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Fabio Angiolillo

@fabioangiolillo.bsky.social

2.4K followers 590 following 110 posts

Jemolo Research Fellow Nuffield College, Oxford & Postdoc V-Dem Institute, University of Gothenburg Comparative politics, autocracies, political parties | China & East Asian politics Co-founder @apsgworkshop.bsky.social https://www.fangiolillo.com

www.fangiolillo.com

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Mar 15

🚨New publication!

We introduce the party-system democracy index (PSDI), a new global measure on regime preferences across party systems.

Key findings
1. PSDI predicts both democratization & autocratization
2. Changes in PSDI can signal a looming regime change

Open access🔓

🧵
tinyurl.com/tcms7muj

Party Systems, Democratic Positions, and Regime Changes: Introducing the Party-System Democracy Index | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core

Party Systems, Democratic Positions, and Regime Changes: Introducing the Party-System Democracy Index - Volume 55

www.cambridge.org

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

ACLED @acleddata.bsky.social · 3d

📊 What does 2 years of global protests for #Palestine look like?

Nearly 48,000 demonstrations in 137 countries have been held since Oct 2023 —accounting for 15% of all protests worldwide. Explore our new infographic as the Gaza war enters its second year: acleddata.com/infographic/...

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · 3d

Tomorrow!

Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 8d

Join us next week!
@lisayfan.bsky.social (@politicsoxford.bsky.social) will present her work on expressions of loyalty by female elites. Jakob Tolstrup (Aarhus) and @parzetterberg.bsky.social (@uu-polisci.bsky.social) will discuss.

Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · 16d

Just a few days left to apply!

Translate your work into a policy brief on authoritarianism.

PSA Autocracy & Regime Change Specialist Group @psaautocracy.bsky.social · Jun 16

📣 Call for Papers: The Authoritarian Eco-System 📣

We are launching a new policy brief series w/ the Westminster Foundation for Democracy on authoritarian politics!

Deadline: 3 October 2025
Submit abstract (500 words) researcher’s profile, and CVs to: [email protected]

Details? Read the call &🧵

Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 18d

Restricting visas doesn’t lead to hiring non-immigrants—it leads to hiring foreigners. For every H-1B visa rejection, multinationals add ~0.4–0.9 foreign employees, especially in R&D hubs like India, China, and Canada.

via @florianederer.bsky.social

How Do Restrictions on High-Skilled
Immigration Affect Offshoring?
Evidence from the H-1B Program
Britta Glennon
WORKING PAPER 27538
DOI 10.3386/w27538
ISSUE DATE July 2020
REVISION DATE February
2023
Highly-skilled workers are not only a crucial and relatively scarce inputs into firms' productive and innovative processes, but are also a critical resource determining competitive advantage. An increasingly high proportion of these workers in the US were born abroad and permitted to work on skilled worker visas. How do multinational firms respond when artificial constraints, namely policies restricting skilled immigration, are placed on their ability to hire scarce human capital? This paper combines visa microdata and comprehensive data on US multinational firm activity to demonstrate that firms respond to restrictions on H-1B immigration by increasing foreign affiliate employment at the intensive and extensive margins, particularly in China, India, and Canada. The most impacted jobs were R&D-intensive ones, but there is some evidence that non-R&D employment was also affected. The paper highlights a means by which firms can circumvent constraining policies and mitigate country-level risk, but it also suggests that, for the average MNC, this means is imperfect; for every visa rejection, they hire 0.4 employees abroad. The most globalized MNCs are the most likely to respond to these restrictions by offshoring, highlighting that firm capabilities—in the form of prior internationalization-shape the decision and ability to offshore in response to skilled immigration restrictions; indeed, these firms hire 0.9 employees abroad for every visa rejection. More broadly, the paper provides evidence of a push factor for internationalizing knowledge activity: artificial constraints on resources result in firms circumventing restrictive policies in ways that may not be anticipated by policy makers.

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · 21d

@jbeisermcgrath.bsky.social and I wrote the ‘last word’ for the latest Political Insight issue @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social.

We discuss the global rise of authoritarianism, its implications for domestic and international politics, and the future of democracy.

journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....

journals.sagepub.com

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · 21d

Next Tuesday!

Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 22d

Join us next week!
@javierpadilla.bsky.social (@thegraduatecenter.bsky.social) will be presenting his work on how oligarchic cleavages shape liberalization and democratization and @alucardi1.bsky.social (@itam-mx.bsky.social) and @emisimison.bsky.social (@qmpoliticsir.bsky.social) will discuss.

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 22d

In just 1h we will kick off the new season - join us!

Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 29d

Join us next week for the first workshop of the season!
@fabiolaschwarz.bsky.social and @kpaula.bsky.social (TU Munich) will present their work on internet shutdowns and protests in diverse political regimes.
Lisa Garbe (@wzb.bsky.social) and Ryan Shandler (Georgia Instit of Techn) will discuss!

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · 29d

Here we go with a new series of workshops by @apsgworkshop.bsky.social 🥳

Come and join us on Tuesdays to learn more from fantastic ongoing research!

Authoritarian Political Systems Group @apsgworkshop.bsky.social · 29d

Fall 2025 schedule is out!
Remember to join our mailing list to join any or all of these great presentations!
mailchi.mp/fe045331c9c7...

Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · Sep 5

"Sweeteners can harm cognitive health equivalent to 1.6 years of ageing, study finds"

Or does it? Let's take a look at this "study"...

www.theguardian.com/food/2025/se...

Sweeteners can harm cognitive health equivalent to 1.6 years of ageing, study finds

Researchers say low- and no-calorie sweeteners appear to affect thinking and memory in middle age

www.theguardian.com

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Sep 4

🥳🎉 congrats!!

Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · Sep 4

I am honored to have been awarded an ERC Starting Grant towards my project "Governing elites since the dawn of modern democracy" (GETGOV).

It allows me to continue to advance this research agenda; the goal is to build a database on governing elites from 1789 and up to today + much more.

#ERCStG

Jacob Nyrup awarded EU funds to research political elites - Department of Political Science

Jacob Nyrup from the Department of Political Science has been granted a substantial 18 million Norwegian kroner by the EU's research council to examine political elites in countries before and after d...

www.sv.uio.no

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Christopher Barrie @cbarrie.bsky.social · Dec 17

Pleased to share the latest version of my paper with Arthur Spirling and @lexipalmer.bsky.social on replication using LMs

We show:

1. current applications of LMs in political science research *don't* meet basic standards of reproducibility...

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Aug 7

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Tom Pepinsky @tompepinsky.com · Aug 1

🧵 When the government announces that it will fire people for producing numbers that the government doesn't like, here is how our institutions should respond. (Whether they do is another story.)

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Tom Pepinsky @tompepinsky.com · Aug 1

About to get positively Argentinian up in here

Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · Aug 1

Unquestionably the most dangerous and corrupt attack on the independence of US economic data in American history. Trump is firing the head of the BLS, a longtime civil servant confirmed 86-8 by the Senate, simply because the job numbers came in below his expectations today

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

PSA Autocracy & Regime Change Specialist Group @psaautocracy.bsky.social · Jul 29

The 2025 Best PhD Paper Award for the best article/chapter written by a current PhD candidate goes to...

@linettelim.bsky.social PhD candidate at @ucddublin.bsky.social for her chapter "Foreign Bogeymen: The Use of Anti-Foreign Media Propaganda in China"

Congratulations!! 🥳

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 12

Here two of my articles on the topic:
1. @jeas-journal.bsky.social with Authoritarian Ruling Parties' Recruitment Dilemma www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

2. Why Do Citizens Refuse to Join the Authoritarian Ruling Party? tinyurl.com/yc82b3h9 based on extensive fieldwork in China

Authoritarian Ruling Parties' Recruitment Dilemma: Evidence from China | Journal of East Asian Studies | Cambridge Core

Authoritarian Ruling Parties' Recruitment Dilemma: Evidence from China - Volume 23 Issue 3

www.cambridge.org

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 12

Yet, the CCP really wants/needs middle-class groups within its ranks for legitimacy purposes. This creates a dilemma where those who apply en masse are not those the party wants!

Different from before, during Xi's tenure the CCP has actively applying some force to get who they want.

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 12

A key takeaway is:
The fast-paced economic growth in the last 25+ years has made the rising middle class less politically dependent from the CCP, decreasing the practical benefits.

However, less privileged groups have growingly seen the CCP membership as a way to increase their practical benefits.

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 12

I was interviewed by the @washingtonpost.com on who applies vs. gets selected to become member of the Chinese Communist Party, and on the reasons for young social elites not to join the party.

Why do young Chinese join the Communist Party? For many, it’s practical.

Membership in the Chinese Communist Party has become a sticking point for the Trump administration. But many join for professional over political reasons.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Brian J. Phillips @brianjphillips.bsky.social · Jul 4

At midnight, Palestine Action will become a proscribed terrorist organisation.

As a quoted lawyer notes, it’s the first time the UK has banned a group “which does not advocate for violence”

www.bbc.com/news/article...

Palestine Action to be banned after judge denies temporary block

A High Court judge refused its request to temporarily block the government from proscribing it as a terror group.

www.bbc.com

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Demscore @demscore.bsky.social · Jul 3

📢 We’re Hiring! Data Manager for the DEMSCORE Research Infrastructure and the Department of Political Science, University of Gothenburg.

Apply by August 10 @ web103.reachmee.com/ext/I005/103...

More below👇

#SocialScience #Polisky #PoliSciSky #PoliticalScienceData #SocialScienceData #PolDataSky

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Reposted by Fabio Angiolillo

Carl Henrik Knutsen @chknutsen.bsky.social · Jul 3

Does higher state capacity go together with lower risk of democratic breakdown? Many political scientists certainly believe so!

Yet, in an article just published in @polstudies.bsky.social , David Andersen, @skaaning.bsky.social and I highlight important nuances to this general relationship.

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Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 2

Potrebbe interessare @ilpost.it @iaionline.bsky.social @eugeniocau.bsky.social @internazionale.it @vitalbaa.bsky.social @laurafasani.bsky.social @fedemello.bsky.social @journalismfestival.com @articolo21.bsky.social

Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 2

Da sottolineare come i livelli di democrazia sono riportati fino all'anno precedente (e.g. fino a dicembre 2024).

Quindi gli attacchi frontali alla democrazia del governo Meloni col DL Sicurezza non sono ancora stati presi in considerazione. Nel 2026 avremo una prima stima quantitativa.

Fabio Angiolillo @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social · Jul 2

Questi sviluppi attaccano sostanzialmente la democrazia? Si!

Questa è una mappa di come i livelli di democrazia elettorale sono calcolati da V-Dem. 36/38 indicatori non hanno (ancora) subito attacchi decisivi, ma il 20% dei componenti della libertà di espressione italiana sono fortemente attaccati.