Koichi Osamura
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koichiosamura.bsky.social
Koichi Osamura
@koichiosamura.bsky.social
PhD candidate in political science at @stawi-univie.bsky.social
Lecturer of comparative politics at @univie.ac.at
🔍Coalitions, legislative behavior, party competition
🕵🏻‍♂️ South America, Europe, and Japan
Quite similar thing happened in Brazil last year. The moment Trump imposed import tariffs and economic sanctions to a handful of supreme court justices and a few ministers (which were celebrated by the far-right led by Bolsonaro's son), the medium-to-low support rates for Lula increased a lot.
January 21, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Anyway, let's just hope Takaichi won't bail out from dissolving the parliament.
January 16, 2026 at 4:25 PM
I don't think that's a good idea though - they'll lose their connection with the local electorate, and the most dedicated Komeito supporters might feel less motivated to campaign for people that until a few months ago were their rivals.
January 16, 2026 at 4:25 PM
The new agreement states that the Komeito will withdraw from having candidates in the constituencies, and then concentrate them in the proportional representation lists in each region.
January 16, 2026 at 4:25 PM
I don't have data, but some analysts expect an average decrease of approx. 10,000 votes to the LDP **per constituency** (of course more populated places like certain regions in Tokyo could mean way more), which would mean many LDP legislators losing their seat (more in the link below).
Japan's ruling LDP faces electoral reckoning as Komeito joins forces with CDP - The Mainichi
TOKYO -- A sense of caution is rising within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) after Komeito and the main opposition Constitutional Democratic
mainichi.jp
January 16, 2026 at 4:25 PM
The "kyouyo/gyaku-kyouyo" was the agreement model between LDP and Komeito, in which the supporters of the LDP provided votes to the Komeito in the proportional list, while the supporters of the Komeito voted for the LDP in all other districts that it didn't have a candidate (over 270)
January 16, 2026 at 4:25 PM
Congratulations, Andreas!
January 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM
Reposted by Koichi Osamura
From my favorite U.S. cartoonist @mluckovich.bsky.social (already weeks ago).
January 3, 2026 at 3:39 PM
The recent Havaianas flip flops ad in which Fernanda Torres tell people to "start the new year not with the 'right foot' but with 'two feet'", and then the whole Brazilian far-right got mad and started a "boycott". But in some cities they went to buy all stock to only cut the stripes. Super smart 😂
December 24, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Great job, Dylan!
December 1, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Crosswords = palavras cruzadas
Word search = caça palavras
November 30, 2025 at 6:31 AM
This post should have been a thread in which you bring an interview with Bolsonaro's fourth son, Jair Renan, where he says he brought a few books for his father. When asked which books, he answers "some word search"

www.instagram.com/reel/DRkmfZn...
O Brasil Que Deu Certo on Instagram
20K likes, 767 comments - obrasilquedeucerto on November 27, 2025
www.instagram.com
November 29, 2025 at 9:25 PM