Frank Wunderlich-Pfeiffer
@frankwunderli13.bsky.social
Journalist, technology, spaceflight, batteries, BatterySky
So, it turns out, the atmosphere isn't a classical gas at all and cannot be calculated without quantum physics. The number of states scales linear with volume and a cubic km has a billion cubic meters. It works in the lab, but earths atmosphere is too big. www-thphys.physics.ox.ac.uk/people/Alexa...
November 30, 2025 at 9:58 AM
So, it turns out, the atmosphere isn't a classical gas at all and cannot be calculated without quantum physics. The number of states scales linear with volume and a cubic km has a billion cubic meters. It works in the lab, but earths atmosphere is too big. www-thphys.physics.ox.ac.uk/people/Alexa...
According to the IPCC, the uncertainty range of the warming between 1951 and 2012 is 0.4 K.
For the range between 1880 and 2012, extending the range by 70 years with much worse instrumental records and a world war or two in-between, the uncertainty increases to ... 0.41K
How is that possible?
For the range between 1880 and 2012, extending the range by 70 years with much worse instrumental records and a world war or two in-between, the uncertainty increases to ... 0.41K
How is that possible?
November 27, 2025 at 6:30 PM
According to the IPCC, the uncertainty range of the warming between 1951 and 2012 is 0.4 K.
For the range between 1880 and 2012, extending the range by 70 years with much worse instrumental records and a world war or two in-between, the uncertainty increases to ... 0.41K
How is that possible?
For the range between 1880 and 2012, extending the range by 70 years with much worse instrumental records and a world war or two in-between, the uncertainty increases to ... 0.41K
How is that possible?
Doesn't look like e anything special in the context of the last 500 years.
www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11...
www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11...
November 23, 2025 at 8:55 AM
Doesn't look like e anything special in the context of the last 500 years.
www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11...
www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11...
Seems like another COPV failure destroyed the Starship booster. It's the second one for Starship and the fourth one for SpaceX overall (two destroyed Falcon 9s early in its flight history). SpaceX is pushing its equipment too hard and its people too, from all we hear.
www.youtube.com/shorts/gKtmb...
www.youtube.com/shorts/gKtmb...
November 22, 2025 at 11:33 PM
Seems like another COPV failure destroyed the Starship booster. It's the second one for Starship and the fourth one for SpaceX overall (two destroyed Falcon 9s early in its flight history). SpaceX is pushing its equipment too hard and its people too, from all we hear.
www.youtube.com/shorts/gKtmb...
www.youtube.com/shorts/gKtmb...
More people need more water. Either you provide it, or you'll run into problems. Iran ran into problems. Not because the climate changed, but because of a lack of adequate preparation for the climate it has - which includes serious droughts. The current one merely being the worst in 50-ish years.
November 22, 2025 at 10:10 PM
More people need more water. Either you provide it, or you'll run into problems. Iran ran into problems. Not because the climate changed, but because of a lack of adequate preparation for the climate it has - which includes serious droughts. The current one merely being the worst in 50-ish years.
The map of the world around the beginning of the 1850-1900 reference period for pre-industrial global temperatures.
Highlights include an imaginary mountain chain in Africa (the "source of the Nile"), no Antarctica, no Australian interior.
But global temperatures known down to 1/10th of a degree.
Highlights include an imaginary mountain chain in Africa (the "source of the Nile"), no Antarctica, no Australian interior.
But global temperatures known down to 1/10th of a degree.
November 21, 2025 at 7:43 PM
The map of the world around the beginning of the 1850-1900 reference period for pre-industrial global temperatures.
Highlights include an imaginary mountain chain in Africa (the "source of the Nile"), no Antarctica, no Australian interior.
But global temperatures known down to 1/10th of a degree.
Highlights include an imaginary mountain chain in Africa (the "source of the Nile"), no Antarctica, no Australian interior.
But global temperatures known down to 1/10th of a degree.
Those are pretty astonishing numbers. Having airplane condensation trails above you at night is like having 8 times (eight times!) as much CO2 in the atmosphere (at night). The cooling effect during the day is like having 3 times less.
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
November 20, 2025 at 5:36 PM
Those are pretty astonishing numbers. Having airplane condensation trails above you at night is like having 8 times (eight times!) as much CO2 in the atmosphere (at night). The cooling effect during the day is like having 3 times less.
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...
Why would global warming only have major warming consequences near industrial counties?
Ask yourself: Is that what global warming, caused by a gas that is evenly distributed across the globe, would look like? Is CO2 the simplest, but still sufficient, explanation for most of this observed trend?
Ask yourself: Is that what global warming, caused by a gas that is evenly distributed across the globe, would look like? Is CO2 the simplest, but still sufficient, explanation for most of this observed trend?
November 19, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Why would global warming only have major warming consequences near industrial counties?
Ask yourself: Is that what global warming, caused by a gas that is evenly distributed across the globe, would look like? Is CO2 the simplest, but still sufficient, explanation for most of this observed trend?
Ask yourself: Is that what global warming, caused by a gas that is evenly distributed across the globe, would look like? Is CO2 the simplest, but still sufficient, explanation for most of this observed trend?
Going through all radiative transfer models to find hints of stimulated emission. This is probably the most blatant so far. It's using data for molecules in their electronic ground state - when they can absorb photons. But obviously don't handle excited molecules needed for stimulated emission.
November 18, 2025 at 10:35 AM
Going through all radiative transfer models to find hints of stimulated emission. This is probably the most blatant so far. It's using data for molecules in their electronic ground state - when they can absorb photons. But obviously don't handle excited molecules needed for stimulated emission.
The first time I heard about "Proof by intimidation" is was a joke like that one on xkcd.
But that's basically what the entire climate discussion has become. It's all about pressure that you either cause the end of the world or face personal or career consequences if you call out their mistakes.
But that's basically what the entire climate discussion has become. It's all about pressure that you either cause the end of the world or face personal or career consequences if you call out their mistakes.
November 14, 2025 at 8:27 PM
The first time I heard about "Proof by intimidation" is was a joke like that one on xkcd.
But that's basically what the entire climate discussion has become. It's all about pressure that you either cause the end of the world or face personal or career consequences if you call out their mistakes.
But that's basically what the entire climate discussion has become. It's all about pressure that you either cause the end of the world or face personal or career consequences if you call out their mistakes.
Stabile Internetverbindungen bei Raketenlandungen sind allerdings auch hier ein Problem.
November 13, 2025 at 9:14 PM
Stabile Internetverbindungen bei Raketenlandungen sind allerdings auch hier ein Problem.
Wie vor einem Jahr geschrieben. Das größte Problem war, überhaupt die Triebwerke der New Glenn vor der Landung neu zu zünden.
www.golem.de/news/raumfah...
www.golem.de/news/raumfah...
November 13, 2025 at 9:11 PM
Wie vor einem Jahr geschrieben. Das größte Problem war, überhaupt die Triebwerke der New Glenn vor der Landung neu zu zünden.
www.golem.de/news/raumfah...
www.golem.de/news/raumfah...
Told you. It's not that hard, if you don't do a hover-slam.
November 13, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Told you. It's not that hard, if you don't do a hover-slam.
And it's an even worse story for his carbon cycle. Notice how there is no arrow going back and forth between marine sediment (the soil at the bottom of the ocean) and the deep ocean itself? He equilibrates volcanism of 100s of millions year old rock to current sediment equilibria!
November 10, 2025 at 1:24 PM
And it's an even worse story for his carbon cycle. Notice how there is no arrow going back and forth between marine sediment (the soil at the bottom of the ocean) and the deep ocean itself? He equilibrates volcanism of 100s of millions year old rock to current sediment equilibria!
Once you understand that the theory of the emission of the upper atmosphere in regards to climate change doesn't take account of quantum effects that were discovered in 1905 and 1916, you can't unsee it.
After this slide he says "lets go from theory to data" ....
www.youtube.com/watch?v=lApL...
After this slide he says "lets go from theory to data" ....
www.youtube.com/watch?v=lApL...
November 10, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Once you understand that the theory of the emission of the upper atmosphere in regards to climate change doesn't take account of quantum effects that were discovered in 1905 and 1916, you can't unsee it.
After this slide he says "lets go from theory to data" ....
www.youtube.com/watch?v=lApL...
After this slide he says "lets go from theory to data" ....
www.youtube.com/watch?v=lApL...
And no, I'm nowhere near the first to realize or say that and many people did so much with much more extra physics and math. E.g. here (the difference between red and blue gets made up by stimulated emission - the half the blue line is re-emitted towards earth) sealevel.info/vanWijingaar...
November 9, 2025 at 10:30 PM
And no, I'm nowhere near the first to realize or say that and many people did so much with much more extra physics and math. E.g. here (the difference between red and blue gets made up by stimulated emission - the half the blue line is re-emitted towards earth) sealevel.info/vanWijingaar...
Btw. this is the point where you should really sit straight up in your chair and realize that something fishy is going on.
When you introduce an element that can do anything to any extend without saying what the real-world limits of this thing could be, you're doing something that isn't physics.
When you introduce an element that can do anything to any extend without saying what the real-world limits of this thing could be, you're doing something that isn't physics.
November 9, 2025 at 10:24 PM
Btw. this is the point where you should really sit straight up in your chair and realize that something fishy is going on.
When you introduce an element that can do anything to any extend without saying what the real-world limits of this thing could be, you're doing something that isn't physics.
When you introduce an element that can do anything to any extend without saying what the real-world limits of this thing could be, you're doing something that isn't physics.
I never quite understood the process of the greenhouse effect until I read this article and figured out why. (This figure doesn't show IR passing through the "atmospheric window".)
The atmosphere is a Maxwell's Demon choosing which photons to let through and which not.
pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/art...
The atmosphere is a Maxwell's Demon choosing which photons to let through and which not.
pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/art...
November 9, 2025 at 9:52 PM
I never quite understood the process of the greenhouse effect until I read this article and figured out why. (This figure doesn't show IR passing through the "atmospheric window".)
The atmosphere is a Maxwell's Demon choosing which photons to let through and which not.
pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/art...
The atmosphere is a Maxwell's Demon choosing which photons to let through and which not.
pubs.aip.org/aapt/ajp/art...
Instead of merely leaving this statement there as if the words themselves were the problem,it would have been a lot better to think about the problem (which is a real, albeit long solved, problem) and give that firm reason that Watson didn't see:
Convergent evolution.
Convergent evolution.
November 9, 2025 at 4:20 AM
Instead of merely leaving this statement there as if the words themselves were the problem,it would have been a lot better to think about the problem (which is a real, albeit long solved, problem) and give that firm reason that Watson didn't see:
Convergent evolution.
Convergent evolution.
Warmer water in the Arctic ocean leads to increased snowfall over Greenland. Not terribly surprising given that the last glacial maximum (the most ice on earth) also followed after the climate started to warm up. (Sea level isn't climate, folks.)
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
November 8, 2025 at 9:26 PM
Warmer water in the Arctic ocean leads to increased snowfall over Greenland. Not terribly surprising given that the last glacial maximum (the most ice on earth) also followed after the climate started to warm up. (Sea level isn't climate, folks.)
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....
This is what the estimates for reconstructed temperatures of the 1850-1900 "pre-industrial" reference period look like.
In short: Nobody knows much about climate during that time.
For the sake of sanity and honesty, they should start over with a new period.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
In short: Nobody knows much about climate during that time.
For the sake of sanity and honesty, they should start over with a new period.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
November 3, 2025 at 6:25 PM
This is what the estimates for reconstructed temperatures of the 1850-1900 "pre-industrial" reference period look like.
In short: Nobody knows much about climate during that time.
For the sake of sanity and honesty, they should start over with a new period.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
In short: Nobody knows much about climate during that time.
For the sake of sanity and honesty, they should start over with a new period.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
Das heißt nicht, dass es nicht im Hintergrund einen Effekt durch CO2 gab - denn das Albedo wird nicht zu 100% zu Erwärmung der Erdoberfläche begetragen haben. Aber auch hier ist der Zusammenhang von Albedo und Temperatur und der beobachteten Stagnation zwischen 1998 und etwa 2010 deutlich sichtbar.
November 3, 2025 at 10:39 AM
Das heißt nicht, dass es nicht im Hintergrund einen Effekt durch CO2 gab - denn das Albedo wird nicht zu 100% zu Erwärmung der Erdoberfläche begetragen haben. Aber auch hier ist der Zusammenhang von Albedo und Temperatur und der beobachteten Stagnation zwischen 1998 und etwa 2010 deutlich sichtbar.
Übrigens macht die Abnahme der diffusen Strahlung auch klar, dass die Aerosole das Sonnenlicht hauptsächlich reflektiert und nicht absorbiert haben. Es kommt also nur ein kleiner Teil durch Erwärmung der Luft und Abstrahlung von Infrarot auf die Erdoberfläche "durch die Hintertür zurück".
November 3, 2025 at 10:22 AM
Übrigens macht die Abnahme der diffusen Strahlung auch klar, dass die Aerosole das Sonnenlicht hauptsächlich reflektiert und nicht absorbiert haben. Es kommt also nur ein kleiner Teil durch Erwärmung der Luft und Abstrahlung von Infrarot auf die Erdoberfläche "durch die Hintertür zurück".
Die Jahresmittel der Globalstrahlung in Deutschland stehen in einem unglaublich *grotesken* Widerspruch zum Narrativ, dass wir hier einen Klimawandel durch stärkeren Treibhauseffekt sehen.
Der Unterschied zwischen 1984 und 2018 entspräche in geschlossenen Systemen der Erwärmung um 23 Grad Celsius!
Der Unterschied zwischen 1984 und 2018 entspräche in geschlossenen Systemen der Erwärmung um 23 Grad Celsius!
November 3, 2025 at 9:48 AM
Die Jahresmittel der Globalstrahlung in Deutschland stehen in einem unglaublich *grotesken* Widerspruch zum Narrativ, dass wir hier einen Klimawandel durch stärkeren Treibhauseffekt sehen.
Der Unterschied zwischen 1984 und 2018 entspräche in geschlossenen Systemen der Erwärmung um 23 Grad Celsius!
Der Unterschied zwischen 1984 und 2018 entspräche in geschlossenen Systemen der Erwärmung um 23 Grad Celsius!