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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · 23d

Would you like more than one? I don’t mind.

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · 23d

Don't forget to get your #SPSA2026 proposals submitted today!

The deadline is today.

It's January 14-17, 2026, in New Orleans. And it's always a great time.

spsa.net/annual-meeti...

2026 Conference Information – Southern Political Science Association

The purpose of the Southern Political Science Association (SPSA) shall be to publish professional journals, improve teaching, promote interest and research in theoretical and practical political probl...

spsa.net

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Justin Kirkland @jhkirkland1.bsky.social · 27d

This paper (and its working versions before it) have probably done more to reorient my thinking about design than anything else I've read. Just really critical work for political science to think about in any type of hypothesis testing environment. Well done to this team.

Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 27d

This is a paper I really care about. I feel the core message is very important for social scientists in general, and political scientists in particular.

"Quantitative Research in Political Science is Greatly Underpowered."

(with A+ co-authors)

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Sep 5

I'm chairing methods this year. I'm looking forward to putting together some great panels. Submit your papers!

Deadline is Sept. 15!

Southern Political Science Association @spsanews.bsky.social · Sep 2

Didn't get your proposal in on time? No problem! We've extended our deadline for submissions to September 15. Submit here: convention2.allacademic.com/one/spsa/sps...

Southern Political Science Association 2026

convention2.allacademic.com

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Sep 5

I'm chairing methods this year. I'm looking forward to putting together some great panels. Submit your papers!

Deadline is Sept. 15!

Southern Political Science Association @spsanews.bsky.social · Sep 2

Didn't get your proposal in on time? No problem! We've extended our deadline for submissions to September 15. Submit here: convention2.allacademic.com/one/spsa/sps...

Southern Political Science Association 2026

convention2.allacademic.com

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Sep 4

Steal away!

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Sep 4

Here's the idea.

Someone pops into your office and says "Hey, can you tell me about X?" You say sure--you give a 10 minute pitch. You describe the motivation, basic idea, and suggested resources.

I want to write these short pitches down. Here's a first one on power.

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Sep 4

𝘈 𝘖𝘯𝘦-𝘗𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘗𝘳𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘳 𝘰𝘯 Statistical Power

www.carlislerainey.com/blog/2025-08...

A One-Page Primer on: Statistical Power – Carlisle Rainey

Statistical power is the chance to reject the null when it’s false. Why it matters, how to compute it, and why both researchers and readers should care. This is a one-page primer with rules of thumb a...

www.carlislerainey.com

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Max Kagan @maxkagan.bsky.social · Sep 4

Excellent reference for those, like me, who can always benefit from a refresher on statistical power

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Aug 18

New Post: "For Your Syllabus: Statistical Power"

Add content on statistical power to your social science courses.

Not just to methods courses.

For substantive courses, Bloom's MDE (i.e., 80% power to detect 2.5*SE) is easy to teach and really helpful!

www.carlislerainey.com/blog/2025-08...

For Your Syllabus: Statistical Power – Carlisle Rainey

Five papers you can assign when teaching about statistical power: power analysis, minimum detectable effects, sample size planning, and design diagnosis.

www.carlislerainey.com

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Aug 18

New Post: "For Your Syllabus: Statistical Power"

Add content on statistical power to your social science courses.

Not just to methods courses.

For substantive courses, Bloom's MDE (i.e., 80% power to detect 2.5*SE) is easy to teach and really helpful!

www.carlislerainey.com/blog/2025-08...

For Your Syllabus: Statistical Power – Carlisle Rainey

Five papers you can assign when teaching about statistical power: power analysis, minimum detectable effects, sample size planning, and design diagnosis.

www.carlislerainey.com

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Aug 12

‼️Cool new paper‼️

Finds that journal data policies in psychology boost sharing statements to ~100%, but only about half of datasets are complete, understandable, reusable.

Open: open.lnu.se/index.php/me...

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Cyrus Samii @cdsamii.bsky.social · Jun 10

An old boss once told me “each sentence should carry one idea and one idea only.” Good, Strunk and White-esque advice.

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 9

Love this. You clearly describe how much writing is a *struggle* relative to the often-used description “write it up.”

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 9

What’s the single best piece of feedback you’ve ever received on your writing—something that stuck with you and shaped how you write future papers?

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

Observations:
- A surprising amount of good ideas emerge from the small groups. That’s where the magic happens.
- Students who tend to avoid talking to the whole class seem to share more freely after building confidence in the small groups.

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

I’d say pose a question to the class, ask students to brainstorm as individuals for 1 minute, discuss in groups of 3 for 3-5 minutes, and then discuss as a whole class.

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

Let's talk about teaching.

Suppose you must give a room full of professors one piece of actionable advice to improve their teaching.

What advice would you give?

Could be about lectures, activities, assignments, policies, etc.

Rules
1. Quote w/ your advice
2. Bonus for unpopular opinions

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

Related to this new paper, in case you haven’t seen it yet.

GitHub: github.com/ArthurSpirli...

Gated JOP: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Derek Willis @dwillis.bsky.social · Jun 6

Assign students to ask class-related questions and grade them on the quality/depth of those questions. Provide the feedback and use the questions to help shape what you do in the classroom. Hard to scale above 35-40 students, but has been super helpful to me.

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

Let's talk about teaching.

Suppose you must give a room full of professors one piece of actionable advice to improve their teaching.

What advice would you give?

Could be about lectures, activities, assignments, policies, etc.

Rules
1. Quote w/ your advice
2. Bonus for unpopular opinions

2 6

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

But to your point, we should require “careful research design” of both descriptive and causal papers. Certainly designs for causal claims have tricky parts, but designs for descriptive claims are not trivial.

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

But different designs are required to defend causal and descriptive claims (and least to defend them well)—descriptive and causal papers must (usually) use different methods.

(And by “the empirical design,” I don’t think they mean the presence/absence of inferential statistics.)

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

I think we agree then!

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Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

What’s your preferred label for the claim “affective polarization has increased in the US over the last 20 years”?

I’d call that a “descriptive” claim. What do you recommend instead?

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Sara Mitchell @sbmitche.bsky.social · Jun 6

1. We have a tendency to make things easier for students these days, but the more you demand, the more you will get back from the students (on average).
2. There is no teaching style that is best. Find what works for you and improve it over time.

Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚 @carlislerainey.bsky.social · Jun 6

Let's talk about teaching.

Suppose you must give a room full of professors one piece of actionable advice to improve their teaching.

What advice would you give?

Could be about lectures, activities, assignments, policies, etc.

Rules
1. Quote w/ your advice
2. Bonus for unpopular opinions

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Reposted by Carlisle Rainey 👨‍💻📊📚

Darren Dahly @statsepi.bsky.social · Jun 6

www.staffordgrammar.co.uk/no-one-cares...

“No one cares how much you know until they know how much you care” - Stafford Grammar School

Listen “No one cares how much you know until they know how much you care” – President Theodore Roosevelt I came across these words of Teddy Roosevelt a few years […]

www.staffordgrammar.co.uk

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