Justin Fox
@byjustinfox.bsky.social
2.8K followers 450 following 260 posts
Columnist @opinion.bloomberg.com‬. Opinions mine, charts property of Bloomberg LP (although you are of course welcome to share them).
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byjustinfox.bsky.social
It's partly what long-time tenants are paying (even in non-stabilized apts) versus what's on the market right now. Because the Elliman report says the median rent on a new Brooklyn lease is $3,300 for a studio and $4,500 for a 3BR. millersamuel.com/files/2025/0...
cc @besttrousers.bsky.social
millersamuel.com
byjustinfox.bsky.social
I think poverty is probably the main reason Hartford ranks so high
byjustinfox.bsky.social
It's in 73rd place (71st if you don't include Puerto Rico), at 14.9%
byjustinfox.bsky.social
Seattle, which has had a huge boom in apartment construction since the early 2010s, is probably the big US city with the most marked uptrend in car-free households (albeit from a pretty low base) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Chart showing the percentage of car-free households in Seattle rising from 15.7% in 2006 to 19.8% in 2024
byjustinfox.bsky.social
In NYC, carlessness is on the rise again after that car-buying boomlet early in the pandemic (I left off Staten Island because its ups and downs seem to be mostly sampling error) www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Chart showing the percentage of zero-vehicle households rising since 2021 in the Bronx, Brooklyn, Queens, and Manhattan
byjustinfox.bsky.social
The neighborhoods outside of NYC with the highest percentages of car-free households. A lot in SF, Chicago, Washington and Philly www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
byjustinfox.bsky.social
Big surprise: New York is the only US city where most households don't have cars. But there are some big zero-car minorities across the river in New Jersey and in Washington, Boston and San Francisco. From new column with gift link: www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Reposted by Justin Fox
interfluidity.com
one way to understand the LLM boom is that we have finally, actually, invented Ask Jeeves.
Reposted by Justin Fox
alfredtwu.com
Lots of transit news from BART director Victor Flores - including that the BART board has voted to use standard gauge for the 2nd set of transbay tubes.

This will open up the option for Caltrain, High Speed Rail, and Amtrak to cross between downtown San Francisco and the East Bay in the future.
victorfloresbart.bsky.social
It's been a while since my last BART newsletter. Between my last job, BART, and studying for the LSAT, time has been limited, but that's no excuse!

Grab your cup of coffee or tea and catch up with me!
victorfloresforbart.com/p/all-aboard...
All Aboard - Closing Out Transit Month 2025
What happened to the budget and our service disruptions
victorfloresforbart.com
Reposted by Justin Fox
jeffasher.bsky.social
New York's Gun Involved Violence Elimination initiative (GIVE) has data updated through August. Shooting victims were down 34% relative to August 2024 and fell to a new 12 month rolling record low since 2007. See their excellent dashboard: www.criminaljustice.ny.gov/crimnet/ojsa...
byjustinfox.bsky.social
WFH has had a big impact on commuting, with the share of American workers who drive alone to work stabilizing at 69.2% (same in 2023 and 2024), the lowest it's been since the 1980s. Commuting by public transportation is down too www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
byjustinfox.bsky.social
Here are the metro areas with the highest WFH percentages, with comparisons to how things stood there in 2019. Biggest jumps in the rankings are Corvallis (not far from Portland) and Bremerton (not far from Seattle) but also a pretty huge leap by metro DC
Table of the metropolitan areas with the highest work-from-home shares in 2024. Boulder, Colorado, is No. 1, at 28.7%
Reposted by Justin Fox
jeffasher.bsky.social
A month into the DC deployment we see no real change in the violent crime trend, a possible drop in shootings that seems real but is a bit tough to tease out from the pre-existing trend, and a drop in property crime that's possibly tied to dropping mobility. Still too early to say much for sure IMO.
byjustinfox.bsky.social
New Census data on working from home is out this week, and Santa Monica is No. 1! This is ranked by Public Use Microdata Data — I explain why in my new column (gift link) — but it also tops the list if you rank by cities. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Table showing the communities (Census Public Use Microdata Areas, to be precise) where working from home was most prevalent in 2024. Santa Monica, California, is No. 1, and most of the rest of the list consists of big-city suburbs, but there are also urban neighborhoods in Denver, Austin, DC, Portland and Los Angeles.
byjustinfox.bsky.social
Got that wrong
byjustinfox.bsky.social
I think the preliminary benchmark payroll revisions coming out in a few minutes are going to be on the low end of all the estimates. Looking at the Q4 2024 QCEW data (the revision will be based on Q1 2025 data) I just don't see the kinds of huge discrepancies there were in Q4 2023.
byjustinfox.bsky.social
I think the preliminary benchmark payroll revisions coming out in a few minutes are going to be on the low end of all the estimates. Looking at the Q4 2024 QCEW data (the revision will be based on Q1 2025 data) I just don't see the kinds of huge discrepancies there were in Q4 2023.
Reposted by Justin Fox
jeffasher.bsky.social
New this week: Chicago likely has had fewer shootings through August year than any year since the mid-1960s. Gun violence remains a problem there, but I wrote about the city's encouraging trends and the data challenge of historically contextualizing this year.
jasher.substack.com/p/contextual...
Contextualizing Chicago's Enormous Drop in Shootings
When was the last time Chicago had this few shootings?
jasher.substack.com
Reposted by Justin Fox
opinion.bloomberg.com
How reliable are crime statistics?

@byjustinfox.bsky.social explains why he still trusts the data, even with its flaws 🎥
byjustinfox.bsky.social
The Real-Time Crime Index has just been updated with numbers from nearly 150 more law-enforcement agencies and now it shows both violent crime and murder to be lower as of this June than in 2018-2019 realtimecrimeindex.com
Real-Time Crime Index | Nationwide Crime Data & Trends
Stay informed with the Real-Time Crime Index. Access up-to-date crime data and visualizations.
realtimecrimeindex.com