jacobs4525.bsky.social
@jacobs4525.bsky.social
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You are not more likely to be killed by a coconut than a shark. This is a statistical error.

Coconuts Georg, who lives under a coconut tree and is killed by 10,000 coconuts a year is an outlier and should not have been counted.
June 29, 2025 at 2:45 AM
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Conclusion is somewat in the "No Shit, Sherlock" category. The most fascinating thing about the Nord Stream sabotage is still how many journalists that are willing to believe it was blown up by scuba divers in a sailing yacht.
New: A multi-year research effort at the University of Pennsylvania, by a team led by Dr. Benjamin L. Schmitt, found it probable that the Russia 🇷🇺 was involved in the Nord Stream sabotage
May 27, 2025 at 6:37 AM
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This is what happens when discourse becomes detached from evidence, deliberation, and accountability. Instead of engaging with real issues, politicians compete in a theatre of outrage.
The student isn’t a person here, they’re a prop in a narrative war.
May 22, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Libs will start succeeding electorally when we learn to stop taking the high road and embrace owning the cons for its own sake.

We will make every couple on TV interracial. We will make a whole second pride month. We will make the genZ boss in a mini girl president.
May 13, 2025 at 1:07 AM
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Trump is waging war against professionals, intellectuals, scientists, education, writes Franklin Foer. We've seen this movie before - in Mao's China www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Trump Has Found His Class Enemy
The president unleashes a Marxist theory of power—but against knowledge workers, not billionaires.
www.theatlantic.com
April 13, 2025 at 1:29 PM
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Either the Administration brings him home or the judge must order the United States Marshals to go get him.

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/09/o...
Opinion | Trump’s Gulag Archipelago
Trump is seeking to establish a truly chilling proposition: that no one can stop his administration from imprisoning anyone it wants, anywhere in the world.
www.nytimes.com
April 9, 2025 at 6:00 PM
From Fear by Bob Woodward. Explains a lot.
April 9, 2025 at 1:09 PM
April 8, 2025 at 7:02 PM
I suspect we aren’t going to have one big cathartic crash but a gradual slide as R-leaning traders go back and forth between realization that Trump is serious about the tariffs and cope that people in his admin will talk him out of it (they won’t, they’re dumb and agree w/him).
April 7, 2025 at 3:30 PM
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The thing we learned from Web2 is that the most impactful businesses became the most impactful by optimizing for addiction.

Which means we should all ask, how would you optimize generative AI for addiction? Whatever makes it the most addictive is probably what it will become.
March 31, 2025 at 12:32 AM
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The purpose of the deportations we have been seeing has not been to fight antisemitism, but rather to use antisemitism as a beachhead to eventually do away with foreign students altogether, using Jews as a pretext for a non-Jewish political agenda.
axios.com Axios @axios.com · Mar 27
EXCLUSIVE: The Trump administration is discussing plans to try to block certain colleges from having any foreign students if it decides too many are "pro-Hamas," senior Justice and State Department officials tell Axios.
Exclusive: Trump's "pro-Hamas" purge could block foreign students from colleges
The planned purge is another escalation of Trump's aggressive crackdown on immigration and antisemitism that civil libertarians say stifles campus speech.
www.axios.com
March 27, 2025 at 4:25 PM
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People voted for Biden because they wanted to bring back the America of 2015. They voted for Trump because they wanted to bring back 2019. But it turns out elections are not time machines and politicians are flawed vessels who misread their mandates.
March 13, 2025 at 12:22 AM
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Exactly. By far the fastest way to end the war would have been to increase the support for Ukraine so Russia would stop attacking.
If the US had continued to support Ukraine, we may have been months away from the end of the war. The Russians would not have been able to continue to fight for much longer. They were making almost no progress, taking huge casualties.
March 5, 2025 at 6:13 PM
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Under the U.S Constitution, the President is very explicitly not a king. The President's wishes and decrees do not magically become law.
March 4, 2025 at 2:18 PM
We are going to have a hard time explaining to future generations why we let an unelected guy in a “I paused my game to be here” T-shirt unplug the Stop People From Dying of AIDS Machine
March 3, 2025 at 3:56 AM
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Watching American Republican congressmen attack NATO alongside tech oligarchs only reinforces my belief that the U.S. won’t last four years without some form of disruptive event: unrest, secessionism, or other catastrophic events. It’s like watching the USSR’s decline speedrun.
March 2, 2025 at 2:22 PM
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I will admit to finding the “all problems are caused by evil and we could fix every problem without any trade-offs” worldview pretty draining and immature.
March 1, 2025 at 11:56 PM
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The reflexive "it's just anti-Zionism" retort to a poll explicitly asking whether people have "unfavorable views of Jews" gives away the game. For far too many people, "anti-Zionism" isn't a careful intellectual position, it's a get-out-of-prejudice-free card to derail discussion of antisemitism.
Extraordinary watching people do “anti-Zionism isn’t anti-Semitism!” about a poll literally asking people if they dislike Jews
This tracks with everything I've covered for years. It's not in people's heads: America is getting more antisemitic, and that starts with the young. When people focus on antisemitic politicians, they need to grasp that in a democracy, those politicians are downstream from voters.
February 9, 2025 at 4:15 PM
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Weak men cannot compromise. Weak men cannot build consensus. Weak men think that leadership means force. Weak men build nothing that lasts.
February 8, 2025 at 6:57 PM
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Great day to be a Russian agent in America.
Bad day to be an American buying eggs.
February 7, 2025 at 2:24 PM
The Russian military was always worth more as a tool of prestige than an actual instrument of hard power. This was the reason Putin fired Serdyukov when he tried to shrink it into a force that Russia could actually train and equip effectively. Cutting VVS squadrons that only existed on paper… (1/2)
February 7, 2025 at 7:43 PM
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If you reduce people to the worst thing they once wrote on the internet, that means you never allow them to grow. But by the same token, if you insulate them from consequences right after they wrote it, you also deny them the opportunity to grow. That's what's happening here.
February 7, 2025 at 7:13 PM
I will say the current bizarre state of US politics kinda destroys a lot of sociological theories. You have one party whose core base is educated white collar people who want to be taxed more to fund welfare and one whose core base is people on Medicaid that want to get rid of Medicaid.
January 28, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Possibly the most endearing thing about Donald Trump and the best indication that he actually is just a Fox News Dad on steroids is his McKinley obsession. When Obama renamed the mountain Denali, Fox ran a bunch of stuff about how McKinley was a great pres, and Trump gobbled it up. 🧵
January 21, 2025 at 11:03 PM