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Dead Carl

@deadcarl.bsky.social

5.8K followers 530 following 5.7K posts

www.deadcarl.com Writer on Clausewitz, international relations, and German history

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · Jul 9

Finally back with another post, this time on looking at what distinguishes Clausewitz from other theorists. His histories of Prussia’s defeat in 1806 and Russia’s victory in 1812 show how a theory must be tested against diverse cases to be any use.

open.substack.com/pub/deadcarl...

Gods and Mortals: Building a Universal Theory of War

Explaining Prussia's defeat and Russia's triumph over Napoleon

open.substack.com

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A Doll In Every Pot @tobellz.bsky.social · 2h

None of this would be happening if we renamed the House/Senate Minority Leader to "Senate Minority Coordinator" or something.

It's the stupidest thing that because their title says "Leader" people pretend they're the party's leaders.

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A Doll In Every Pot @tobellz.bsky.social · 2h

The job of Caucus Leadership is to publicly eat shit and take hits for your members. You are supposed to publicly suck. The worse you suck, the better you are at your job.

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 15m

Potentially the most useful image on this website.

Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 16m

It killed Napster, not piracy.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 1h

I think it is bad that incentives on this site lead large accounts to quote post it talking about how democrats are bad. This is a reflex we must recognize in ourselves and train ourselves out of because it is very easy to just do it and get affirmation for it every time.

David M. Perry @lollardfish.bsky.social · 3h

I really believe that huge majorities of Americans don’t want masked soldiers shooting priests in the street. They don’t want naked children ripped out out of their apartments in the middle of the night and handcuffed. We win by making sure these stories get told.

Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 3h

The same people who insisted devout Catholic Joe Biden was leading a “war on Christianity” are now cheering Trump on as his armed goons assault clergymen.

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 1h

The appeal of hazing is it lets you feel so much better than all the people who didn’t go through it.

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Secretary of Defense Rock @sodrock.bsky.social · 13h

🤷🏻‍♂️

The Triumph of the Operator

GWOT, Signalgate, and the Cult of the Operator making National Security Policy

secretaryrofdefenserock.substack.com

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 10h

This is really on the nose, even for them

Reposted by Dead Carl

Secretary of Defense Rock @sodrock.bsky.social · 12h

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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 12h

like believe whatever you wanna believe, it's just sort of funny that you're trying to do mean girl shit when your beliefs are extremely marginal

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William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 12h

it is sort of funny when people try and do social pressure stuff for extremely marginal opinions. like "oh hey looks like you posted that you enjoy going outside. don't worry, I already screenshotted it so everyone will know 😘"

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the abbot of unreason (an archaeologist) @merovingians.bsky.social · 13h

ICE is literally shooting priests like it's 1905 or some shit

Kurt @flglchicago.bsky.social · 15h

Here’s video of the incident

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Secretary of Defense Rock @sodrock.bsky.social · 14h

Colonel Harry Burwell didn’t rally the boys so Donald J. Trump can be a king:

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 14h

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 15h

Yet it’s also much clearer than it’s ever been that Israel’s standing in the world has little significance. Israeli politicians can no longer justify their moderation by appealing to global opinion. The Arab states have not turned on Israel, nor is the western reaction strategically significant.

Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 15h

I suspect that the Hamas aims on Oct. 7th were mainly to increase their standing and were unprepared for the magnitude of their success and the strategic consequences of it.

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 15h

I don’t think there’s any way to view it except as a massive strategic failure. The ensuing conflict has seen Iran and Hezbollah extremely weakened and Israel able to act without restraint, as no country, not even the Arab states, has proved willing to take serious action.

William B. Fuckley @opinionhaver.bsky.social · 20h

I will likely regret posting this, but one thing that's strange about Oct 7th from the perspective of political-military operation (that was also a war crime, yes) is that it's not really clear if it was a success or not, even after two years. It depends on what you conceptualize the goal as I guess

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 16h

Very much the kinda person who gets a lot of buzz and few votes

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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 17h

So Trump is now going to try to rule like an early modern king - just avoid calling the estates general or parliament or the diet and so rule by fiat.

Maybe someone in the GOP should turn the page in book and see what happened next...oh, oh dear...oh no...oh dear ohnonono....

George Pearkes @peark.es · 19h

Well that's not how appropriations work at all

*WHITE HOUSE TO TRANSFER TARIFF REVENUE TO FUND WIC: LEAVITT

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 18h

Pictured: Hegseth military ideal

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 18h

Getting some guys to charge across a field isn’t all that hard. It’s making sure they’re not gallantly shot to pieces that’s the hard part.

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 18h

TL;DR: logistics can only be decisive if you haven’t already gotten your ass kicked.

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 18h

While I generally agree, there danger in overemphasizing the logistical side of things, which I addressed in this piece:

open.substack.com/pub/deadcarl...

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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 18h

Trans people should take heart in these numbers. It proves that anti-trans messaging doesn't decide elections or doesn't automatically sway swing voters to Republicans. Republicans anti-trans messaging is a proxy for "Democrats care more about social issues than they care about you."

Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 1d

Winsome Earle-Sears has consistently hit Abigail Spanberger on transgender issues. But a new poll from Christopher Newport University shows that voters say Spanberger would do a better job handling transgender policy by 13 points. #VAPol #VAGov
cnu.edu/wasoncenter/...

Spanberger Leads Earle-Sears by 10 Points in the Race for Governor

Hashmi Leads Reid by 9 points in Lt. Governor Contest; Jones Leads Miyares by 6 Points in Attorney General Race

cnu.edu

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Dead Carl @deadcarl.bsky.social · 18h

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