@donplook.bsky.social
You can't order fish in Northern India without some risk of an epic diarrhea lol
Meanwhile all your vendors in the Shenzhen-Guangdong cluster can ship everything to each other within one day
US could have picked high-paying industries they can build clusters quickly for targeted tariffs, but NOPE!
Meanwhile all your vendors in the Shenzhen-Guangdong cluster can ship everything to each other within one day
US could have picked high-paying industries they can build clusters quickly for targeted tariffs, but NOPE!
April 9, 2025 at 6:53 AM
You can't order fish in Northern India without some risk of an epic diarrhea lol
Meanwhile all your vendors in the Shenzhen-Guangdong cluster can ship everything to each other within one day
US could have picked high-paying industries they can build clusters quickly for targeted tariffs, but NOPE!
Meanwhile all your vendors in the Shenzhen-Guangdong cluster can ship everything to each other within one day
US could have picked high-paying industries they can build clusters quickly for targeted tariffs, but NOPE!
Because even if Chinese labor costs go up, the efficiency and integration in Shenzhen for making some products are still cheaper
You have producing->packaging-> shipping all in one place and businesses like convenience
You can try to build that back in the US, but not by blowing up everything.
You have producing->packaging-> shipping all in one place and businesses like convenience
You can try to build that back in the US, but not by blowing up everything.
April 9, 2025 at 5:14 AM
Because even if Chinese labor costs go up, the efficiency and integration in Shenzhen for making some products are still cheaper
You have producing->packaging-> shipping all in one place and businesses like convenience
You can try to build that back in the US, but not by blowing up everything.
You have producing->packaging-> shipping all in one place and businesses like convenience
You can try to build that back in the US, but not by blowing up everything.
Also waiting to see a blog post "On the Historical Unity of Americans and Canadians" from Trump
March 12, 2025 at 4:27 AM
Also waiting to see a blog post "On the Historical Unity of Americans and Canadians" from Trump
On the historical oneness of the American and Canadian people
March 11, 2025 at 3:00 PM
On the historical oneness of the American and Canadian people
The more stock goes down the crazier he will be.
I hope fallout with orange roll follow "Will no one rid me of this turbulent bro"
I hope fallout with orange roll follow "Will no one rid me of this turbulent bro"
March 10, 2025 at 2:45 PM
The more stock goes down the crazier he will be.
I hope fallout with orange roll follow "Will no one rid me of this turbulent bro"
I hope fallout with orange roll follow "Will no one rid me of this turbulent bro"
Same could be said about polish F-16s now
March 9, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Same could be said about polish F-16s now
Giving paeans to freedom is easy when there's no risk to yourself
This is where we have failed, both in Ukraine and at home. We must stop Russia while putting ourselves at 0 risk. We must criticize trump but only when it doesn't hurt my career
We need to change to help Ukraine and save ourselves
This is where we have failed, both in Ukraine and at home. We must stop Russia while putting ourselves at 0 risk. We must criticize trump but only when it doesn't hurt my career
We need to change to help Ukraine and save ourselves
March 9, 2025 at 7:51 AM
Giving paeans to freedom is easy when there's no risk to yourself
This is where we have failed, both in Ukraine and at home. We must stop Russia while putting ourselves at 0 risk. We must criticize trump but only when it doesn't hurt my career
We need to change to help Ukraine and save ourselves
This is where we have failed, both in Ukraine and at home. We must stop Russia while putting ourselves at 0 risk. We must criticize trump but only when it doesn't hurt my career
We need to change to help Ukraine and save ourselves
The sk who didn't lift a finger to help Ukraine even after nk commandos are in Europe?
Nah, wouldn't trust them to maintain supply during war time.
Nah, wouldn't trust them to maintain supply during war time.
March 6, 2025 at 1:56 PM
The sk who didn't lift a finger to help Ukraine even after nk commandos are in Europe?
Nah, wouldn't trust them to maintain supply during war time.
Nah, wouldn't trust them to maintain supply during war time.
People who thinks Ukrainians are naive about America should ask how they feel about Obama.
If anything it's the Western Europeans who thought the abandonment of allies won't apply to them
If anything it's the Western Europeans who thought the abandonment of allies won't apply to them
March 6, 2025 at 1:58 AM
People who thinks Ukrainians are naive about America should ask how they feel about Obama.
If anything it's the Western Europeans who thought the abandonment of allies won't apply to them
If anything it's the Western Europeans who thought the abandonment of allies won't apply to them
Thanks for the update!
On a spectrum I would say Blackbird are the most pessimistic, Frontline still project a negative trend but more nuanced, similar to Mike kofman
Your analysis is a more optimistic than most, you don't think the loss ratio is actually 1:2 or RU has more sustainable manpower?
On a spectrum I would say Blackbird are the most pessimistic, Frontline still project a negative trend but more nuanced, similar to Mike kofman
Your analysis is a more optimistic than most, you don't think the loss ratio is actually 1:2 or RU has more sustainable manpower?
March 6, 2025 at 12:39 AM
Thanks for the update!
On a spectrum I would say Blackbird are the most pessimistic, Frontline still project a negative trend but more nuanced, similar to Mike kofman
Your analysis is a more optimistic than most, you don't think the loss ratio is actually 1:2 or RU has more sustainable manpower?
On a spectrum I would say Blackbird are the most pessimistic, Frontline still project a negative trend but more nuanced, similar to Mike kofman
Your analysis is a more optimistic than most, you don't think the loss ratio is actually 1:2 or RU has more sustainable manpower?
Now that Krasnov has paused aid to Ukraine. It's time to get real.
Leaders on the continent need to relearn the lesson of the cold war that any proposal of ceasefire or guarantee must always be backed with hard power.
The risk-free days are over
Leaders on the continent need to relearn the lesson of the cold war that any proposal of ceasefire or guarantee must always be backed with hard power.
The risk-free days are over
March 4, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Now that Krasnov has paused aid to Ukraine. It's time to get real.
Leaders on the continent need to relearn the lesson of the cold war that any proposal of ceasefire or guarantee must always be backed with hard power.
The risk-free days are over
Leaders on the continent need to relearn the lesson of the cold war that any proposal of ceasefire or guarantee must always be backed with hard power.
The risk-free days are over
A "small" bright side, the time Putin needs to reconstitute himself is also the time for Europeans to spin up their capability as well. As long as this timeline is shorter than the US completely disengaging or Ukraine joining the EU, it will be enough.
March 3, 2025 at 9:06 AM
A "small" bright side, the time Putin needs to reconstitute himself is also the time for Europeans to spin up their capability as well. As long as this timeline is shorter than the US completely disengaging or Ukraine joining the EU, it will be enough.
If India can sell shells to the Czech shell initiative and the Pakistanis can sell to the UK for UA. Don't see why the US won't sell critical items (gmlrs, patriots etc) to the EU
This mineral thing is to buy the time for EU to spin up and secure what they can't provide that Biden has approved
This mineral thing is to buy the time for EU to spin up and secure what they can't provide that Biden has approved
February 26, 2025 at 12:41 PM
If India can sell shells to the Czech shell initiative and the Pakistanis can sell to the UK for UA. Don't see why the US won't sell critical items (gmlrs, patriots etc) to the EU
This mineral thing is to buy the time for EU to spin up and secure what they can't provide that Biden has approved
This mineral thing is to buy the time for EU to spin up and secure what they can't provide that Biden has approved
How will the debt limit be fixed with de linke and afd likely to link up and block this?
Has Heidi Reichinnek ever expressed anything positive towards Ukraine or signaled they will back military spending to help UA?
Thanks!
Has Heidi Reichinnek ever expressed anything positive towards Ukraine or signaled they will back military spending to help UA?
Thanks!
February 26, 2025 at 10:58 AM
How will the debt limit be fixed with de linke and afd likely to link up and block this?
Has Heidi Reichinnek ever expressed anything positive towards Ukraine or signaled they will back military spending to help UA?
Thanks!
Has Heidi Reichinnek ever expressed anything positive towards Ukraine or signaled they will back military spending to help UA?
Thanks!
These are good ones and I agree. But there are bad examples as well though, like in the Rust belt, Former East Germany (Which a lot of Ukrainians I talk to compares it to Donbas lol). The rise of pro-ru voices in parts of the EU can be linked to that as well
February 25, 2025 at 10:33 AM
These are good ones and I agree. But there are bad examples as well though, like in the Rust belt, Former East Germany (Which a lot of Ukrainians I talk to compares it to Donbas lol). The rise of pro-ru voices in parts of the EU can be linked to that as well
You need to be careful about granting free movement without a tight security guarantee as part of the peace process. Ukrainians who are afraid of the next war will leave and create a population crisis within Ukraine
It will not only make Ukraine weaker, but depop usually creates a bitter population
It will not only make Ukraine weaker, but depop usually creates a bitter population
February 25, 2025 at 10:17 AM
You need to be careful about granting free movement without a tight security guarantee as part of the peace process. Ukrainians who are afraid of the next war will leave and create a population crisis within Ukraine
It will not only make Ukraine weaker, but depop usually creates a bitter population
It will not only make Ukraine weaker, but depop usually creates a bitter population
I guess the meeting in Riyadh was bad, he now knows he can't end it quickly so decided to press the "Weaker side" with a maximalist demand in the hopes that Ukraine will capitulate and gets his quick win
I know not every Ukrainians like Zelenskyy, but luckily he is mentally stronger than Trump
I know not every Ukrainians like Zelenskyy, but luckily he is mentally stronger than Trump
February 19, 2025 at 4:18 AM
I guess the meeting in Riyadh was bad, he now knows he can't end it quickly so decided to press the "Weaker side" with a maximalist demand in the hopes that Ukraine will capitulate and gets his quick win
I know not every Ukrainians like Zelenskyy, but luckily he is mentally stronger than Trump
I know not every Ukrainians like Zelenskyy, but luckily he is mentally stronger than Trump
A position as weak as Biden's but more inept in terms of leverage.
February 13, 2025 at 7:41 AM
A position as weak as Biden's but more inept in terms of leverage.
Reposted
They'd never get more than 10% of their gas from Soviet Union. By 2021 it was 50% from USSR/legal successor state. Not one of our 6 subsequent wars changed the "change thru trade" mantra.
Trade did cause a change. You are becoming more like us.
Trade did cause a change. You are becoming more like us.
February 1, 2025 at 8:25 AM
They'd never get more than 10% of their gas from Soviet Union. By 2021 it was 50% from USSR/legal successor state. Not one of our 6 subsequent wars changed the "change thru trade" mantra.
Trade did cause a change. You are becoming more like us.
Trade did cause a change. You are becoming more like us.