Jay Jaffe
@jayjaffe.bsky.social
Senior writer at @FanGraphs.com, formerly SI.com and Baseball Prospectus, creator of JAWS, author of The Cooperstown Casebook (2017). Not sticking to sports or paying $8.
January 13, 2026 at 4:33 PM
phoning Hilton now...
January 12, 2026 at 4:58 PM
phoning Hilton now...
Today in "Tell me you didn't read the article without telling me you didn't read the article."
January 9, 2026 at 10:15 PM
Today in "Tell me you didn't read the article without telling me you didn't read the article."
"A chronic, devastating cancer in American society is prominent Democrats outright refusing to share their constituents' urgency and horror in the face of what is being done to society by Republicans..."
January 9, 2026 at 9:19 PM
"A chronic, devastating cancer in American society is prominent Democrats outright refusing to share their constituents' urgency and horror in the face of what is being done to society by Republicans..."
Of course I'm surprised, because that would be an historic jump. If Félix Hernández reaches @sardell.bsky.social's median projection of 47%, his 26.4% gain would be the largest since BBWAA voters returned to annual balloting in 1967. Meeting Sardell's low-end projection (41%) would be 11th-largest
January 3, 2026 at 4:49 PM
Of course I'm surprised, because that would be an historic jump. If Félix Hernández reaches @sardell.bsky.social's median projection of 47%, his 26.4% gain would be the largest since BBWAA voters returned to annual balloting in 1967. Meeting Sardell's low-end projection (41%) would be 11th-largest
New Year’s Eve family creature feature: Attack of the Crab Monsters (1957), made for $70K by Roger Corman and co-starring Russell Johnson before Gilligan’a Island. Hilariously terrible!
January 1, 2026 at 2:04 AM
New Year’s Eve family creature feature: Attack of the Crab Monsters (1957), made for $70K by Roger Corman and co-starring Russell Johnson before Gilligan’a Island. Hilariously terrible!
Not according to JAWS, and he's also 500 hits short of 2,000 — BBWAA voters have yet to elect any post-1960 player with less than 2,000, though Jones (1,933) and Utley (1,815) are racing to be the first.
December 30, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Not according to JAWS, and he's also 500 hits short of 2,000 — BBWAA voters have yet to elect any post-1960 player with less than 2,000, though Jones (1,933) and Utley (1,815) are racing to be the first.
Just got a particularly thoughtful comment on this from @fangraphs.com reader kingofdiamonds regarding this ballot's starting pitchers. Pasting the screenshot here, and will unpack this a bit in a thread. 1/x
December 30, 2025 at 4:33 PM
Just got a particularly thoughtful comment on this from @fangraphs.com reader kingofdiamonds regarding this ballot's starting pitchers. Pasting the screenshot here, and will unpack this a bit in a thread. 1/x
Good eye, that’s my Langford wall. Been collecting his stuff since 1999.
December 30, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Good eye, that’s my Langford wall. Been collecting his stuff since 1999.
There it is, another imperfect Hall of Fame ballot in the books and in the mail.
December 30, 2025 at 2:06 PM
There it is, another imperfect Hall of Fame ballot in the books and in the mail.
Splashed a few drops of beer on my Hall of Fame ballot while finally filling it out. A little too on-brand, maybe.
December 30, 2025 at 4:16 AM
Splashed a few drops of beer on my Hall of Fame ballot while finally filling it out. A little too on-brand, maybe.
Loved Thomas Gilbert’s 1st book, How Baseball Happened, so I’m excited to tuck into this advance bio of James Creighton, baseball’s first superstar — a pitcher whose prowess necessitated the creation of the strike zone, and a tragic figure who died mysteriously at 21. Coming March 2026 from Godine
December 27, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Loved Thomas Gilbert’s 1st book, How Baseball Happened, so I’m excited to tuck into this advance bio of James Creighton, baseball’s first superstar — a pitcher whose prowess necessitated the creation of the strike zone, and a tragic figure who died mysteriously at 21. Coming March 2026 from Godine
This revelation was apparently urgent enough that the kiddo taped it to our coffee machine this morning
December 27, 2025 at 3:39 PM
This revelation was apparently urgent enough that the kiddo taped it to our coffee machine this morning
Thank you all for the birthday wishes! Have had a lovely day with the family, seeing Zootopia 2 and eating soup dumplings at Din’s Kitchen in Sunset Park. Here’s hoping whatever you’re celebrating today, you’re doing it among loved ones.
Please enjoy this birthday/holiday advice from my daughter
Please enjoy this birthday/holiday advice from my daughter
December 26, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Thank you all for the birthday wishes! Have had a lovely day with the family, seeing Zootopia 2 and eating soup dumplings at Din’s Kitchen in Sunset Park. Here’s hoping whatever you’re celebrating today, you’re doing it among loved ones.
Please enjoy this birthday/holiday advice from my daughter
Please enjoy this birthday/holiday advice from my daughter
Had to replace a shower curtain rod. This one has been in my possession since my earliest days in downtown Brooklyn (11/2007). Sid’s Hardware wouldn’t honor a 20% discount promised by their guy who changed the locks the day we moved in. I put a hex on them. Out of business in early 2010. Eat it, Sid
December 25, 2025 at 4:24 PM
Had to replace a shower curtain rod. This one has been in my possession since my earliest days in downtown Brooklyn (11/2007). Sid’s Hardware wouldn’t honor a 20% discount promised by their guy who changed the locks the day we moved in. I put a hex on them. Out of business in early 2010. Eat it, Sid
The kiddo delivered coffee to me in bed this morning, cackling at the mug she and my wife chose. 56 is off to a flying start!
December 25, 2025 at 2:50 PM
The kiddo delivered coffee to me in bed this morning, cackling at the mug she and my wife chose. 56 is off to a flying start!
Did not have Lucinda Williams opening for Yo La Tengo on my Hanukkah dance card but it was absolutely great. Encores with her included “Yummy Yummy,” “Tears Are In Your Eyes,” and “Pale Blue Eyes,” which, wow!
December 21, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Did not have Lucinda Williams opening for Yo La Tengo on my Hanukkah dance card but it was absolutely great. Encores with her included “Yummy Yummy,” “Tears Are In Your Eyes,” and “Pale Blue Eyes,” which, wow!
I own several copies of Ball Four, but until tonight, I did not have a signed first edition, a Hanukkah gift from my wife. This is the one you can me into swear into office with.
“Do you promise to uphold the duties of this office?”
“Ah, shitfuck.”
“No, no! Not like that!”
“Do you promise to uphold the duties of this office?”
“Ah, shitfuck.”
“No, no! Not like that!”
December 16, 2025 at 1:12 AM
I own several copies of Ball Four, but until tonight, I did not have a signed first edition, a Hanukkah gift from my wife. This is the one you can me into swear into office with.
“Do you promise to uphold the duties of this office?”
“Ah, shitfuck.”
“No, no! Not like that!”
“Do you promise to uphold the duties of this office?”
“Ah, shitfuck.”
“No, no! Not like that!”
Went down to the Medicine Show at Le Poisson Rouge (NYC) to see the Dream Syndicate, with special guest @jtkantor.bsky.social on keyboards
December 12, 2025 at 2:01 AM
Went down to the Medicine Show at Le Poisson Rouge (NYC) to see the Dream Syndicate, with special guest @jtkantor.bsky.social on keyboards
With the addition of Jeff Kent to the pool of Hall of Fame second basemen, the JAWS standard at the position dropped by 0.4 (from 57.0 to 56.6), enough to move Chase Utley above it.
December 11, 2025 at 3:28 AM
With the addition of Jeff Kent to the pool of Hall of Fame second basemen, the JAWS standard at the position dropped by 0.4 (from 57.0 to 56.6), enough to move Chase Utley above it.
