Charles
@charles01.bsky.social
Chicago walking tour guide, econ student, and most importantly: poaster
I write about law and politics sometimes https://substack.com/@americanconstitutionalfront
I write about law and politics sometimes https://substack.com/@americanconstitutionalfront
andrew johnson is for sure worse
February 6, 2026 at 6:55 PM
andrew johnson is for sure worse
I know what the last census data says man, that's what I've been looking at this whole time.
February 5, 2026 at 4:18 PM
I know what the last census data says man, that's what I've been looking at this whole time.
Yes, you said 40%. That was wrong. It's 26.1%.
February 5, 2026 at 4:02 PM
Yes, you said 40%. That was wrong. It's 26.1%.
Correction, Census data from 2024. Ten years more updated than the data in that link.
February 5, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Correction, Census data from 2024. Ten years more updated than the data in that link.
That data is over ten years old. The sentence right before the one you link says "2008 to 2014 (the latest available data)".
I am looking at Census data from last year. It's 33.6%.
I am looking at Census data from last year. It's 33.6%.
February 5, 2026 at 3:59 PM
That data is over ten years old. The sentence right before the one you link says "2008 to 2014 (the latest available data)".
I am looking at Census data from last year. It's 33.6%.
I am looking at Census data from last year. It's 33.6%.
I don't know what you mean by supporting the same conclusion. We're not drawing any conclusions at all. You are getting basic numbers about poverty wrong.
February 5, 2026 at 3:55 PM
I don't know what you mean by supporting the same conclusion. We're not drawing any conclusions at all. You are getting basic numbers about poverty wrong.
That number is 33.6%.
February 5, 2026 at 3:53 PM
That number is 33.6%.
That is why your method is bad. A household of 1 person making 65k is doing *great*. The poverty line changes by household size. Asking AI what % of households make <65k tells you nothing about how many are in poverty.
February 5, 2026 at 3:44 PM
That is why your method is bad. A household of 1 person making 65k is doing *great*. The poverty line changes by household size. Asking AI what % of households make <65k tells you nothing about how many are in poverty.
No. I am looking at neither of those. The % of all people living in a household whose income is <200% of the poverty line is 26.1%. That's the answer. 65k is a useless heuristic to apply broadly across family sizes. A big household making 65k will be poorer than a small household making 65k.
February 5, 2026 at 3:44 PM
No. I am looking at neither of those. The % of all people living in a household whose income is <200% of the poverty line is 26.1%. That's the answer. 65k is a useless heuristic to apply broadly across family sizes. A big household making 65k will be poorer than a small household making 65k.
No, it's important to incorporate household size when calculating who is in poverty. Point being, you can't decide a certain income level is poverty and broadly apply that to different household sizes.
The percentage of Americans below 200% poverty line is 26%. That's the answer. Far less than 40!
The percentage of Americans below 200% poverty line is 26%. That's the answer. Far less than 40!
February 5, 2026 at 3:24 PM
No, it's important to incorporate household size when calculating who is in poverty. Point being, you can't decide a certain income level is poverty and broadly apply that to different household sizes.
The percentage of Americans below 200% poverty line is 26%. That's the answer. Far less than 40!
The percentage of Americans below 200% poverty line is 26%. That's the answer. Far less than 40!
in other words, the choice isn't between 2 weeks and 0 weeks
January 29, 2026 at 11:16 PM
in other words, the choice isn't between 2 weeks and 0 weeks
Reposted by Charles
I don’t know why I need to say this but the rhetorical function of “Trump’s ICE” here is to tie the existence of the agency to be abolished to the historically unpopular president, there is not a different ICE that would avoid abolition, it’s just the one agency guys
January 24, 2026 at 7:38 PM
His job is to adjudicate the petitioner's claim. The petitioner asked to get a writ of habeas corpus or be released. He got released, so the claim is resolved. Understanding this does not mean absolving ICE of consequences. This was never going to be the venue for serious agency-wide consequences
January 29, 2026 at 5:13 PM
His job is to adjudicate the petitioner's claim. The petitioner asked to get a writ of habeas corpus or be released. He got released, so the claim is resolved. Understanding this does not mean absolving ICE of consequences. This was never going to be the venue for serious agency-wide consequences
Reposted by Charles
Basically the new John Waters heuristic is to not sleep with anyone who boastfully uses ChatGPT
January 28, 2026 at 11:37 PM
Basically the new John Waters heuristic is to not sleep with anyone who boastfully uses ChatGPT