Marius Ghincea
@mariusghincea.bsky.social
170 followers 170 following 10 posts
Political scientist. International Relations & European Studies Postdoc ETH Zurich | Visiting Fellow EUI, Robert Schuman Centre | Ph.D. EUI
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Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Reposted by Marius Ghincea
Reposted by Marius Ghincea
carlislerainey.bsky.social
"What Good is a Regression? Inference to the Best Explanation and the Practice of Political Science Research"

from Spirling and Stewart

journal: doi.org/10.1086/734280

Reposted by Marius Ghincea
andreisterescu.bsky.social
🇷🇴 elections crisis: The structural drivers of the far-right vote in Romania seem rooted in geographies of discontent, regions where people feel left behind by growth and lack opportunities. Counties that lag behind in economic performance consistently register higher shares of far-right support.
Reposted by Marius Ghincea
andreisterescu.bsky.social
🇷🇴 Election crisis: Romania’s Social Democrats (PSD/ S&D) have withdrawn from the governing coalition after the joint candidate of the Social Democrats, National Liberals and the Hungarian minority failed to advance to the second round of the presidential elections, sparking a political crisis.
mariusghincea.bsky.social
Excited to share my latest article (with Laurențiu Pleșca) published in @jeppjournal.bsky.social

We show how the EU’s enlargement policy motivations have shifted—from transformation to stabilization and now demarcation—especially after Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
mariusghincea.bsky.social
Romania has tried over the years to reshape Black Sea security while facing regional challenges.

In my latest article for the International Politics and Society magazine, I delve into Bucharest’s thinking and the complexities of regional cooperation.

www.ips-journal.eu/topics/forei...
Reposted by Marius Ghincea
fpajrnl.bsky.social
🚨 New article🚨

Why do some countries keep their military aid to Ukraine secret? Marius Ghincea’s 2025 study finds that electoral incentives, security concerns, and bureaucratic culture influence disclosure decisions.
academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
mariusghincea.bsky.social
Drawing on elite interviews and a comparative case study research design, my latest piece—just published in Foreign Policy Analysis—shows how electoral incentives have shaped the disclosure policies of political elites in Warsaw and Bucharest. academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
Shrouded in Secrecy: Explaining Why Some Countries Refuse to Disclose Their Military Aid to Ukraine
Abstract. This research note examines the communication strategies employed by Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries in disclosing or withholding in
academic.oup.com
mariusghincea.bsky.social
Ever wondered why Poland and Romania—both on NATO’s Eastern flank and neighboring Ukraine—have adopted such contrasting disclosure policies regarding their military aid to Kyiv?
mariusghincea.bsky.social
I was just looking at this last night. I'll submit an abstract
Reposted by Marius Ghincea
nicholasgrossman.bsky.social
If you try to force a rational strategy explanation onto decisions made by emotional impulse, you'll eventually come up with something, but it won't be accurate.

Sometimes adults who look like they're throwing a fit in public are really just throwing a childish fit in public, but with more power.
mariusghincea.bsky.social
Great news from Poland.
lewisgoodall.com
NEW: (potentially) big news. Polish 🇵🇱 general election exit poll suggests that the opposition will have enough support to form the next government.

PiS (law and justice, governing party) - 36.8%
KO - 31.6%
TD - 13%
Lewica - 8.6%
Konfederacja - 6.2%
BS - 2.4%
Others - 1.4%
mariusghincea.bsky.social
An article comparing two or more case studies.
mariusghincea.bsky.social
#AcademicBlueSky, what article employing a systematic comparative case study research design would you recommend as a good example?
mariusghincea.bsky.social
Manufacturing consensus
Reposted by Marius Ghincea
miguelpereira.bsky.social
"The Expertise Paradox: How Policy Expertise Can Hinder Responsiveness" out @BJPS.

The basic idea is that there is a trade-off between having MPs with policy expertise and having MPs responsive to public opinion, although political institutions often try to promote both bit.ly/46nghoP