Michael Tobis (mt)
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mtobis.bsky.social
Michael Tobis (mt)
@mtobis.bsky.social
PhD atmospheric/oceanic sciences 1996 but a bit rusty.

Opinionated.

Main topics: climate, sustainability, Canada, AI and ML, journalism.

Also: roots music, art, healthy plant-based food.

Please think like a planet!

https://initforthegold.blogspot.com
It would take a lot of work as some of the points are well outside my expertise.
January 27, 2026 at 8:19 PM
I have made this exact point myself.

I’m not trying to defend the documentary, just encouraging people to offer evidence when they reject nonsense.

Just saying it’s nonsense comes across as arrogant, arguing from authority. It’s tricky to be actually helpful in the face of pseudoscience.
January 27, 2026 at 7:03 PM
I am unfamiliar with the material and would appreciate a link.
January 27, 2026 at 2:43 PM
It would be useful if you provided a brief rebuttal of the other points as well. Thanks.
January 27, 2026 at 2:37 PM
I think single event attribution is not a good use of our attentions. It’s easy to see why people are always looking for a simple cause/effect when something unusually disruptive occurs.

But in the end the circumstances call for more resilience, regardless of causes of individual disasters.
January 24, 2026 at 1:33 AM
This is just confirmation bias vs confirmation bias. The actual science can vary a lot on attribution and attribution confidence from one event to another. In the end it’s just the wrong question, though.

The stable climate of the past is over. We have to expect the unexpected.
January 24, 2026 at 1:29 AM
I don’t know as this needs a conspiracy to explain..

We will never see another major natural disaster without this debate “exactly as predicted by all-seeing scientists” bs “obviously completely normal”.

People have blamed volcanoes on climate change! Others have denied any link to forest fires!
January 24, 2026 at 1:26 AM
On the whole I’m more interested in the adaptation events that the post-storm week will reveal.

This could be memorable, even historic. Big recovery problems are a realistic scenario to be concerned about.
January 24, 2026 at 12:10 AM
That is not how it works. The seasons don’t have momentum or anything comparable.
January 23, 2026 at 11:14 PM
Definitely not. Possibly more arctic outbreaks though the evidence is not compelling. But winters are unambiguously warming up, largely due to ice albedo feedback.
January 23, 2026 at 11:13 PM
No. There’s no consensus on whether this is a real trend and if so why. The evidence is thin.

(No I’m not a denier. I’ve been trying to call attentoon to climate disruption since around 1990.)

Of all people, you should be representing the science correctly!
January 23, 2026 at 11:11 PM
Account visible to me when I check. Possibly a glitch of some sort?
January 19, 2026 at 12:47 AM
Account looks alive to me.
January 18, 2026 at 11:40 PM
There are niche applications in math and CS and apparently some utility in software development, but that's not what the conversation here is about. It's about learning to think and write vs learning how to *pretend* to think and write.
January 18, 2026 at 1:25 AM