David Shor
@davidshor.bsky.social
Head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, based in NYC, originally from Miami.
I try to elect Democrats.
Views are my own. he/him🌹
I try to elect Democrats.
Views are my own. he/him🌹
And some pretty striking discrepancies of how Denmark residents view the US vs China and Russia.
February 6, 2026 at 6:06 PM
And some pretty striking discrepancies of how Denmark residents view the US vs China and Russia.
Some fun tidbits here to see how much more likely Danish people are to say they think their country is heading in the right direction and that they trust the media, though some similar pessimistic economic outlooks we’re seeing here.
February 6, 2026 at 6:06 PM
Some fun tidbits here to see how much more likely Danish people are to say they think their country is heading in the right direction and that they trust the media, though some similar pessimistic economic outlooks we’re seeing here.
People don’t have a good sense for how much age varies geographically - the red areas are super old
December 28, 2025 at 8:49 PM
People don’t have a good sense for how much age varies geographically - the red areas are super old
I’m collecting more data on gender of first child to address this - give me a couple weeks and I’ll update
December 23, 2025 at 11:20 PM
I’m collecting more data on gender of first child to address this - give me a couple weeks and I’ll update
I omitted no kids from both regressions, yeah.
But just started collecting some more data so should be able to check soon.
But just started collecting some more data so should be able to check soon.
December 19, 2025 at 12:31 AM
I omitted no kids from both regressions, yeah.
But just started collecting some more data so should be able to check soon.
But just started collecting some more data so should be able to check soon.
I just started collecting gender of first child so will be fun to see!
December 19, 2025 at 12:29 AM
I just started collecting gender of first child so will be fun to see!
Ah, I see what you’re saying. I can ask a bunch of people what the gender of their first child was and report back in a bit.
December 18, 2025 at 10:21 PM
Ah, I see what you’re saying. I can ask a bunch of people what the gender of their first child was and report back in a bit.
Other little known lore is that I made a relational organizing app called VoteWithMe that was used by hundreds of thousands of people!
Tons of critics lazily assuming I know nothing about canvassing.
www.votecaptain.org/blog/2018/10...
Tons of critics lazily assuming I know nothing about canvassing.
www.votecaptain.org/blog/2018/10...
VoteWithMe Can Help You Find Your Team — Vote Captain
First up in our series on tech tools for Vote Captains, we talk to the VoteWithMe team! VoteWithMe is an app that helps identify friends and contacts that could use an extra push to vote. Sarah Sull...
www.votecaptain.org
December 18, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Other little known lore is that I made a relational organizing app called VoteWithMe that was used by hundreds of thousands of people!
Tons of critics lazily assuming I know nothing about canvassing.
www.votecaptain.org/blog/2018/10...
Tons of critics lazily assuming I know nothing about canvassing.
www.votecaptain.org/blog/2018/10...
I'm collecting more data so I can restrict to folks with one kid but this is what I get when I restrict to 1+2
bsky.app/profile/davi...
bsky.app/profile/davi...
December 18, 2025 at 7:15 PM
I'm collecting more data so I can restrict to folks with one kid but this is what I get when I restrict to 1+2
bsky.app/profile/davi...
bsky.app/profile/davi...
It's just very funny to be lectured on the hyper specific niche that I spent a decade in by people who have only consumed pro-canvassing propaganda that *I personally was involved in helping craft*
December 18, 2025 at 7:13 PM
It's just very funny to be lectured on the hyper specific niche that I spent a decade in by people who have only consumed pro-canvassing propaganda that *I personally was involved in helping craft*
What I find annoying about the push-back I've gotten on this is that I have personally organized and analyzed multiple million-person-plus canvassing experiments as part of my job.
December 18, 2025 at 7:11 PM
What I find annoying about the push-back I've gotten on this is that I have personally organized and analyzed multiple million-person-plus canvassing experiments as part of my job.
the actual regressions are
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
December 18, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Just 1 is noisier ofc but broadly looks similar
December 18, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Just 1 is noisier ofc but broadly looks similar
This is what you get when you restrict to 1-2 kids
December 18, 2025 at 4:08 PM
This is what you get when you restrict to 1-2 kids
I think the main thing we have to add is just scale (this was based on ~22k folks with biological kids), but I'm going to collect ~5x as much data so it'll be fun to see what we find.
Agree the effects are small either way.
Agree the effects are small either way.
December 18, 2025 at 4:05 PM
I think the main thing we have to add is just scale (this was based on ~22k folks with biological kids), but I'm going to collect ~5x as much data so it'll be fun to see what we find.
Agree the effects are small either way.
Agree the effects are small either way.
This was not very clear - it's like, what's the effect of going from two daughters to two daughters and one son or the reverse
December 18, 2025 at 4:04 PM
This was not very clear - it's like, what's the effect of going from two daughters to two daughters and one son or the reverse
the actual regressions are
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
December 18, 2025 at 4:04 PM
the actual regressions are
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
December 18, 2025 at 4:03 PM
the actual regressions are
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
1) vote ~ has_daughter + # kids + other stuff
2) vote ~ has_son + # kids + other stuff
So the base case is going from having children of all one gender and then moving to having one child of the other gender.
Not totally sure, my vibe from playing with it a bit is that it's more of a have at least one thing rather than female share per se, but I'm collecting more data
December 18, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Not totally sure, my vibe from playing with it a bit is that it's more of a have at least one thing rather than female share per se, but I'm collecting more data