Yeah this is a super moderate and informative take

We exist in the dumbest timeline

Greenland

This is a solid portrait

This issue is worsened by the fact progressives often place a premium on very technical policies often passed through Congress using low-visibility.

The Fed needs to make this products less jumpy

When you unpack unemployment by race, and utilize that data in a turning point framework, marginalized racial minorities tend to signal downturns sooner (albeit with more noise).

This is operable not just because slack precedes firings in the lead up to a downturn, but also because economically vulnerable groups (racial minorities, low educated, etc.) tend to be underemployed, that research by @epi.org.

When you look at the popular recession indicators: the #SahmRule, by @claudia-sahm.bsky.social, the #MichezRule, by Pascal Michaillat and Emmanuel Saez, which adds job vacancy data, and the U6 Modified Sahm Rule, by M. Sheppard, using underemployment data shows downturns sooner.

California and Minnesota solidarity is built on having former actors of the movie Predator turned governors criticize the politics of the host of the Apprentice turned president.