Flippin'FPL
@flippinfpl.bsky.social
14th season in FPL, 4x top 20K, 1666 best OR.
Posting FPL-related opinions and stats.
Posting FPL-related opinions and stats.
Newcastle's underlying numbers are not looking good. Negative trend since GW20 and only SOU and LEI have worse xG NP/90 the last 5 GW.
#FPL #FPLCommunity
#FPL #FPLCommunity
March 14, 2025 at 10:23 AM
Newcastle's underlying numbers are not looking good. Negative trend since GW20 and only SOU and LEI have worse xG NP/90 the last 5 GW.
#FPL #FPLCommunity
#FPL #FPLCommunity
I tend to avoid players who get subbed early, but I've started second-guessing that strategy. The graph shows xGI NP vs xMins for midfielders this season.
The difference in xGI NP when xMins > 70 looks to be more due to player quality than minutes.
Data from @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social #FPL
The difference in xGI NP when xMins > 70 looks to be more due to player quality than minutes.
Data from @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social #FPL
December 28, 2024 at 1:05 PM
I tend to avoid players who get subbed early, but I've started second-guessing that strategy. The graph shows xGI NP vs xMins for midfielders this season.
The difference in xGI NP when xMins > 70 looks to be more due to player quality than minutes.
Data from @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social #FPL
The difference in xGI NP when xMins > 70 looks to be more due to player quality than minutes.
Data from @ffscoutfpl.bsky.social #FPL
Shots, shots on target, xGC and goals conceded are trending up. Does this mean spending less on FPL defenders or spending more to ensure maximum points from the 3 players you have to field? 🤔My gut feeling is spending less but with Saka injured and Haaland shooting blanks, money is less of an issue🤷♂️
December 27, 2024 at 12:14 PM
Shots, shots on target, xGC and goals conceded are trending up. Does this mean spending less on FPL defenders or spending more to ensure maximum points from the 3 players you have to field? 🤔My gut feeling is spending less but with Saka injured and Haaland shooting blanks, money is less of an issue🤷♂️
In the past 5 PL seasons, 5261 goals have been conceded from an xGC of 5296.9 - a difference of 0.6%.
Liverpool "is best" with 28 goals conceded less than their xGC. Southampton is at the other end of the spectrum with 32.3 goals conceded more than their xGC.
Data from @fbref.com
Liverpool "is best" with 28 goals conceded less than their xGC. Southampton is at the other end of the spectrum with 32.3 goals conceded more than their xGC.
Data from @fbref.com
December 27, 2024 at 11:22 AM
In the past 5 PL seasons, 5261 goals have been conceded from an xGC of 5296.9 - a difference of 0.6%.
Liverpool "is best" with 28 goals conceded less than their xGC. Southampton is at the other end of the spectrum with 32.3 goals conceded more than their xGC.
Data from @fbref.com
Liverpool "is best" with 28 goals conceded less than their xGC. Southampton is at the other end of the spectrum with 32.3 goals conceded more than their xGC.
Data from @fbref.com
Saka's 5 game rolling xGI p90 has declined since his GW8 injury - from 0.87 to 0.45. Something to monitor for the next two GW. I'm tempted to go Saka to Haaland when MCI gets a nice fixture run from GW18 onwards.
#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
December 11, 2024 at 8:28 PM
Saka's 5 game rolling xGI p90 has declined since his GW8 injury - from 0.87 to 0.45. Something to monitor for the next two GW. I'm tempted to go Saka to Haaland when MCI gets a nice fixture run from GW18 onwards.
#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
BOU have the second highest xGI NP in the past 5 GW (behind CHE). From GW 16 they play WHU, MUN (a), CRY, ful (a), EVE. 👀 Looking good for Semenyo and Evanilson 🤞
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#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
December 7, 2024 at 1:11 PM
BOU have the second highest xGI NP in the past 5 GW (behind CHE). From GW 16 they play WHU, MUN (a), CRY, ful (a), EVE. 👀 Looking good for Semenyo and Evanilson 🤞
#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
#FPL #FPLGraphics #FPLCommunity
Reviewing some data after GW12 and Tottenham's xGI NP is interesting. While they have been good, 1/3 of their xGI NP came in GW 5 and 6 vs BRE and MUN, respectively. The graph below confirms the eye test: High ceiling, but expect unexpected lows.
#FPL #FPLGraphics
#FPL #FPLGraphics
November 26, 2024 at 8:32 PM
Reviewing some data after GW12 and Tottenham's xGI NP is interesting. While they have been good, 1/3 of their xGI NP came in GW 5 and 6 vs BRE and MUN, respectively. The graph below confirms the eye test: High ceiling, but expect unexpected lows.
#FPL #FPLGraphics
#FPL #FPLGraphics
Wildcard team as it stands (and probably will be). Kinda boring, but should be solid picks with high xMins over the next 5-10 GWs. Money in the bank to go Bruno to Saka when needed. Will hopefully roll a couple of transfers to be set for a mini-WC for some fixture turns in 17/18.
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#FPL #FPLCommunity
November 22, 2024 at 8:12 PM
Wildcard team as it stands (and probably will be). Kinda boring, but should be solid picks with high xMins over the next 5-10 GWs. Money in the bank to go Bruno to Saka when needed. Will hopefully roll a couple of transfers to be set for a mini-WC for some fixture turns in 17/18.
#FPL #FPLCommunity
#FPL #FPLCommunity
His xGI NP has taken a dip since GW6 and Wissa seems like their number one goal threat at the moment. I would have kept him until that LEI match if I were not on a WC, but not sure who to bring in instead. Fernandes is an option, but MUN fixtures 14-16 are rough. 🤷♂️
#FPL
#FPL
November 17, 2024 at 3:58 PM
His xGI NP has taken a dip since GW6 and Wissa seems like their number one goal threat at the moment. I would have kept him until that LEI match if I were not on a WC, but not sure who to bring in instead. Fernandes is an option, but MUN fixtures 14-16 are rough. 🤷♂️
#FPL
#FPL