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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · 17d

héroïques!

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · 18d

ah, ces bleues ont faim de rosbeef...

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Reposted by Emiliano Grossman

Centre for Socio-Political Data @cdsp-sciencespo.bsky.social · 22d

🎙️ En direct de la Rencontre annuelle ELIPSS #2 – Élections européennes & législatives 2024

🗳️Actuellement, Frédéric Gonthier (IEPG, Pacte) revient sur les apports du panel ELIPSS pour analyser les ressorts de la mobilisation électorale après la dissolution de juin 2024.

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Sep 8

now with page numbers: Grossman & Guinaudeau (2025), "Tunnels of Attention: Reconsidering Issue Competition", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 58, no. 2, pp. 2559-2593.

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Nov 28

Some papers are a long time in the making. This one, written with the excellent @iguinaudeau.bsky.social, took long and I am incredibly grad to see it published. 1/8 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

So what's next? Macron will probably try to find a new candidate for Prime minister, but none of the presidential hopefuls will take that risk. Naming political hasbeens like Barnier or Bayrou has not worked. New elections are thus likely with no guarantee for a less fragemented parliament. end/

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

In a nutshell, Macron's snap elections of 2024 have left French politics in an unprecedented state of fragmentation and uncertainty. Prime minister Bayrou has been struggling to get (some) things done nonetheless, but the vote of confidence is ultimately a way to admit that he failed. 7/

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

If the government were to fall, new elections would be a real possibility, but Bayrou hopes that noone really wants that, given the current degree of electoral uncertainty. The far-right Rassemblement national appears to believe they could bring it home. 6/ www.franceinfo.fr/economie/bud...

Vote de confiance du 8 septembre : Jordan Bardella demande "une dissolution" ou la "démission" d'Emmanuel Macron pour "sortir de l'impasse"

"Il est urgent de rompre avec ces politiques. Il n'y a qu'une seule possibilité : que l'on revienne aux urnes", a estimé le président du RN sur TF1 mardi soir.

www.franceinfo.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

In this context, calling for a confidence vote is not very common but actually ressembles the use of the "guillotine" (art. 49.3), i.e. a way to force allies to stick to the coalition, as shown by Huber (1996): support my budget or make me step down... 4/ www.cambridge.org/core/books/r...

Rationalizing Parliament

Cambridge Core - European Government, Politics and Policy - Rationalizing Parliament

www.cambridge.org

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

Over the summer the majority of 11 parliamentary groups have expressed opposition to Bayrou's budget and its auterity measures. Most importantly, Marine Le Pen's RN has listed a number of conditions which would basically make Bayrou an RN Prime minister. 4/ www.lemonde.fr/politique/ar...

Vote de confiance : François Bayrou joue son va-tout devant un échec annoncé sur le budget 2026

Le premier ministre va engager la responsabilité du gouvernement, le 8 septembre, à l’Assemblée nationale, assurant chercher une « clarification ». Mais la chute paraît quasi certaine, alors que la ga...

www.lemonde.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

Even that is not always granted: as the next presidential election lures (spring of 2027), many party leaders start looking (very) nervously at the polls, leading to hesitations, public attacks on the government etc. (for instance on local electoral system reform) 3/ www.lesechos.fr/politique-so...

www.lesechos.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

The 2024 snap elections called by Emmanuel Macron led to the most fragmented parliament of the history of the 5th Republic. Bayrou's government has really been able to count on 207 MPs (out 577) from 4 groups and the benign abstention of the far right RN. 2/ www.lemonde.fr/les-decodeur...

Assemblée nationale : qui sont les 577 députés, les 11 groupes politiques et les 8 présidents de commission ?

Les députés élus lors des législatives sont répartis en onze groupes parlementaires, dont les contours ont déjà évolué depuis le 18 juillet. Des postes stratégiques ont été réattribués après la nomina...

www.lemonde.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 27

France's prime minister François Bayrou has - somewhat unexpectedly - called for a vote of confidence this week, scheduled to take place on 8 September. This follows debates over the summer over harsh austerithy measures announced for the 2026 Finance Bill. A little context. 1/

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 26

der tanzstil ist der wahre hit.

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Aug 10

it's like those people are using the handmaid's tale as their party manofesto. www.npr.org/2025/08/09/n...

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth reposts video of pastors saying women shouldn't vote

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reposted the video profiling Christian Nationalist Pastor Doug Wilson, who opposes same-sex marriage.

www.npr.org

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 24

et tu fais quoi de la loi duplomb?

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 22

Fou plutôt que mort, mais assez lucide pour finir un traité d'optique... incroyable tout ce qu'on doit faire pour pratiquer la science.

www.lemonde.fr/series-d-ete...

Ibn Al-Haytham, le savant qui se fit passer pour fou pour échapper à la colère du calife

« Le prix du savoir » (2/7). En l’an 1011, le mathématicien bagdadi s’installe au Caire à l’invitation d’Al-Hakim, souverain érudit et « sanglant » cherchant à étendre son influence. Echouant à antici...

www.lemonde.fr

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 4

the Shire ?

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 2

my favorite bsky quote of the day.

Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · Jul 2

“Due to space constraints” is the most dignified way to say “I gave up explaining this”

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jul 2

"un pognon de dingue".

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 26

paris, june 25.

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 26

we live in covfefe times.

Patrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · Jun 26

Nothing says "flawless and effective" like misspelling "effective."

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 24

Etienne Schweisguth, sociologue et politiste de renom et, accessoirement, mon premier collègue de bureau et ami au Cevipof (en 2003), nous a quittés. Bon vent, Etienne! www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 24

whenever you think that it can't get any worse...

Chris Geidner @chrisgeidner.bsky.social · Jun 24

"SCOTUS allows Trump admin to deport people to random countries with no notice"

Honestly still can't believe that I wrote this headline today, let alone that the U.S. Supreme Court's majority did so.

SCOTUS allows Trump admin to deport people to random countries with no notice

Justice Sotomayor called the order a "gross ... abuse" of the court's authority. Also: Law Dork in the media.

www.lawdork.com

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Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 21

just got this in the mail. highly original book by one of the most original characters in contemporary political science.

Emiliano Grossman @egrossman.bsky.social · Jun 20

ils nous les brisent menu les écolos à nous faire peur tout le temps au lieu de nous laisser profiter du soleil...

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