Michael Wara
@michaelwara.bsky.social
14K followers 630 following 1.7K posts
Works at Stanford on equitable climate and energy law/policy with a big helping of wildfire and insurance.
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michaelwara.bsky.social
The bullseye is the highway 49 corridor between Sonora and Grass Valley. Very little fire history. Tons of houses. But wine country too would be interesting because many (marginal) buyers are sensitized by tragedy.
michaelwara.bsky.social
We had a great study going on this that was blown up by Covid impacts on real estate market. Maybe we should pick it back up.
michaelwara.bsky.social
The south end is the interesting bit for sure.
michaelwara.bsky.social
I've always wanted to know what the bottom of Crowley Lake looks like. Is is Owens River Gorge 2.0? Is there other interesting geology down there?
michaelwara.bsky.social
Also, 40% of SoCal jet A. Sorry for the lack of clarity.
michaelwara.bsky.social
I think it is possible but unlikely right now. We are losing Philips 66 and Valero Benicia. El Segundo is not the next to fall. But that was assuming it didn’t face major unexpected costs to continue operating - just normal turn around. We could totally import what El Segundo makes.
michaelwara.bsky.social
An important question will be how extensive the damage is and whether it is large enough to raise questions about future operations at the facility.
michaelwara.bsky.social
The risks of accident increase as the economics of the facility decline. This is something to consider carefully - for worker and community safety - as we electrify transport and refinery financials deteriorate accordingly.
michaelwara.bsky.social
This single refinery is about a fifth of SoCal gasoline supply and 40% of the Jet A.
michaelwara.bsky.social
nytimes.com
A fireball lit up the sky across the Los Angeles area on Thursday night after an explosion at a Chevron refinery in El Segundo, alarming nearby residents who said it felt like an earthquake. The cause of the explosion was not clear. No injuries were reported. nyti.ms/42pPCaW
michaelwara.bsky.social
May she rest in peace.

Met her once. A person with incredible vision, compassion, and intelligence.
michaelwara.bsky.social
Sitting with someone I love who has Alzheimer’s as he tells me about getting sent to the vice principal‘s office in high school for holding the hand of the woman that he’s been married to for 60 years.

These are the things to pay attention to.
michaelwara.bsky.social
I sincerely hope that Governor Newsom will sign SB326. If CalFire needs changes, he should initiate a process this fall with the bill's authors to make tweaks that can help the agency do the hard things we need it to do. California can lead on wildfire prevention. This bill enables that.
michaelwara.bsky.social
SB 326 is about reducing risk right away and taking the long-term steps to plan for a better - and importantly - more affordable future in California. Since 2020, our data shows that the combined impact of electricity and insurance cost increases for the average California household is $266/month.
michaelwara.bsky.social
Second, it requires (this is the hard part) that CalFire engage in risk based planning to help better target wildfire risk reduction spending in the state and to identify where we need to spend more. This is absolutely critical if we are going to get a handle on this problem in the long run.
michaelwara.bsky.social
SB326 is important for two reasons. First, it is the most impactful step the state can take THIS YEAR to reduce risk of catastrophes like the LA wildfires. It does this by requiring implementation of a key step to reduce home ignition in high risk areas at rental homes and on sale of existing homes.
michaelwara.bsky.social
I wrote on OpEd on SB326, what I believe is the most important piece of wildfire legislation on Governor Newsom's desk.

Sometimes we have to do hard things. This is one of those times. The brave men and women of CalFire can handle this.

www.sacbee.com/opinion/op-e...
California can reduce wildfire risk by boosting Zone 0 compliance | Opinion
“Zone 0 is the five-foot buffer around a home where all combustible materials — such as plants, wood fences or mulch — must be removed.”
www.sacbee.com