ladislavhegyi.bsky.social
@ladislavhegyi.bsky.social
Reposted
Klimatické modelování je přesné. Jak moc?

Porovnejte modely, které byly využity ve AR4 IPCC, můžeme tedy hodnotitl dvě dekády.

⚫️Průměr klimatických modelů z roku 2004
🔵Rozsah předpovědí těchto modelů – 95% pravděpodobnost
🔴Skutečně naměřené globální teploty

(nula na ose Y – průměr let 1980–1999)
August 7, 2025 at 6:36 AM
Kolaps civilného života v Gaze nie je nešťastným vedľajším produktom vojny, ale priamy dôsledok konkrétnych stratégií.

Humanitárny pracovník a krízový koordinátor M. Cehelník, Človek v ohrození
blog.sme.sk/clovekvohroz...
Katastrofa v Gaze pohľadom humanitárneho pracovníka - Človek v ohrození - (blog.sme.sk)
Kolaps civilného života v Gaze nie je nešťastným vedľajším produktom vojny, ale priamy dôsledok konkrétnych stratégií.
blog.sme.sk
August 7, 2025 at 3:58 PM
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Podíl obnovitelných zdrojů na výrobě elektřiny v EU se mezi lety 2000–2023 zvýšil přibližně 16×.
Nejvyšší podíl těchto zdrojů má Dánsko (88 %), nejnižší Česko (15 %).
July 18, 2025 at 8:47 AM
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“This is symbolic of something bigger,” said Michael Mann, a University of Pennsylvania climate scientist. “Not just the danger and inconvenience to fans and players, but the fundamentally disruptive nature of climate change when it comes to our current way of life.”
July 16, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Reposted
Solar and batteries are a game-changer:

New @ember-energy.org analysis in @carbonbrief.org shows that in major sunny cities, such as Las Vegas or Mexico City, solar + batteries can now get more than 90% of the way to continuous generation, at costs below those of coal or nuclear power.
July 17, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Dr. Bartov, professor of genocide studies at Brown Un.: My inescapable conclusion has become that Israel is committing genocide against the Palestinian people ... I have been teaching classes on genocide for a quarter of a century. I can recognize one when I see one.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/15/o...
July 17, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Reposted
"Trump also shuttered the KleptoCapture task force, a DOJ unit formed in 2022 to identify and seize assets of sanctioned Russian oligarchs.

The unit coordinated investigations across agencies, leading to high-profile seizures of yachts, real estate, private jets..."

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/02/u...
Lack of New U.S. Sanctions Allows Restricted Goods and Funds Into Russia
www.nytimes.com
July 6, 2025 at 8:18 PM
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In 2021, Biden admin awarded Kerr County TX $10m in American Rescue Plan Act funds, which could have been used for flood prevention infrastructure. But commissioners, facing political pressure from conservative residents, opted not to pursue warning system. www.texastribune.org/2025/07/10/t...
July 12, 2025 at 3:02 PM
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Jaké byly příčiny dubnového blackoutu ve Španělsku?

Včera uspořádalo španělské Ministerstvo pro ekologickou transformaci a demografickou výzvu tiskovou konferenci, kde představilo výsledky šetření dubnového blackoutu – výpadku elektřiny.

⚡️Co se stalo?
June 18, 2025 at 9:50 AM
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ICE in just a few weeks has transformed itself into the closest thing that the US has ever had to a “secret police,” with more seemingly culturally in common with the Klan nightriders of Reconstruction than their federal agency brethren like the FBI or ATF. www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/ice-believ...
ICE believes it will never face accountability again
The Trump administration is letting an unaccountable secret police form at the heart of our democracy.
www.doomsdayscenario.co
June 20, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Novela ústavy Smeru, ktorú chce podporiť KDH nie je o 2 pohlaviach - je extrémnou zmenou legislatívneho nastavenia SR. Je horšia ako ruská novela ústavy v roku 2015 a má potenciál nasmerovať nás mimo EÚ. Obsahuje veľké množstvo negatívnych zásahov do našich práv.
komentare.sme.sk/c/23502307/n...
Novela ústavy otáča kormidlo od Európy a kapitán švindľuje pohľadom
Návrhom s visačkou „dve pohlavia“ obsahuje celé spektrum ďalších nevhodných zásahov.
komentare.sme.sk
June 13, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Reposted
Trump is waging war against his own citizens in Los Angeles | Judith Levine
Trump is waging war against his own citizens in Los Angeles | Judith Levine
In its first months in office, the Trump administration enacted what could be called soft authoritarianism. Now we are in a second phase
www.theguardian.com
June 11, 2025 at 11:01 AM
Reposted
One of the most immediate climate tipping point dangers is an abrupt cooling of the subpolar gyre, with major impacts on 🇪🇺 climate possible in the next decades. 🌊
Great how @swinda.bsky.social Falkena et al. use advanced causal inference methods to tease out the mechanisms!
arxiv.org/html/2408.16...
June 9, 2025 at 10:00 PM
Reposted
Scientists have been publishing climate models since ~1970.

A good way to evaluate their skill is to compare what they expected to happen in the years after the model was published to observed climate changes.

It turns out most models were pretty spot-on:
May 14, 2025 at 11:23 PM
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This is the definition of how you get bad intelligence: Fire officials who tell you things that you don't like

www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Gabbard fires leaders of intelligence group that wrote Venezuela assessment
The director of national intelligence fired officials weeks after their group wrote an assessment contradicting Trump’s rationale for deporting alleged Venezuelan gang members.
www.washingtonpost.com
May 15, 2025 at 8:19 AM
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The GOP wanted to impeach Biden for a fake $5M bribe from Ukraine that was made up by a guy sitting in prison for lying about it, but they’re cool with a $400M plane from Qatar. Do I have that right?
May 11, 2025 at 5:14 PM
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Thank you and goodbye Goodison Park.

We hope we done you proud 💙
May 4, 2025 at 6:39 PM
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The Trump people claim to be fighting antisemitism, and the media often accept that framing. I believe, on the contrary, that these actions are antisemitic in intention and in execution.
I explain in a short video:
snyder.substack.com/p/fomenting-...
Fomenting Antisemitism
Not Combating It
snyder.substack.com
April 12, 2025 at 2:54 PM
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Veľmi dôležié dobré správy.

40, áno štyridsať percent elektriny na svete bolo miulý rok vyrobených bezemisne.

Najväčšou mierou k tomu prispel masívny nárast výroby elektriny zo slnka a vetra.
NEW | World surpasses 40% clean power in 2024, driven by a RECORD rise in renewables 📈

Solar has DOUBLED in just three years, remaining the world’s fastest-growing source of new electricity and the engine of the energy transition ⚡

ember-energy.org/lat...

#GER2025
April 8, 2025 at 11:19 AM
Reposted
On Musk's old-fashioned, backwards-looking futurist/techno-authoritarian ideas, all borrowed from failed thinkers of the 20th century
from Jill Lepore

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/o...
Opinion | The Rise and Fall of Elon Musk (Gift Article)
His belief that liberal democracy has failed and that technologists should lead can be traced to the unusual life of his grandfather.
www.nytimes.com
April 4, 2025 at 5:50 PM
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I kind of want to go
April 4, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Reposted
March 28, 2025 at 8:32 AM
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I dont agree that broadly Harvard has “elevated identity over excellence in the selection of students and faculty…” On the contrary, that’s what Harvard did in the past when it exclude women, Jews, & people of color.
But I think the rest of this is largely correct.

www.nytimes.com/2025/04/03/o...
Opinion | Lawrence Summers: Harvard Must Not Yield to Trump
As with most confrontations, the merits in this clash are not one sided. But the Trump administration is acting in bad faith.
www.nytimes.com
April 3, 2025 at 6:32 PM