Lauren Bauer
@laurenhlb.bsky.social
2.9K followers 1K following 330 posts
Fellow | Economic Studies | @brookings.edu Associate Director | @hamiltonproject.org Board | @mazonusa.bsky.social Econ, nutrition, education, kids, labor, etc. www.hamiltonproject.org laurenhlb.01
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laurenhlb.bsky.social
New and important: we built a federal expenditure tracker. All expenditure line items that are available on the Daily Treasury Statement.

USAID was zeroed out on 1/28 and has been at zero ever since.

www.hamiltonproject.org/data/trackin...

#EconSky
Reposted by Lauren Bauer
marisakabas.bsky.social
NEW—US Department of Education sent out standard Out of Office language to employees on Wednesday in light of shutdown. Later yesterday, workers tell me they found someone had updated their auto-responses without consent to a new one blaming Democrats.

Version of original on left, updated on right:
Thank you for your email. There is a temporary shutdown of the U.S. government due to a lapse in appropriations. I will respond to your message as soon as possible after the temporary shutdown ends. Please visit ED.gov for the latest information on the
Department's operational status.
Thank you. Thank you for contacting me. On September 19, 2025, the House of Representatives passed H.R. 5371, a clean continuing resolution. Unfortunately, Democrat Senators are blocking passage of H.R. 5371 in the Senate which has led to a lapse in appropriations. Due to the lapse in appropriations I am currently in furlough status. I will respond to emails once government functions resume.
Reposted by Lauren Bauer
leran.bsky.social
I loathe that we need GoFundMe campaigns for this type of thing, but Randy is a real one. Kind, dedicated, smart, funny, and deeply a good person. If you have a few dollars or well wishes please send them his way
fooddatanerd.com
There’s a link at the end to a GoFundMe set up by my wonderful friend Lindsay Saunders:

www.gofundme.com/f/randy-his-...
Reposted by Lauren Bauer
katiebergh.bsky.social
Overall rates of food insecurity held steady in 2020 & 2021 despite the pandemic. Food insecurity among households with kids actually reached a two-decade low in 2021.

In contrast, food insecurity increased during the Great Recession amid a less robust policy response.

Policy matters.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
"Trends in the prevalence of food insecurity have remained virtually unchanged, regardless of an over 87% increase in SNAP spending between 2019 - 2023."

It was a massive policy accomplishment to have food security stay flat during COVID.

www.fns.usda.gov/newsroom/usd...
www.fns.usda.gov
laurenhlb.bsky.social
"The data is rife with inaccuracies slanted to create a narrative that is not representative of what is actually happening in the countryside as we are currently experiencing lower poverty rates, increasing wages, and job growth under the Trump Administration"

What?
laurenhlb.bsky.social
apnews.com/article/trum...

"The questions used to collect the data are entirely subjective and do not present an accurate picture of actual food security."

Huh?
laurenhlb.bsky.social
"Trends in the prevalence of food insecurity have remained virtually unchanged, regardless of an over 87% increase in SNAP spending between 2019 - 2023."

It was a massive policy accomplishment to have food security stay flat during COVID.

www.fns.usda.gov/newsroom/usd...
www.fns.usda.gov
laurenhlb.bsky.social
ICYMI, this weekend USDA announced that it would not field the Food Security Supplement to the Current Population Survey - the source of information about the state of food insecurity and hunger in America - this December.

The press release is full of falsehoods:

www.fns.usda.gov/newsroom/usd...
laurenhlb.bsky.social
This is false; I fear that whoever wrote this statement doesn’t know what these adjectives mean.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
What’s fearmongering in this context? Elevating concerns that there is hunger in America and one ought to marshall resources to fight it?
laurenhlb.bsky.social
Politicized is telling on yourself. The post-OBBBA SNAP cuts will really start to hit in December, when the FSS was supposed to be in the field. So. Yah.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
It’s not costly. We care so much about getting these statistics right that USDA and BLS ran the FSS twice in 2020.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
It’s literally neither redundant nor extraneous. It’s one of a kind, pertinent, and without running this survey we will not have the gold standard national food insecurity statistics.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
It’s one study - the Food Security Supplement to the Current Population Survey.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
This is false; I fear that whoever wrote this statement doesn’t know what these adjectives mean.
Reposted by Lauren Bauer
econberger.bsky.social
Claims:

1/ An extremely concerning jump in initial claims to 263K (highest since the fall of 2021). This data includes Labor Day weekend, so maybe it's holiday noise, but I'm worried.

A lot of it happened in Texas (IC there doubled from 17K to 32K).
laurenhlb.bsky.social
Sometimes (just now) my mind wanders and I think about the fact that...

More than half of able-bodied adults between the ages of 60 to 64 who receive SNAP also receive Social Security benefits. And they now have to do *work* requirements? That's bananas.
laurenhlb.bsky.social
My hot take for the day is to follow the flat blue line.
hamiltonproject.org
Prime-age women powered the post-pandemic labor market recovery. Amid concerns about women leaving the workforce, our analysis for #FigureFriday shows that prime-age women's labor force participation rate has been stable over the course of 2025 once adjusted for seasonal patterns.
Prime-age female labor force participation, seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted
laurenhlb.bsky.social
bad site, good take
bbkogan.bsky.social
From Jason on the bad site
A market slowdown in the pace of job gains, with 22K added in August, bringing the three month average to 29K.
On a percentage basis have not seen job growth this slow outside of recessionary periods in more than sixty years.