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Reposted by David Karpa

Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · 8d

🚨Deadline for submissions is today!🚨

Ala Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · Aug 14

Apply to EuroWEPS 12/13! We're organizing the next EuroWEPS workshops at Bocconi (Nov 14) and EUI (Dec 15) to discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars are especially welcome to apply! Submission deadline is Sep 30

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · 19d

"We find that reduced government spending predicts a greater endorsement of individualist and fatalist attributions, and labor deregulation predicts a higher endorsement of individualist attributions. Taken together, neoliberal policies potentially perpetuate ideologies that vindicate the system"

Society for Personality and Social Psychology @spspnews.bsky.social · 20d

📈New research in Social Psychological and Personality Science reveals how government policies shape our beliefs about poverty. Countries with less spending and deregulated labor markets see more blame placed on individuals rather than systems.

Learn more: ow.ly/8AZv50WYMbR

Crowded urban crosswalk filled with diverse pedestrians moving in multiple directions during daytime.

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · 20d

Without marginaleffects my career would be over. Probably THE most important resource out there for quantitative social scientiests

Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 20d

Whoa—my book is up for pre-order!

𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭 & 𝐌𝐋 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐢𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData

The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of ± any model you fit

The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity.

tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8

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Reposted by David Karpa

Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 20d

Whoa—my book is up for pre-order!

𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭 & 𝐌𝐋 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐢𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData

The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of ± any model you fit

The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity.

tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · 21d

"children exposed to the welfare cut during preschool and school-age obtained lower GPAs, experienced reduced well-being and overall education levels, and suffered lower employment and earnings as adults. Children in their teens at exposure faced large increases in conviction probabilities"

Niklas Blomqvist @blmqvst.bsky.social · 21d

Tips till journalister om frågor de kan ställa till regeringen apropå sänkt försörjningsstöd och kvalificering till välfärden:

Är risken för ökad brottslighet, minskad sysselsättning och sämre skolresultat värd att ta?
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

Unintended Consequences of Welfare Cuts on Children and Adolescents

(October 2024) - This paper studies the effects of a large welfare benefit reduction on the children in the affected families. The welfare cut targeted adult refugees who received residency in Denmark...

www.aeaweb.org

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Reposted by David Karpa

Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 23d

In Nordrhein-Westfalen wählen ziemlich gleich viele Leute AfD und Grüne. Medial und politisch geht es heute allerdings fast nur um die AfD und ihre Themen. Die "besorgten Bürger" die Aufmerksamkeit bekommen, sind die Anhänger der AfD. Wir sagen ihnen klar: es lohnt sich rechtsextrem zu wählen

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · 28d

You're the hero we don't deserve

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · Sep 1

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

How do voters respond to economic crises: Do they turn against the incumbent, reward a certain political camp, polarize to the extremes, or perhaps continue to vote much like before? Analyzing extens...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · Sep 1

Electoral responses to economic crises: "economic crises tend to disproportionately favor the right"

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · Aug 25

The China model

Reposted by David Karpa

Amanda Jean Stevenson @amandajean.bsky.social · Aug 22

If you're bent out of shape about fertility rates and not worried about making our nation attractive and welcoming to immigrants you're either making a big logical error or you're not really worried about the economy at all.

mccraephilosophies.bsky.social @mccraephilosophies.bsky.social · Aug 22

“We have more and more people over 65 and not in the work force,” said Dowell Myers, a demography professor at the University of Southern California. “A new baby won’t help us for 20 years, but a young immigrant helps us immediately.”

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · Aug 20

"Discrimination is most pronounced in industry and skilled crafts sectors and for small firms, while public
administration and large firms show minimal differences. Discrimination is significantly more prevalent in rural areas than in urban areas."

Ekkehard Kohler @ekkehardkohler.bsky.social · Aug 20

Orgin beats Performance. In Germany, 10th graders who apply for an apprenticeship have a 15pp lower chance to receive an answer. @dgsoziologie.bsky.social @mpsa.bsky.social @davidajaeger.bsky.social @cesifo.org @danbischof.bsky.social @p-hunermund.com papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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David Karpa @dkarpa.bsky.social · Aug 17

Bully, ein verkanntes Genie

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