CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱
@castyman22205.bsky.social
2.6K followers 3.6K following 11K posts
20 year old guy from NJ. Earth sci major at local community college,geosci enthusiast. Reposts/posts stuff related to meteorology,climate science,oceanography,geology,planetary/space science. Atheist. Bi. My philosophical/political views are MINE alone.
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castyman22205.bsky.social
Below is a 🧵 of recent (since mid-late July) science news as it relates to what Trump is doing to federal science and related topics. This is meant to keep track of his dismantling and also so I myself don’t miss anything. Also my apologies for any repetitiveness.
castyman22205.bsky.social
Thread 🧵 of important science news as it relates to Donald Trump
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alaskawx.bsky.social
High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Wednesday. Same weather pattern that produced coastal flooding in parts of western Alaska also spread very warm air across nearly all of the region. Daily record high temps at Northway, Tok, Glennallen, Kodiak and possibly Kotzebue. #akwx #weather
Map centered on Alaska showing site-specific high temperatures (ºF) on Wednesday, October 8, 2025. Plotted temperature range from 30F at Anadyr, Russia to 66F at Tok, AK.
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webberweather.bsky.social
The first significant positive East Asia Mtn Torque event of the season will occur late next week into the following week.

This will yield a strong, extended Pacific Jet Stream (+EPO) in late Oct & encourage MJO/CCKW propagation across the Maritime Continent & West Pacific late Oct-early Nov.
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spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Oct 9, 2025 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1207 AM CDT Thu Oct 09 2025

Valid 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorm potential appears low on Friday.

...Synopsis...

An upper trough just offshore from the Pacific Coast will move
inland on Friday. Meanwhile, the NHC has Tropical Storm Priscilla
weakening as it approaches Baja by early Saturday. Moisture
associated with Priscilla will stream northward across portions of
the Southwest and Great Basin. As the Pacific trough moves eastward
coincident with increasing moisture, isolated thunderstorms will be
possible from the Southwest into the Pacific Northwest/northern
Rockies. While enhanced mid/upper southwesterly flow will be in
place, weak instability will limit severe potential. 

Further east, a shortwave upper trough over the Upper Midwest will
develop southeast across Great Lakes and Lower Ohio Valley. A
surface cold front will develop southeast across the Upper/Mid-MS
Valley in tandem with the shortwave trough. Modest boundary-layer
moisture ahead of the front will support weak destabilization
sufficient for isolated thunderstorms. 

Additional isolated thunderstorms will be possible across the FL
Peninsula and northward near/just offshore the coastal Carolinas
within a moist and weakly unstable airmass. Poor lapse rates will
limit instability and severe storms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 10/09/2025

Day 2 Outlook Image
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phl.nws-bot.us
MOUNT POCONO PA Oct 8
Climate Report:
High: 63
Low: 43
Precip: 0.8"
Snow: Missing
at Thu, 09 Oct 2025 05:59:39 +0000 via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.
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okx.nws-bot.us
OKX issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Oct 9, 2:23 AM EDT ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT FRIDAY... via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.
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nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us
Atlantic Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 9 issued at Thu, 09 Oct 2025 14:39:48 +0000
...JERRY EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BARBUDA...
Additional Details Here.

        000WTNT35 KNHC 091439TCPAT5 BULLETINTropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number   9NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL1020251100 AM AST Thu Oct 09 2025 ...JERRY EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATERTODAY......TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BARBUDA...  SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...15.9N 59.1WABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDSMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES  WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbuda. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Barbuda A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...* Antigua, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin* Sint Maarten* Saba and St. Eustatius* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12hours.A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and theBritish and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress ofJerry. For storm information specific to your area, please monitorproducts issued by your national meteorological service.  DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 59.1 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is expected late today, followed by a slightly slower northward motion on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry is expected to pass near or to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with highergusts.  Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days,and Jerry could become a hurricane by late Friday or Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).  HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key messages for Tropical Storm Jerry can be found in the TropicalCyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO headerWTNT45 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in Barbudalater today and tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are possiblein portions of the northern Leeward Islands within the watch arealater today into Friday. RAINFALL: Through Friday, 2 to 4 inches of rain with local stormtotal maxima to 6 inches are expected across the Leeward and VirginIslands. This rainfall brings a risk of flash flooding, especiallyin urban areas and in steep terrain. For portions of Puerto Rico,moisture associated with Jerry combined with local orographiceffects may result in up to 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated 6inches possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash floodingassociated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service StormTotal Rainfall Graphic, available athurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are beginning to reach the Leewardand Windward Islands. These swells will spread westward toward theVirgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight, then toward the rest of theGreater Antilles over the next couple of days. These swells arelikely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, includingPuerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at:hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents  NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$Forecaster Cangialosi
      Tropical Storm Jerry 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image Tropical Storm Jerry 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
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alaskawx.bsky.social
We used to pride ourselves on nearly always having a white Halloween here in Fairbanks. Between 1941 and 2015 every Halloween except one (1962) had at least an inch of snow on the ground. Since 2015, five Halloweens without even one inch snow depth.
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phl.nws-bot.us
PHI issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 10:27 AM EDT
at Thu, 09 Oct 2025 14:27:36 +0000 via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.
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earthscope.org
International #ShakeOut Day is one week away! On Thursday, October 16 at 10:16 am (local time), join millions of people around the world practicing earthquake safety. Register and learn more at shakeout.org.

Be prepared and practice your Drop, Cover, and Hold On!
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nhc.weather.im
#NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Oct 9, 11:00 AM AST Link
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nhc.weather.im
Tropical Depression #Seventeen_E ADVISORY 1 issued. Tropical depression forms off the coast of southwestern mexico. Link
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nhc.weather.im
Tropical Storm #Jerry ADVISORY 9 issued. #Jerry expected to be near the northern leeward islands later today. Link
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nhc.weather.im
Tropical Storm #Priscilla ADVISORY 20 issued. #Priscilla weakens a little more. Link
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nhc.weather.im
Post-Tropical Cyclone #Octave ADVISORY 38 issued. #Octave becomes a post-tropical cyclone. Link
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subletteweather.com
Full completion is not expected until late '26, but power may flow before that.

All 176 foundations have been installed. Lack of hurricanes this season helped expedite the process.

The turbines can now be constructed — instead of waiting until next year.

www.canarymedia.com/articles/off...
America’s biggest offshore wind farm will be online in six months
Dominion Energy’s 2.6 GW project off Virginia’s coast is progressing fast. The utility has a new, more definitive target to plug into the grid: March 2026.
www.canarymedia.com
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phl.nws-bot.us
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 10:23AM EDT until October 10 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Additional Details Here.(4/4)
* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.

* WHERE...Middlesex.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in
coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal
waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to
vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.

* WHERE...In Delaware, New Castle. In New Jersey, Salem.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs
along tidal waterways. Some roads become impassable. Minor
damage to vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate coastal flood impacts
are possible. Interests along Delaware Bay and its tidal
tributaries should remain alert for forecast updates regarding
this potentially significant coastal flood event.
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phl.nws-bot.us
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 10:23AM EDT until October 10 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Additional Details Here.
(3/4)
* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one half foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Ocean, Coastal Ocean and Southeastern Burlington.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning
through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one half foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Ocean, Coastal Ocean and Southeastern Burlington.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning
through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one half foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Western Monmouth and Eastern Monmouth.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning
through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one half foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Western Monmouth and Eastern Monmouth.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT this
afternoon. For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning
through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event.
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phl.nws-bot.us
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 10:23AM EDT until October 10 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Additional Details Here.
(2/4)
* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
one to two feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Cumberland.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in
coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal
waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to
vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Interests along Delaware
Bay and its tidal tributaries should remain alert for forecast
updates regarding this potentially significant coastal flood
event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
one to two feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Cumberland.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in
coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal
waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to
vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Interests along Delaware
Bay and its tidal tributaries should remain alert for forecast
updates regarding this potentially significant coastal flood
event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Atlantic, Cape May, Atlantic Coastal Cape May and
Coastal Atlantic.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Atlantic, Cape May, Atlantic Coastal Cape May and
Coastal Atlantic.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event.
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phl.nws-bot.us
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 10:23AM EDT until October 10 at 3:00PM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Additional Details Here.
(1/4)
* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
two to three feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Inland Sussex and Delaware Beaches.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, flooding may become severe enough to
cause structural damage along with widespread roadway flooding
in coastal and bayside communities, and near inland tidal
waterways. Some locations may become isolated by the flood
waters.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Significant beach erosion
is possible. Interests along the Atlantic coast, back bays,
and tidal waterways should remain alert for forecast updates
regarding this potentially significant coastal flood event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
one to two feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Kent.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in
coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal
waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to
vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Interests along Delaware
Bay and its tidal tributaries should remain alert for forecast
updates regarding this potentially significant coastal flood
event. * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of
inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Coastal Flood Watch,
one to two feet of inundation above ground level possible in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Kent.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 3 PM EDT Friday.
For the Coastal Flood Watch, from Sunday morning through
Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At this level, widespread roadway flooding occurs in
coastal and bayside communities and along inland tidal
waterways. Many roads become impassable. Some damage to
vulnerable structures may begin to occur.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A strong coastal storm will impact the
region Sunday through Monday. Moderate to potentially major
coastal flood impacts are possible. Interests along Delaware
Bay and its tidal tributaries should remain alert for forecast
updates regarding this potentially significant coastal flood
event.
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okx.weather.im
#OKX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 10:21 AM EDT ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... Link
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michaelrlowry.bsky.social
Jerry's a bit disheveled at the moment but should pass near the northern Leeward Islands later today or early Friday near hurricane strength. Lots to talk about with the quasi-nor'easter shaping up this weekend. Plus, 96L waayyy out of bounds. My latest ⬇️
Disheveled Jerry to Pass Near the Northern Leeward Islands Today
Jerry’s strongest winds should pass north of the islands today, but a squally tail will bring the threat of blustery rains through tomorrow
michaelrlowry.substack.com