Julyan Arbel
@julyanarbel.bsky.social
120 followers 120 following 19 posts
On a quest to make AI safe with Bayes. Researcher at Inria. Prev: Polytechnique, ENSAE Paris, Insee, Paris-Dauphine, Collegio Carlo Alberto, Bocconi. https://www.julyanarbel.com/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/julyanarbel/
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Reposted by Julyan Arbel
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The next BA webinar is tomorrow!
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The next BA webinar is coming up soon! Details 👇

“A Tree Perspective on Stick-Breaking Models in Covariate-Dependent Mixtures”
by A. Horiguchi, C. Chan, and L. Ma
doi.org/10.1214/24-B...

September 17, 2025 (3:00 PM UTC | 11:00 AM EDT | 5:00 PM CET)
🔗 Registration: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
A Tree Perspective on Stick-Breaking Models in Covariate-Dependent Mixtures
Stick-breaking (SB) processes are often adopted in Bayesian mixture models for generating mixing weights. When covariates influence the sizes of clusters, SB mixtures are particularly convenient as they can leverage their connection to binary regression to ease both the specification of covariate effects and posterior computation. Existing SB models are typically constructed based on continually breaking a single remaining piece of the unit stick. We view this from a dyadic tree perspective in terms of a lopsided bifurcating tree that extends only on one side. We show that two unsavory characteristics of SB models are in fact largely due to this lopsided tree structure. We consider a generalized class of SB models with alternative bifurcating tree structures and examine the influence of the underlying tree topology on the resulting Bayesian analysis in terms of prior assumptions, posterior uncertainty, and computational effectiveness. In particular, we provide evidence that a balanced tree topology, which corresponds to continually breaking all remaining pieces of the unit stick, can resolve or mitigate these undesirable properties of SB models that rely on a lopsided tree.
doi.org
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
If you have news, #jobs, etc. that you would like to share with the #Bayesian community, go to bayesian.org to Submit News or Submit Jobs. These submissions are reviewed periodically and posted on the ISBA website.
International Society for Bayesian Analysis | The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.
bayesian.org
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The latest issue of the ISBA bulletin is now available!

This issue features:

- A 𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘮𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘢𝘨𝘦 from the ISBA President;
- The 𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘦𝘴𝘵 𝘯𝘦𝘸𝘴 from the Bayesian community
- The 𝘛𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘉𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘴 section, full of ideas for bringing Bayes into the classroom.

isba-bulletin.github.io/ISBABulletin/
julyanarbel.bsky.social
You will not regret it :)
julyanarbel.bsky.social
I know this view :) Enjoy!
julyanarbel.bsky.social
GenU 2025 workshop, on Generative models and uncertainty quantification in Copenhagen, Sept 17-18, has incredible speakers too!
genu.ai/2025/
julyanarbel.bsky.social
Register at PAISS 1-5 Sept 2025 @inria_grenoble with very talented speakers this year 🙂
paiss.inria.fr
cc @mvladimirova.bsky.social
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
julyanarbel.bsky.social
Always flabbergasted by the beauty of conferences social dinner places. #Marseillepremierevilledefrance
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
pamattei.bsky.social
The first talk of the second day was also Bayesian! @julyanarbel.bsky.social gave a nice overview of Bayesian deep learning.
Julyan Arbel presenting. Julyan Arbel presenting.
julyanarbel.bsky.social
Thanks PA! Here are my slides for those interested:
tinyurl.com/mry6d3zd
Dropbox
tinyurl.com
julyanarbel.bsky.social
I gave a high level talk on Bayesian deep learning at the French "Journées de la Stat" conference organised in wonderful and colorful Marseille.
Here are my slides:
tinyurl.com/mry6d3zd
julyanarbel.bsky.social
Congrats to Jan Greve (Vienna) for successfully defending his PhD, supervised by Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter & Bettina Grün. I served as a reviewer. His thesis features 3 excellent papers on BNP priors for data partitions, with an application to statistical disclosure control on text (LLM) data.
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The Prize Committee of ISBA is pleased to announce the 2025 DeGroot Prize, Mitchell Prize, and Savage Award.

The deadline to submit nominations for these awards is May 31, 2025.

More info about the awards and nominations process can be found on the ISBA website 👇

bayesian.org/resources/ne...
News | International Society for Bayesian Analysis
bayesian.org
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
academiesciences.bsky.social
Épisode 5 de notre série "Les nouveaux visages de l’Académie des sciences" : La statistique, une science en son temps.

Retrouvez la vidéo sur Youtube : www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AhT...
julyanarbel.bsky.social
Nice! Seems like you've followed Clementine Prieur's talk at INI today?
julyanarbel.bsky.social
📢 BDL offers principled uncertainty quantification, improved data efficiency, and adaptability. The proposed section aims to bridge the Bayesian & ML communities, and to support research & education! #AABI
🔗 Bylaws: tinyurl.com/y5uvysyn
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BDL ISBA bylaws
Bylaws for the proposed future ISBA section on Bayesian Deep Learning We are proposing a new ISBA section on Bayesian Deep Learning. Any ISBA member can support this initiative by signing the petition...
tinyurl.com
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The First Triangle Symposium on Statistics and Data Science (TSSDS) will be held on May 12-13, 2025, at North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC. It will promote the works of local faculty, students, and researchers and bring in top researchers from other parts of the country and the world.
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Triangle Symposium on Statistics and Data Science (TSSDS) 2025
NCSU Department of Statistics
statistics.sciences.ncsu.edu
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
pierrealquier.bsky.social
Reminder: AISTATS journal-to-conference track.
kdau.bsky.social
🚀 Excited to announce the launch of a pilot trial for the Journal-to-Conference track at #AISTATS2025, coordinated by @pierrealquier.bsky.social and me

The track considers published papers from AoS, Biometrika, JASA, JMLR & JRSS B for a poster presentation at AISTATS 2025

📅 Deadline: 15 March 2025
julyanarbel.bsky.social
Grenoble guys on their way to ALT conference in Milan, enjoying cappuccino #1 😋 right after crossing the border.
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
canaesseth.bsky.social
You still have a chance to submit your work to all tracks for AABI. New deadline is February 14 for both Workshop and Proceedings track!

#AABI2025 #ML #ICLR2025 #Stats #Bayes
canaesseth.bsky.social
Don't forget #AABI, the Symposium on Advances in Approximate Bayesian Inference is coming to Singapore!! Co-located #ICLR2025

Workshop Track: February 7, AoE
Proceedings Track: February 7, AoE
Fast Track: February 18 / March 14, AoE

approximateinference.org/call/

#ML #Bayes #GenAI
Call for Papers
approximateinference.org
Reposted by Julyan Arbel
samuelvaiter.com
(1-dimensional) Weisfeiler-Leman is a heuristic for the graph isomorphism problem. It is a color refinement algorithm akin to a basic message passing scheme. https://iti.zcu.cz/wl2018/pdf/wl_paper_translation.pdf