empirical foundation. Here the authors presented quantitative analysis of the phenomenon of social acceleration across a range of ...

www.nature.com

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Social Science Research @ssreditorial.bsky.social · 21d

@snmorgenstern.bsky.social examines anxiety and credibility as moderators of political information on migration. This article is open access and available now: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Joachim Baumann @joachimbaumann.bsky.social · 26d

🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**.

Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825

$We present our new preprint titled "Large Language Model Hacking: Quantifying the Hidden Risks of Using LLMs for Text Annotation". We quantify LLM hacking risk through systematic replication of 37 diverse computational social science annotation tasks. For these tasks, we use a combined set of 2,361 realistic hypotheses that researchers might test using these annotations. Then, we collect 13 million LLM annotations across plausible LLM configurations. These annotations feed into 1.4 million regressions testing the hypotheses. For a hypothesis with no true effect (ground truth $p > 0.05$), different LLM configurations yield conflicting conclusions. Checkmarks indicate correct statistical conclusions matching ground truth; crosses indicate LLM hacking -- incorrect conclusions due to annotation errors. Across all experiments, LLM hacking occurs in 31-50\% of cases even with highly capable models. Since minor configuration changes can flip scientific conclusions, from correct to incorrect, LLM hacking can be exploited to present anything as statistically significant.$

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Christina Felfe @christinafelfe.bsky.social · 29d

### Full Professorship in Applied Economics - 1 week left to apply ###

Succesful candidates will enjoy 3 positions at once - professorship at the UKonstanz, PI at the Cluster of Excellence “The Politics of Inequality” and the directorship of TWI!
stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/a...

Full Professorship (W3) in Applied Economics

Deadline: 15.09.2025

stellen.uni-konstanz.de

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford @casbsstanford.bsky.social · Sep 4

Years of exit surveys suggest you likely will enjoy the best year of your career

Apply for a 2026-27 academic year CASBS residential fellowship. Deadline: Oct 31, 2025

More info & link to application portal: casbs.stanford.edu/apply-casbs-...

Fellowship videos: casbs.stanford.edu/apply-casbs-...

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Sep 1

Doei! #1

Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Aug 23

Wird eine Trainerentlassungsrekordsaision #bl

Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Aug 23

Wird eine Trainerentlassungsrekordsaision #bl

Reposted by Christian Breunig

European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · Aug 15

🌅📙 64.3

Are poor people poorly heard?👂

These authors (🧵⬇️) use citizen surveys in 🇧🇪🇨🇭🇨🇦 & 🇩🇪 to claim that politicians hold biased views of what citizens want & shows that politicians perceptions parallel the rich for the most pressing economic issues.

buff.ly/5UlH75b

Are poor people poorly heard?

JULIE SEVENANS, AWENIG MARIÉ, CHRISTIAN BREUNIG, STEFAAN WALGRAVE, KAROLIN SOONTJENS, RENS VLIEGENTHART

ow.ly

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Aug 14

Seems like all journal editors are back. Just received the fifth review request this week... and I am about to start my holidays.

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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · Aug 7

I am looking for a PhD student in Comparative Politics @powimz.bsky.social. My research focuses on political (in-)equality, representation, and responsiveness. I would be grateful if you could help to spread the word.
stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de#/jgu/job/49637

stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de

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The Politics of Inequality @excinequality.bsky.social · Aug 8

📣 Call for Papers is open!
In_equality Conference 2026 | 15–17 April | Konstanz
We invite papers on the political causes & consequences of #inequality

Submit Aug 8–Oct 5 ➡️ inequality-conference.de
@uni-konstanz.de

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Aug 8

Hey @katapultmagazin.bsky.social gerade über euren Text gestolpert. Unsere Studie in @apsrjournal.bsky.social sagt nicht, dass Politiker Wähler als dumm einschätzen. Sie haben andere Vorstellungen über ihr Wahlverhalten als Politiker. #youcandobetter

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Thomas M. Meyer @thomasmmeyer.bsky.social · Jul 31

The @epssnet.bsky.social call for the 2026 conference in Belfast opened today! 😮

epssnet.org/belfast-2026...

Deadline: 7 November 2025

Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference

Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.

epssnet.org

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Reposted by Christian Breunig

Julian Garritzmann @garritzmannj.bsky.social · Jul 25

I'm hiring another postdoc (research-focused, for almost 5 years) for my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage!
I'm looking for someone with strong quantitative text-analysis skills (e.g. #NLP, #LLM, etc.) to study the role of political actors in cleavage formation.

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Christian Breunig @breunig.bsky.social · Jul 14

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