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marble47.bsky.social
@marble47.bsky.social
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Literally a toddler’s understanding of the world. “Overall, a thing is not happening more than it has in the past.” interpreted as “oh so you think it happens to no one?! you think the people that it’s happening to are lying?!”
December 19, 2025 at 7:24 PM
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I don't want a recession don't put it in the papers that I want a recession but I do think a Trump recession would completely reorder American politics
December 19, 2025 at 6:09 PM
This is the rot at the heart of American society. "Everyone hates everything all the time now, get used to it" what a sad way to think about the world
everyone hates everything all the time now

get used to it

quit scratching your head about why people are upset to be trapped in this fucking casino with extra steps and less fun
December 19, 2025 at 6:09 PM
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honestly has been gratifying how much the second trump resistance has wrapped itself in the flag and embraced americana. far and away the strategically correct choice
December 19, 2025 at 3:07 AM
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There is a solid argument for risk pooling and community pricing for health insurance: none of us choose to be born disabled or get sick, so it’s not fair to force individuals to shoulder the entire financial burden for the medical care they need to live.

This is not the case for home insurance.
December 16, 2025 at 5:08 PM
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In other words, if your definition of a bad economy is "someone somewhere is financially struggling" then no nation in the world has ever had a good economy
December 14, 2025 at 8:45 PM
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New Knives out quite good. Manages to neither be sneeringly anti-religious nor doing that tired trope where the arrogant atheists are humbled by simple faith. Actual adult treatment of religiosity that’s kind of rare these days.
December 13, 2025 at 8:56 PM
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this is especially frustrating because there probably will be a time when we correctly accuse the Trump Administration of fucking with economic data and the more people are crying wolf the less effective that will be.

truth is our ally and more than that the existence of truth is our ally.
December 11, 2025 at 11:25 PM
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if we take the house next year, we are going to get a pretty devastating drop like this every single day, and it will add up. jesus christ.
Magaziner: How many US military veterans have you deported?

Noem: We have not deported military veterans.

Magaziner: We are joined on zoom by a gentleman who is an army combat veteran who was shot twice while serving our country. You deported him to Korea.
December 11, 2025 at 6:37 PM
I might push back on this year being better than last year exactly, but the general point is completely right
We live live in the best of times of all known history. Today is better than last year, better than last decade, century, millenium, and so on.
This sort of absurd, ultra-bleak reading of the remarkable prosperity of modern societies is not only embarrassingly wrong - and I saw a historian retweet this sincerely (!!) - but also helps fuel not materialist, left-wing politics, but rather reactionary right-wing politics ('RETVRN-ism').
December 11, 2025 at 6:04 AM
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You might think from the headline that this is a story about a trans kid suffering medical consequences from a large drug dose but nope! It is just an interview with an estranged father who is angry that his child happily transitioned.

archive.ph/Tmthz
December 10, 2025 at 7:20 PM
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Many people are saying!
December 10, 2025 at 9:03 PM
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Anyone who tells you that mass deportations are a solution to the housing crisis is lying to you.
December 6, 2025 at 10:41 PM
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one view of mind that has changed is that, while i remain strongly opposed to capital punishment in most cases, i'm basically agnostic on it now when it comes to people exercising state power and authority in ways like this
One of the dilemmas of living through the second Trump administration is that saying these things out loud seems crazy. But yeah, the death penalty is an established, well-documented thing we have on the books for precisely these kinds of crimes; they obviously did it; and it's not hard to prove.
"the government should try, convict and then kill the secretary of defense for the crime he very obviously seems to have committed" seems like a radical thing to say, but -- no, it's not. it's the actual penalty for what pete hegseth, a man who ordered death squads to murder civilians, has done.
December 6, 2025 at 3:11 AM
One reason I am skeptical that AI will take all our jobs is that shit like this is being marketed as "look out architects"
Building codes in most states prohibit floor plans that include a combined bedroom/full bsth43. This is the next frontier after single-stair reform.
December 1, 2025 at 9:53 PM
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“Between 2010 and 2022, structural fires in Berkeley injured an average of 2 people per year, while between just 2017 and 2022, traffic accidents injured or killed an average of 694 people annually.”
New post: a week of hectic back and forth with fire officials and city council over Berkeley street festivals brings out into the open a conflict in city halls across USA. Fire depts opposition to traffic calming and safety measures. Is there a solution?

darrellowens.substack.com/p/the-fire-d...
The Fire Department vs. Traffic Safety Advocates
Street safety advocates are butting heads with fire officials. Swift fire response does not have to come at the cost of lives on the roadway.
darrellowens.substack.com
November 30, 2025 at 8:31 PM
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this is such an utterly stupid fucking way to run a government, TABOR bills are fundamentally reactionary garbage
Assuming those signatures are legit, Gov. Tina Kotek will want to start getting ready to lay off hundreds of ODOT workers -- or finding another option.

A successful referral would freeze taxes Dems say they need to fund those positions. #orpol
November 26, 2025 at 12:24 AM
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I only just saw this thanks to @ed3d.net and I don’t have time to do a full fisking before my daughter’s bedtime but a few hundred words in and it’s utter nonsense.

substack.com/inbox/post/1...
The Algorithm That Detected a $610 Billion Fraud: How Machine Intelligence Exposed the AI Industry’s Circular Financing Scheme
On November 20, 2025, trading algorithms identified what may become the largest accounting fraud in technology history—not in months or years, but in 18 hours.
substack.com
November 23, 2025 at 12:07 AM
We just started this new city council system and now we're going to have to learn the special election rules
i ate the candy
November 18, 2025 at 8:42 PM
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Unfortunately I'm pretty focused on ed stuff these days, but I really want to do an Actual Honest Report on Housing Costs, where we compare cost growth over time versus the amount of housing purchased.

The problem is that there is literally zero incentive for honest analysis of this question
some cities absolutely have true housing crises, no question. But Americans also keep wanting more and bigger & that’s a problem.
November 16, 2025 at 5:58 PM
This is not even a spot where it is difficult to find street parking a block off Belmont, totally unnecessary
Well, PBOT got what they wanted and the street seating at Taqueria Los Puñales has been removed. But at least we have two extra parking spaces on Belmont.
November 16, 2025 at 5:27 PM
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It was strangled in its cradle by powerful people who didn't want to be subjected to its searching gaze. It didn't go even close to far enough.
Today is a good day to remember, and to say, that the #MeToo movement was right, and was righteous, and has been vindicated over and over again. There was no overreach. There was no excess. There was no they-went-too-far.

So much work remains to be done.
November 12, 2025 at 11:38 PM
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When we build enough supply of homes so that landlords must compete, renters win.

"The more properties there are, it drives all of us to lower rents and offer concessions" says the property manager pictured here.

bendbulletin.com/2025/11/11/b...
Bend's surge of apartment construction flattens rent hikes - The Bulletin
When Ian Gray looked for an apartment to rent in Bend earlier this year, he had something not available only a few years ago: a choice. Gray, who moved to Bend for a job as the city’s first-ever urban...
bendbulletin.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:25 PM
To mildly push back, if you were convinced abortion wouldn't always be protected in 2016 you would have been right. But only mildly! The argument that it will just go away on its own is in fact Republican propaganda
i am so confused how people get convinced social security won’t be around for them

i understand many people in my generation and gen z believe this

but like… that was obviously always Republican propaganda, what’s up with that
November 10, 2025 at 6:01 PM