@marble47.bsky.social
Rule of threes, until then its just weird that it happened twice
December 21, 2025 at 1:06 AM
Rule of threes, until then its just weird that it happened twice
Its a weird thing where Uber drivers have the "employee"/employer relationship of gig work but the hourly output looks a lot more like a normal job and I doubt surveys are perfectly reflecting that (if reflecting someone who drives 40+ hours most weeks as contingent should even be the goal)
December 21, 2025 at 12:31 AM
Its a weird thing where Uber drivers have the "employee"/employer relationship of gig work but the hourly output looks a lot more like a normal job and I doubt surveys are perfectly reflecting that (if reflecting someone who drives 40+ hours most weeks as contingent should even be the goal)
Also this was the stat you asked for, you should have moved the goalposts ahead of time!
December 20, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Also this was the stat you asked for, you should have moved the goalposts ahead of time!
Which part seems wildly off to you? If anything housing expense is high here, actual housing expenses are 33% (and historically always hover around that amount) www.bls.gov/opub/reports...
Consumer expenditures in 2023
www.bls.gov
December 20, 2025 at 11:59 PM
Which part seems wildly off to you? If anything housing expense is high here, actual housing expenses are 33% (and historically always hover around that amount) www.bls.gov/opub/reports...
Those are weekly real earnings so inflation is already included. If you would like to go dig up nominal and do the work knock yourself out
December 20, 2025 at 11:50 PM
Those are weekly real earnings so inflation is already included. If you would like to go dig up nominal and do the work knock yourself out
Yes inflation is a mix of things that have gotten more and less expensive, and yes when Trump succeeds in tanking the economy I will agree that it sucks
December 20, 2025 at 11:38 PM
Yes inflation is a mix of things that have gotten more and less expensive, and yes when Trump succeeds in tanking the economy I will agree that it sucks
Hey what's that "Real" in front of median household income mean?
December 20, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Hey what's that "Real" in front of median household income mean?
I'm sorry that's the case for you, but that does not make the broad fact that wages have risen more than inflation untrue
December 20, 2025 at 11:09 PM
I'm sorry that's the case for you, but that does not make the broad fact that wages have risen more than inflation untrue
This is a great example of the argument--an article that takes average spending and assumes that it is *required* spending, therefore transforming people having more money to spend into a negative
December 20, 2025 at 8:53 PM
This is a great example of the argument--an article that takes average spending and assumes that it is *required* spending, therefore transforming people having more money to spend into a negative
"objective reality" ostensible liberal throwing out government data that doesn't match your social media-driven beliefs, you have swallowed conservative lies hook and sinker
December 20, 2025 at 8:13 PM
"objective reality" ostensible liberal throwing out government data that doesn't match your social media-driven beliefs, you have swallowed conservative lies hook and sinker
And that for sure further radicalized me into Stancil thought, because of course it has to affect people's overall perceptions if "everything is worse" posts get positive reinforcement and "some things are better" get vitriol plus permission to ignore contradictory data
December 20, 2025 at 7:04 PM
And that for sure further radicalized me into Stancil thought, because of course it has to affect people's overall perceptions if "everything is worse" posts get positive reinforcement and "some things are better" get vitriol plus permission to ignore contradictory data
Yeah this is probably evidence for both the original claim and yours, but I just saw someone, not even saying it meanly, point out that of course if you say that anything has improved a bunch of people will yell at you
December 20, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Yeah this is probably evidence for both the original claim and yours, but I just saw someone, not even saying it meanly, point out that of course if you say that anything has improved a bunch of people will yell at you
COST OF CHILDCARE is one of the most direct reflections of "wages are higher" you could possibly find
December 20, 2025 at 6:37 PM
COST OF CHILDCARE is one of the most direct reflections of "wages are higher" you could possibly find
This collective delusion led directly to the election of Trump
December 20, 2025 at 6:34 PM
This collective delusion led directly to the election of Trump
I am personally biased because my wife works in childcare, but its one of the more obvious examples of people talking out of both sides of their mouth on this--childcare is more expensive because you have to pay workers more than $13/hr which is what she was making in 2019
December 19, 2025 at 9:46 PM
I am personally biased because my wife works in childcare, but its one of the more obvious examples of people talking out of both sides of their mouth on this--childcare is more expensive because you have to pay workers more than $13/hr which is what she was making in 2019
I think a big part of that is people having much more consumerist sympathy with the boss class than they are willing to admit even to themselves
December 19, 2025 at 9:46 PM
I think a big part of that is people having much more consumerist sympathy with the boss class than they are willing to admit even to themselves
The inherent contradiction there, while granting that two years of a hot market was not sufficient to solve all economic issues, is that people were more angry about the economy during and after the two years of hot labor market than they were during the preceding decade of a cool one
December 19, 2025 at 9:46 PM
The inherent contradiction there, while granting that two years of a hot market was not sufficient to solve all economic issues, is that people were more angry about the economy during and after the two years of hot labor market than they were during the preceding decade of a cool one
Totally fair, and fwiw I hope you're correct that the problem was that we couldn't get the Keynesianism to stick
December 19, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Totally fair, and fwiw I hope you're correct that the problem was that we couldn't get the Keynesianism to stick
Sorry to Will S/Caley piranha you but I don't think "therefore left wing policy can't stop fascism and we can safely continue ignoring it" is at all a fair characterization of the argument being made
December 19, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Sorry to Will S/Caley piranha you but I don't think "therefore left wing policy can't stop fascism and we can safely continue ignoring it" is at all a fair characterization of the argument being made
That this was a true complaint about the last real bad economy and recovery being transported forward to this one is very telling--people aren't looking at a problem and feeling bad, they're feeling bad and looking for a problem
December 19, 2025 at 8:10 PM
That this was a true complaint about the last real bad economy and recovery being transported forward to this one is very telling--people aren't looking at a problem and feeling bad, they're feeling bad and looking for a problem
If everyone were saying "its a bad market for job seekers" or "its all housing" it would be more believable, because those are true! But so many are parroting "low wage workers have not seen gains" which is obviously untrue without even looking at graphs, just look at a McDonald's hiring poster
December 19, 2025 at 8:10 PM
If everyone were saying "its a bad market for job seekers" or "its all housing" it would be more believable, because those are true! But so many are parroting "low wage workers have not seen gains" which is obviously untrue without even looking at graphs, just look at a McDonald's hiring poster
Reposted
Literally a toddler’s understanding of the world. “Overall, a thing is not happening more than it has in the past.” interpreted as “oh so you think it happens to no one?! you think the people that it’s happening to are lying?!”
December 19, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Literally a toddler’s understanding of the world. “Overall, a thing is not happening more than it has in the past.” interpreted as “oh so you think it happens to no one?! you think the people that it’s happening to are lying?!”
Reposted
I don't want a recession don't put it in the papers that I want a recession but I do think a Trump recession would completely reorder American politics
December 19, 2025 at 6:09 PM
I don't want a recession don't put it in the papers that I want a recession but I do think a Trump recession would completely reorder American politics
No one has any trouble dismissing positive anecdotes, but ah, negative anecdotes, those reflect a deep truth
December 19, 2025 at 6:42 PM
No one has any trouble dismissing positive anecdotes, but ah, negative anecdotes, those reflect a deep truth