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flippinfpl.bsky.social
Flippin'FPL
@flippinfpl.bsky.social
14th season in FPL, 4x top 20K, 1666 best OR.
Posting FPL-related opinions and stats.
Newcastle's underlying numbers are not looking good. Negative trend since GW20 and only SOU and LEI have worse xG NP/90 the last 5 GW.

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March 14, 2025 at 10:23 AM
I tend to avoid players who get subbed early, but I've started second-guessing that strategy. The graph shows xGI NP vs xMins for midfielders this season.

The difference in xGI NP when xMins > 70 looks to be more due to player quality than minutes.

Data from @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social #FPL
December 28, 2024 at 1:05 PM
Shots, shots on target, xGC and goals conceded are trending up. Does this mean spending less on FPL defenders or spending more to ensure maximum points from the 3 players you have to field? 🤔My gut feeling is spending less but with Saka injured and Haaland shooting blanks, money is less of an issue🤷‍♂️
December 27, 2024 at 12:14 PM
In the past 5 PL seasons, 5261 goals have been conceded from an xGC of 5296.9 - a difference of 0.6%.

Liverpool "is best" with 28 goals conceded less than their xGC. Southampton is at the other end of the spectrum with 32.3 goals conceded more than their xGC.

Data from @fbref.com
December 27, 2024 at 11:22 AM
Saka's 5 game rolling xGI p90 has declined since his GW8 injury - from 0.87 to 0.45. Something to monitor for the next two GW. I'm tempted to go Saka to Haaland when MCI gets a nice fixture run from GW18 onwards.

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December 11, 2024 at 8:28 PM
BOU have the second highest xGI NP in the past 5 GW (behind CHE). From GW 16 they play WHU, MUN (a), CRY, ful (a), EVE. 👀 Looking good for Semenyo and Evanilson 🤞

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December 7, 2024 at 1:11 PM
Reviewing some data after GW12 and Tottenham's xGI NP is interesting. While they have been good, 1/3 of their xGI NP came in GW 5 and 6 vs BRE and MUN, respectively. The graph below confirms the eye test: High ceiling, but expect unexpected lows.

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November 26, 2024 at 8:32 PM
Wildcard team as it stands (and probably will be). Kinda boring, but should be solid picks with high xMins over the next 5-10 GWs. Money in the bank to go Bruno to Saka when needed. Will hopefully roll a couple of transfers to be set for a mini-WC for some fixture turns in 17/18.

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November 22, 2024 at 8:12 PM
His xGI NP has taken a dip since GW6 and Wissa seems like their number one goal threat at the moment. I would have kept him until that LEI match if I were not on a WC, but not sure who to bring in instead. Fernandes is an option, but MUN fixtures 14-16 are rough. 🤷‍♂️

#FPL
November 17, 2024 at 3:58 PM