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CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱

@castyman22205.bsky.social

2.6K followers 3.6K following 11K posts

20 year old guy from NJ. Earth sci major at local community college,geosci enthusiast. Reposts/posts stuff related to meteorology,climate science,oceanography,geology,planetary/space science. Atheist. Bi. My philosophical/political views are MINE alone.

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CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱 @castyman22205.bsky.social · Aug 5

Below is a 🧵 of recent (since mid-late July) science news as it relates to what Trump is doing to federal science and related topics. This is meant to keep track of his dismantling and also so I myself don’t miss anything. Also my apologies for any repetitiveness.

CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱 @castyman22205.bsky.social · Aug 4

Thread 🧵 of important science news as it relates to Donald Trump

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HourlyERA5MapsBot @era5mapsbot.bsky.social · 3h

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CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱 @castyman22205.bsky.social · 3h

bsky.app/profile/mead...

Meade Krosby @meadekrosby.bsky.social · 3h

This is why dozens of former national park superintendents wrote a letter begging Interior Secretary Doug Burgum to keep parks closed during the shutdown.

Squatters, illegal BASE jumpers invade Yosemite amid federal shutdown

"It's the Wild Wild West."

www.sfgate.com

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IEMBOT NHC @nhc.weather.im · 3h

#NHC issues Vortex Data Message (REP) at Oct 10, 03:35 UTC Link

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Alan Gerard @wxmanms1.bsky.social · 3h

The precipitable water value at Tucson tonight was a daily record, showing the extreme moisture values available for rainfall across the Southwest the next 48 hours. Moderate risk for flash flooding across a large chunk of northern and central AZ Fri/Fri night.

Chart of daily precipitable water values for Tucson, AZ

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All the Galaxies! @allthegalaxies.galaxyzoo.org · 3h

A smooth galaxy, observed with the Apache Point 2.5m Telescope in the SDSS survey.

It is at redshift 0.070 (lookback time 964.3 million years) with coordinates (161.75665, -0.29855).

42 volunteers classified this galaxy in Galaxy Zoo 2.

A smooth galaxy from the Galaxy Zoo 2 project, classified by 42 volunteers.

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Nadocast Wind Bot @nadocastwind-bot.m.ai6yr.org.ap.brid.gy · 3h

#nadocast #wind #wx 0z Day #Wind Forecast

0z Day #Wind Forecast - map of the United States depicting areas of wind risk using various colors

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Aurora Forecast Bot from NOAA (UNOFFICIAL) @aurora.nws-bot.us · 3h

Aurora Forecast Update for 2025-10-10T03:10:05Z

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Oct 10 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes
Additional Details Here.

Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04
Serial Number: 2595
Issue Time: 2025 Oct 10 0302 UTC

ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Threshold Reached: 2025 Oct 10 0259 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0000-0300 UTC

Active Warning: Yes

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude.
Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur.
Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2025 Oct 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Oct 10-Oct 12 2025 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Oct 10-Oct 12 2025

Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct 12
00-03UT 1.67 2.33 3.00
03-06UT 1.67 2.00 3.00
06-09UT 1.67 2.33 3.67
09-12UT 1.00 2.33 4.67 (G1)
12-15UT 1.33 3.00 3.00
15-18UT 1.33 3.33 3.67
18-21UT 1.33 3.67 5.00 (G1)
21-00UT 1.67 4.00 3.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 12 Oct due to the
anticipated influence of a negative polarity CH HSS influences.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Oct 10-Oct 12 2025

Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct 12
S1 or greater 5% 5% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Oct 09 2025 1231 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Oct 10-Oct 12 2025

Oct 10 Oct 11 Oct 12
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts
over 10-12 Oct.

Map from NOAA titled showing North America and the North Pole with a color gradient overlay of aurora likelihood.

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Seismological Society of America @seismosocam.bsky.social · 4h

🌟OPEN ACCESS🌟 In the Altotiberina fault system of the Italian Appenines, mechanical behavior, fluid interaction, and interplay with shallow seismicity remain unclear. A new high-resolution catalog reveals details of this region. #BSSA ⚒️

pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/bssa/art...

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All the Galaxies! @allthegalaxies.galaxyzoo.org · 4h

A barred spiral galaxy with a ring, observed with the Apache Point 2.5m Telescope in the SDSS survey.

It is at redshift 0.008 (lookback time 114.4 million years) with coordinates (190.38110, 26.04266).

39 volunteers classified this galaxy in Galaxy Zoo 2.

A barred spiral galaxy with a ring from the Galaxy Zoo 2 project, classified by 39 volunteers.

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National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Alerts (UNOFFICIAL) @nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us · 4h

Atlantic Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 11 issued at Fri, 10 Oct 2025 02:53:04 +0000
...JERRY NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AS IT PASSES BY JUST EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
Additional Details Here.

000WTNT35 KNHC 100252TCPAT5 BULLETINTropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 11NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL1020251100 PM AST Thu Oct 09 2025 ...JERRY NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AS IT PASSES BY JUST EAST OFTHE LEEWARD ISLANDS......TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THENORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...18.2N 61.6WABOUT 100 MI...160 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDSMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...* Barbuda and Anguilla* St. Barthelemy and St. Martin* Sint Maarten* Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...* Antigua, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat* Saba and St. Eustatius A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions areexpected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions arepossible within the watch area, in this case within 12 hours. Interests elsewhere in the northern Leeward Islands and theBritish and U.S. Virgin Islands should monitor the progress ofJerry. For storm information specific to your area, please monitorproducts issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located by Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 61.6 West. Jerry is moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual slowdown on Friday followed by a turn northward Friday night into Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will pass just east of the northern Leeward Islands tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tomorrow, but slow strengthening is possible over the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km)from the center. The minimum central pressure estimated by aircraft dropsonde data is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------Key messages for Tropical Storm Jerry can be found in the TropicalCyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO headerWTNT45 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area and are possible in the watch area tonight and Friday morning. RAINFALL: Through Friday, 4 to 6 inches of rain are expected acrossthe island of Barbuda. Elsewhere across the Leeward and VirginIslands, 2 to 4 inches of rain are expected. This rainfall brings arisk of flash flooding, especially in urban areas and in steepterrain. For portions of Puerto Rico, moisture associated with Jerrycombined with local orographic effects may result in up to 2 to 4inches of rain, with isolated 6 inches possible. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash floodingassociated with Jerry, please see the National Weather Service stormtotal rainfall graphic, available athurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Jerry are affecting the Leeward Islands,Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. These swellsare expected to spread toward the rest of the Greater Antilles overthe next couple of days, are likely to cause life-threatening surfand rip current conditions. Please consult products from your localweather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States, includingPuerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, can be found at:hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$Forecaster Papin

Tropical Storm Jerry 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

Tropical Storm Jerry 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

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HourlyERA5MapsBot @era5mapsbot.bsky.social · 4h

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National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Alerts (UNOFFICIAL) @nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us · 4h

Atlantic Subtropical Storm Karen Advisory Number 1 issued at Fri, 10 Oct 2025 02:51:33 +0000
...SUBTROPICAL STORM KAREN FORMS FAR UP IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC...
Additional Details Here.

000WTNT31 KNHC 100251TCPAT1 BULLETINSubtropical Storm Karen Advisory Number 1NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112025300 AM GMT Fri Oct 10 2025 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM KAREN FORMS FAR UP IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...44.5N 33.0WABOUT 545 MI...880 KM NNW OF THE AZORESMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Karen waslocated near latitude 44.5 North, longitude 33.0 West. The storm ismoving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). This motion with some gradual acceleration is forecast over the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, and the system should open up into a trough by this weekend. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from thecenter. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------None. NEXT ADVISORY-------------Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$Forecaster Papin

Subtropical Storm Karen 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

Subtropical Storm Karen 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

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National Hurricane Center - Atlantic Alerts (UNOFFICIAL) @nhc-atlc.nws-bot.us · 4h

NHC Atlantic Outlook update for Fri, 10 Oct 2025 02:53:14 UTC
Additional Details Here.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL<br>TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM<br><br>Tropical Weather Outlook<br>NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br>800 PM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025<br><br>For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:<br><br>Active Systems:<br>The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical <br>Storm Jerry, located just southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.<br><br>1. North Atlantic (AL96):<br>Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization <br>with a small gale-force area of low pressure located several hundred <br>miles to the northwest of the Azores. Only a small increase in <br>organization could result in the formation of a subtropical <br>or tropical storm as soon as tonight, as the system moves slowly <br>northwestward. Over the weekend, the system is expected to move <br>over cooler waters, ending its chances of further development. For <br>more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High <br>Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and Meteo <br>France.<br>* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.<br>* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.<br><br><br><br>High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service<br>can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 <br>KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php<br><br>High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO <br>header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at<br>https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw.txt<br><br><br>Forecaster Papin<br><br><br>

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IEMBOT NHC @nhc.weather.im · 4h

#NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Oct 9, 11:00 PM AST Link

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CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱 @castyman22205.bsky.social · 3h

True. I just hope the RIFS don’t happens. Agencies like NASA and NOAA are too vital to lose :(

I just think Dr. Jacobs being administrator is the best case scenario in this terrible timeline.

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Dr. Wendy Bohon @drwendyrocks.bsky.social · 4h

M 7.4 - 20 km E of Santiago, Philippines

earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/...

The location of the earthquake is marked by star and the different colors indicate different levels of shaking.

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CJC <3 🇺🇦🌾🚜🌾🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱 @castyman22205.bsky.social · 3h

Has hell frozen over?

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IEMBOT NHC @nhc.weather.im · 4h

Tropical Storm #Jerry ADVISORY 11 issued. #Jerry now moving northwestward as it passes by just east of the leeward islands. Link

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IEMBOT NHC @nhc.weather.im · 4h

#NHC issues Tropical Cyclone Discussion (TCD) at Oct 10, 3:00 AM GMT Link

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IEMBOT NHC @nhc.weather.im · 4h

Tropical Storm #Karen ADVISORY 1 issued. Subtropical storm #Karen forms far up in the north atlantic. Link

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Alerts from NWS New York NY (UNOFFICIAL) @okx.nws-bot.us · 4h

OKX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 9, 10:37 PM EDT ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.

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Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · 6h

I has been a very long time since I posted this list of 40 consequences of climate change. But, it's important to take note of item number 40.

I truly wish things were going to get better, but sadly, it's all just going to get more f&%ked from here.

climatecasino.net/2021/10/top-...