Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
banner
byrdnick.com
Nick Byrd, Ph.D.
@byrdnick.com
I study how to improve decisions and well-being at @GeisingerCollege.bsky.social.

🎓 gScholar: shorturl.at/uBDPW

▶️ youtube.com/@ByrdNick

👨‍💻 psychologytoday.com/us/blog/upon-reflection

📓 byrdnick.com/blog

🎙️ byrdnick.com/pod
Support for physician-assisted #death correlated with
- belief in free will (r ≅ -0.1 to -0.3)
- belief in determinism (r ≅ 0.1 to 0.3)
- religiosity (r ≅ -0.4)

The free will result in undergraduates was undetected in a more representative sample.

doi.org/10.1080/0748...
January 12, 2026 at 12:02 PM
🤔 “my goal [in this book] is to develop a defense of the surprising and counterintuitive view that it is always (or almost always) impermissible for Christians to procreate.”

Christian Anti-Natalism (2026): https://amzn.to/4aKNLCC
January 11, 2026 at 12:29 PM
Apple’s #Fitness app says I averaged 13.9 miles per day on foot in 2025 — just over 5000 miles for the year.

#Strava indicates 80% of the mileage was from recorded workouts.

Grateful to have traded #commuting for #exercise. Working from home certainly has upsides!

#WFH #health
January 10, 2026 at 4:07 PM
We've found good results on overt and covert #dataQuality measures by recruiting people via #onlineAdvertising (perhaps because participation incentives aren't financial):

Attention ≅ 2.6 out of 3
ReCAPTCHA (v3) ≅ 0.94 out of 1.0

doi.org/10.1017/S003...

#surveyMethods #cogSci #psychology #xPhi
January 9, 2026 at 2:19 PM
Bonus: Dubois' data and visualizations from the early 20th century are available for free on #Github so that anyone can reproduce the infographics, run their own analyses, etc.:

The #dataViz: github.com/ajstarks/...

#dataAnalysis #openAccess #archive #DuBoisChallenge2025 #edu
January 9, 2026 at 12:20 PM
I finally read this book about how W.E.B. #Dubois and colleagues challenged 19th and 20th century ideas and intuitions by visualizing data: https://amzn.to/49916Dz

Cheers to those who advance debate with clear, cogent, empirical arguments.

#stats #history #sociology #philosophy
January 9, 2026 at 12:20 PM
mTurk data issues are not new:

“In late 2020…. Participants from the United States were recruited from Amazon Mechanical Turk, CloudResearch, Prolific, and a university. One participant source yielded up to 18 times as many low-quality respondents as the other three.”

doi.org/10.1093/anal...
January 9, 2026 at 5:49 AM
Are more reflective thinkers more or less likely to use #AI to solve complex problems?

In this sample of 500 students, AI barely correlated with reflective thinking, but the correlation was positive (r = 0.1) rather than negative.

doi.org/10.1007/s106...

#edu #econ #psychology
January 6, 2026 at 12:03 PM
Can #AI handle abstract screening for a #systematicReview?

Li et al. tested #ChatGPT, #PaLM, #Llama, #Claude, and various techniques on 3 datasets.

#GPT4 was consistently at least 90% accurate (vs gold standard) with balanced sensitivity & specificity.

doi.org/10.1186/s136...
January 5, 2026 at 12:22 PM
Amelia Kahn has been making sense of the different numeric values assigned to “words of estimate probability” across Intelligence agencies (e.g., IC, DoD, and other Five Eyes agencies): ameliakahn.wordpress.com/papers/

Follow her to be notified when it’s published: philpeople.org/profiles/ame...
January 4, 2026 at 11:57 PM
Many clinicians ask for #consent to record appointments.

Do patients?

A 2015 paper found 77% of patients WANT clinics to allow recording.
- 35% CONSIDERED secretly recording
- 15% DID secretly record

doi.org/10.1136/bmjo...

#ambientDocumentation #healthcare #bioethics #policy
December 22, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Hmm. That does seem to be what they report.

They mention that only Experiment 1a was pre-registered, but it’s unclear whether that’d make a difference to your query.

🤷‍♂️
December 19, 2025 at 5:26 PM
People DID find formal explanations more satisfying when the category seemed unknown!

But only the most reflective thinkers realized tautological (uninformative) formal explanations were less satisfying than informative ones.

doi.org/10.1111/cogs...

#xPhi #cogSci #SciComm
2/2
December 19, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Why can that fly? Because it's a bird.

Aristotle dubbed such explanations "formal": they explain a thing's feature(s) by appealing only to the thing's category.

If right, then formal explanations should be more satisfying when the category is unknown. So are they?

#philSci
1/2
December 19, 2025 at 12:04 PM
The #AI survey "respondent’s performance rendered [attention quality] checks [ACQs] effectively obsolete. Across 6,000 total trials..., [it] committed only 10 errors, achieving an overall pass rate of 99.8% and scoring perfectly on 18 of the 20 ACQ types."

#surveyMethods #psychometrics #psychology
December 17, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Further replication of our #failedReplication of relationships between reflection and intention attribution (doi.org/10.1093/anal...):

Trotti et al. found only self-reported (but not actual) tendencies to think reflectively predicted a #sideEffectEffect: doi.org/10.1007/s103...
December 17, 2025 at 12:03 PM
My mental accounting did not budget for @rthaler.bsky.social endorsing crypto on Twitter.
December 16, 2025 at 11:04 PM
What predicted inappropriate antibiotic prescribing in Japan's #primaryCare clinics?

- Acute bronchitis, common cold (acute upper respiratory), and rhinitis diagnoses
- Older male clinicians
- Telehealth and regular (vs. after) hours appointments

doi.org/10.1136/bmjp...

#AMR
December 16, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Does #morality of a violation depend on your relationship to the wrongdoer?

People from #China and the #UnitedStates rated transgressions involving parents less immoral than transgressions involving a #sales person or superiors (N > 1200).

doi.org/10.3390/bs15...

#ethics #xPhi
December 15, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Are more reflective thinkers better at games that require empathy or perspective-taking?

In two experiments, reflective thinking performed better on such games, seemingly because they paid more attention to the other players' incentives.

doi.org/10.1017/S193...

#econ #cogSci
December 12, 2025 at 12:38 PM
...we know that giving people various cues can make up for their poor understanding of the #logic of conditionals.

For instance, adding a scenario to a familiar conditional makes people far more likely to realize how others would test it...if it's a rule: dx.doi.org/10.3791/6...
December 11, 2025 at 12:04 PM
In the 60s Wason showed people poorly understand the #logic of testing abstract conditionals (If..., then...).

In the 70s Johnson-Laird et al. found people DO know how others tend to test FAMILIAR conditionals (If someone drinks, then they must be 21).

After many more papers...
December 11, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Does open-minded reflection improve #diagnosis?

Reflecting on reasons for, objections to, expected-but-missing symptoms of, and an alternative to medical residents' initial diagnoses improved accuracy, albeit not significantly (p = 0.263, N = 56).

doi.org/10.1007/s104... #medEd
December 10, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Can forgetting to take your #medicine be associated with where you store it?

In a survey of over 1500 people, forgetting to take #medication was
- higher if stored in kitchen cabinets
- lower if stored in desks, dining room tables, and nightstand drawers

doi.org/10.3390/bs14...
December 9, 2025 at 12:22 PM
Can it help to reflect on discrepancies between intended and actual #alcohol consumption?

For male undergraduates, this reflection reduced #drinking (compared to a control group).

For females, merely enrolling in the study was enough to reduce drinking.

doi.org/10.3390/bs14...
December 8, 2025 at 12:01 PM